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The issue of honesty in constructing confidence sets arises in nonparametric regression. While optimal rate in nonparametric estimation can be achieved and utilized to construct sharp confidence sets, severe degradation of confidence level…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-30 Kun Zhou , Ker-Chau Li , Qing Zhou

We consider the following problem in stochastic portfolio theory. Are there portfolios that are relative arbitrages with respect to the market portfolio over very short periods of time under realistic assumptions? We answer a slightly…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-15 Soumik Pal

It is well known that quantile regression model minimizes the portfolio extreme risk, whenever the attention is placed on the estimation of the response variable left quantiles. We show that, by considering the entire conditional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-02 Giovanni Bonaccolto , Massimiliano Caporin , Sandra Paterlini

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

The explosion of large-scale data in fields such as finance, e-commerce, and social media has outstripped the processing capabilities of single-machine systems, driving the need for distributed statistical inference methods. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-02 Jingguo Lan , Hongmei Lin , Xueqin Wang

We consider a novel Bayesian approach to estimation, uncertainty quantification, and variable selection for a high-dimensional linear regression model under sparsity. The number of predictors can be nearly exponentially large relative to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Samhita Pal , Subhashis Ghoshal

Portfolio optimization methods suffer from a catalogue of known problems, mainly due to the facts that pair correlations of asset returns are unstable, and that extremal risk measures such as maximum drawdown are difficult to predict due to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-20 Jan Rosenzweig

Portfolio optimisation is essential in quantitative investing, but its implementation faces several practical difficulties. One particular challenge is converting optimal portfolio weights into real-life trades in the presence of realistic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-01 Cristiano Arbex Valle

This paper investigates the problem of ensembling multiple strategies for sequential portfolios to outperform individual strategies in terms of long-term wealth. Due to the uncertainty of strategies' performances in the future market, which…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-07 Duy Khanh Lam

We consider both $\ell _{0}$-penalized and $\ell _{0}$-constrained quantile regression estimators. For the $\ell _{0}$-penalized estimator, we derive an exponential inequality on the tail probability of excess quantile prediction risk and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-30 Le-Yu Chen , Sokbae Lee

This paper studies oracle properties of $\ell_1$-penalized least squares in nonparametric regression setting with random design. We show that the penalized least squares estimator satisfies sparsity oracle inequalities, i.e., bounds in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-03 Florentina Bunea , Alexandre Tsybakov , Marten Wegkamp

Stochastic portfolio theory aims at finding relative arbitrages, i.e. trading strategies which outperform the market with probability one. Functionally generated portfolios, which are deterministic functions of the market weights, are an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Patrick Mijatovic

Derivatives, as a critical class of financial instruments, isolate and trade the price attributes of risk assets such as stocks, commodities, and indices, aiding risk management and enhancing market efficiency. However, traditional hedging…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-07 Yiheng Ding , Gangnan Yuan , Dewei Zuo , Ting Gao

In this short report, we discuss how coordinate-wise descent algorithms can be used to solve minimum variance portfolio (MVP) problems in which the portfolio weights are constrained by $l_{q}$ norms, where $1\leq q \leq 2$. A portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-17 Yu-Min Yen

This paper considers the finite horizon portfolio rebalancing problem in terms of mean-variance optimization, where decisions are made based on current information on asset returns and transaction costs. The study's novelty is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Qingliang Fan , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Hanming Yang , Songshan Yang

We extend Relative Robust Portfolio Optimisation models to allow portfolios to optimise their distance to a set of benchmarks. Portfolio managers are also given the option of computing regret in a way which is more in line with market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-12 Gonçalo Simões , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Daniel Fenn , Raphael Hauser

Consider a regression model with fixed design and Gaussian noise where the regression function can potentially be well approximated by a function that admits a sparse representation in a given dictionary. This paper resorts to exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Philippe Rigollet , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

The sparse portfolio selection problem is one of the most famous and frequently-studied problems in the optimization and financial economics literatures. In a universe of risky assets, the goal is to construct a portfolio with maximal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Dimitris Bertsimas , Ryan Cory-Wright

We give oracle inequalities on procedures which combines quantization and variable selection via a weighted Lasso $k$-means type algorithm. The results are derived for a general family of weights, which can be tuned to size the influence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-07 Clément Levrard

High-dimensional sparse modeling via regularization provides a powerful tool for analyzing large-scale data sets and obtaining meaningful, interpretable models. The use of nonconvex penalty functions shows advantage in selecting important…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Zemin Zheng , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv