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The Large Deviation Principle is established for stochastic models defined by past-dependent non linear recursions with small noise. In the Markov case we use the result to obtain an explicit expression for the asymptotics of exit time.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

One says that the local large deviation principle (LLDP) is satisfied for a family of random vectors $\{\zeta_T\}_{T\ge 0}$ in $\mathbb R^d,$ $d\ge 1,$ if there exists a function $D:\mathbb R^d\to [0,\infty],$ $D\not \equiv \infty,$ such…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Konstantin Borovkov

The detection of hidden two-dimensional Gauss-Markov random fields using sensor networks is considered. Under a conditional autoregressive model, the error exponent for the Neyman-Pearson detector satisfying a fixed level constraint is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Youngchul Sung , H. Vincent Poor , Heejung Yu

In this paper, we develop asymptotic theories for a class of latent variable models for large-scale multi-relational networks. In particular, we establish consistency results and asymptotic error bounds for the (penalized) maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Zhi Wang , Xueying Tang , Jingchen Liu

We consider an inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $G_N$ with vertex set $[N] = \{1,\dots,N\}$ for which the pair of vertices $i,j \in [N]$, $i\neq j$, is connected by an edge with probability $r(\tfrac{i}{N},\tfrac{j}{N})$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Arijit Chakrabarty , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Frank den Hollander , Matteo Sfragara

We study large deviation properties of Telecom processes appearing as limits in a critical regime of infinite source Poisson models.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-27 M. A. Lifshits , S. E. Nikitin

Large deviation theory is a branch of probability theory that is devoted to a study of the "rate" at which empirical estimates of various quantities converge to their true values. The object of study in this paper is the rate at which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-17 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

We develop a framework for non-Markovian, well-mixed SIR and SIS models beyond mean field, utilizing the continuous-time random walk formalism. Using a gamma distribution for the infection and recovery inter-event times as a test case, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-07 Matan Shmunik , Michael Assaf

In this article we find exponential good approximation of the empirical neigbourhood distribution of symbolled random graphs conditioned to a given empirical symbol distribution and empirical pair distribution. Using this approximation we…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-13 K. Doku-Amponsah

It has recently been observed that the SIR distributions of a variety of cellular network models and transmission techniques look very similar in shape. As a result, they are well approximated by a simple horizontal shift (or gain) of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-30 Radha K. Ganti , Martin Haenggi

This paper develops a general asymptotic theory of local polynomial (LP) regression for spatial data observed at irregularly spaced locations in a sampling region $R_n \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. We adopt a stochastic sampling design that can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Daisuke Kurisu , Yasumasa Matsuda

We consider an inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $G_N$ with vertex set $[N] = \{1,\dots,N\}$ for which the pair of vertices $i,j \in [N]$, $i\neq j$, is connected by an edge with probability $r_N(\tfrac{i}{N},\tfrac{j}{N})$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Frank den Hollander , Maarten Markering

We initiate a study of large deviations for block model random graphs in the dense regime. Following Chatterjee-Varadhan(2011), we establish an LDP for dense block models, viewed as random graphons. As an application of our result, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Christian Borgs , Jennifer Chayes , Julia Gaudio , Samantha Petti , Subhabrata Sen

In this paper, we show that the empirical measure of mean-field model satisfies the large deviation principle with respect to the weak convergence topology or the stronger Wasserstein metric, under the strong exponential integrability…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Wei Liu , Liming Wu

We consider nonlinear filters for diffusion processes when the observation and signal noises are small and of the same order. As the noise intensities approach zero, the nonlinear filter can be approximated by a certain variational problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Anugu Sumith Reddy , Amarjit Budhiraja , Amit Apte

Motivated by the increasing use of kernel-based metrics for high-dimensional and large-scale data, we study the asymptotic behavior of kernel two-sample tests when the dimension and sample sizes both diverge to infinity. We focus on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-31 Jian Yan , Xianyang Zhang

We consider distributed detection problems over adaptive networks, where dispersed agents learn continually from streaming data by means of local interactions. The simultaneous requirements of adaptation and cooperation are achieved by…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-01-27 Vincenzo Matta , Paolo Braca , Stefano Marano , Ali H. Sayed

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

We study the small noise asymptotic for stochastic Burgers equations on $(0,1)$ with Dirichlet boundary condition. We consider the case that the noise is more singular than space-time white noise. We let the noise magnitude $\sqrt{\epsilon}…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Rui Bai , Chunrong Feng , Huaizhong Zhao

We consider probability measures on $A^N$, the set of sequences of symbols on a finite alphabet $A$ of length $N$, that give a weight to each sequence in terms of a collection of matrices with non-negative entries and having rows and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Davide Gabrielli , Federica Iacovissi