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Probability measures supported on submanifolds can be sampled by adding an extra momentum variable to the state of the system, and discretizing the associated Hamiltonian dynamics with some stochastic perturbation in the extra variable. In…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Tony Lelièvre , Mathias Rousset , Gabriel Stoltz

In this paper, we consider the implications of the fact that parallel raw-power can be exploited by a generic Metropolis--Hastings algorithm if the proposed values are independent. In particular, we present improvements to the independent…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-17 Pierre Jacob , Christian P. Robert , Murray H. Smith

Motivated by the problem of exploring discrete but very complex state spaces in Bayesian models, we propose a novel Markov Chain Monte Carlo search algorithm: the taxicab sampler. We describe the construction of this sampler and discuss how…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Vincent Geels , Matthew Pratola , Radu Herbei

We show that it is feasible to carry out exact Bayesian inference for non-Gaussian state space models using an adaptive Metropolis Hastings sampling scheme with the likelihood approximated by the particle filter. Furthermore, an adapyive…

Computation · Statistics 2009-11-03 Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn , Mike Pitt

This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden

We investigate local MCMC algorithms, namely the random-walk Metropolis and the Langevin algorithms, and identify the optimal choice of the local step-size as a function of the dimension $n$ of the state space, asymptotically as…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-07 Alexandros Beskos , Gareth Roberts , Andrew Stuart

While recent work has shown that scores from models trained by the ubiquitous masked language modeling (MLM) objective effectively discriminate probable from improbable sequences, it is still an open question if these MLMs specify a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Kartik Goyal , Chris Dyer , Taylor Berg-Kirkpatrick

The Metropolis Hastings algorithm and its multi-proposal extensions are aimed at the computation of the expectation $<\pi,f>$ of a function $f$ under a probability measure $\pi$ difficult to simulate. They consist in constructing by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-20 Jean-François Delmas , Benjamin Jourdain

The Metropolis algorithm is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm used to simulate from parameter distributions of interest, such as generalized linear model parameters. The "Metropolis step" is a keystone concept that underlies…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-31 Alexander P Keil , Jessie K Edwards , Ashley I Naimi , Stephen R Cole

Traditional hidden Markov models have been a useful tool to understand and model stochastic dynamic data; in the case of non-Gaussian data, models such as mixture of Gaussian hidden Markov models can be used. However, these suffer from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Carlos Puerto-Santana , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga , Gustav Eje Henter

We develop algorithms with low regret for learning episodic Markov decision processes based on kernel approximation techniques. The algorithms are based on both the Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) as well as Posterior or Thompson Sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Sayak Ray Chowdhury , Aditya Gopalan

State-transition models are essential across epidemiology and ecology, but statistical inference remains challenging owing to high-dimensional latent state spaces, temporal dependence, and intractable likelihood functions. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-12 Alin Morariu , Jess Bridgen , Chris Jewell

We study the computational complexity of a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for Bayesian community detection. We first establish a posterior strong consistency result for a natural prior distribution on stochastic block models under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-08 Bumeng Zhuo , Chao Gao

Bayesian inference via standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is too computationally intensive to handle large datasets, since the cost per step usually scales like $\Theta(n)$ in the number of data points $n$. We propose the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Robert Cornish , Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Graph sampling via crawling has been actively considered as a generic and important tool for collecting uniform node samples so as to consistently estimate and uncover various characteristics of complex networks. The so-called simple random…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-19 Chul-Ho Lee , Xin Xu , Do Young Eun

The estimation of absorption time distributions of Markov jump processes is an important task in various branches of statistics and applied probability. While the time-homogeneous case is classic, the time-inhomogeneous case has recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Jamaal Ahmad , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

The exchange algorithm is one of the most popular extensions of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm to sample from doubly-intractable distributions. However, the theoretical exploration of the exchange algorithm is very limited. For example,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-20 Guanyang Wang

We develop a new Markov chain on graph partitions that makes relatively global moves yet is computationally feasible to be used as the proposal in the Metropolis-Hastings method. Our resulting algorithm can be made reversible and able to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Eric Autrey , Daniel Carter , Gregory Herschlag , Zach Hunter , Jonathan C. Mattingly

Metropolis algorithms for approximate sampling of probability measures on infinite dimensional Hilbert spaces are considered and a generalization of the preconditioned Crank-Nicolson (pCN) proposal is introduced. The new proposal is able to…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-23 Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

This paper introduces a new Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for Bayesian variable selection in high dimensional settings. The algorithm is a Hastings-Metropolis sampler with a proposal mechanism which combines a Metropolis Adjusted Langevin…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-14 Amandine Schreck , Gersende Fort , Sylvain Le Corff , Eric Moulines
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