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This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Zehao Li , Yijie Peng

This work proposes a new procedure for estimating the non-stationary spatial covariance function for Spatial-Temporal Deformation. The proposed procedure is based on a monotonic function approach. The deformation functions are expanded as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-05 Yangyang Chen , Pedro Alberto Morettin , Ronaldo Dias , Chang Chiann

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

We introduce the Locally Linear Latent Variable Model (LL-LVM), a probabilistic model for non-linear manifold discovery that describes a joint distribution over observations, their manifold coordinates and locally linear maps conditioned on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-02 Mijung Park , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Ahmad Qamar , Zoltan Szabo , Lars Buesing , Maneesh Sahani

Multiview embedding is a way to model strange attractors that takes advantage of the way measurements are often made in real chaotic systems, using multidimensional measurements to make up for a lack of long timeseries. Predictive multiview…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-23 M. LuValle

In nested simulation literature, a common assumption is that the experimenter can choose the number of outer scenarios to sample. This paper considers the case when the experimenter is given a fixed set of outer scenarios from an external…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Mingbin Ben Feng , Eunhye Song

A non-stationary spatial Gaussian random field (GRF) is described as the solution of an inhomogeneous stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE), where the covariance structure of the GRF is controlled by the coefficients in the SPDE.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

Standard geostatistical models assume stationarity and rely on a variogram model to account for the spatial dependence in the observed data. In some instances, this assumption that the spatial dependence structure is constant throughout the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-16 Dave Higdon , Jenise Swall , John Kern

State redistribution is an algorithm that stabilizes cut cells for embedded boundary grid methods. This work extends the earlier algorithm in several important ways. First, state redistribution is extended to three spatial dimensions.…

Inference for the stochastic blockmodel is currently of burgeoning interest in the statistical community, as well as in various application domains as diverse as social networks, citation networks, brain connectivity networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-10 Shakira Suwan , Dominic S. Lee , Runze Tang , Daniel L. Sussman , Minh Tang , Carey E. Priebe

Stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in many fields of applied sciences and engineering. In the context of uncertainty quantification and optimization, a large number of simulations is usually necessary, which becomes intractable for…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-09 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

In this research, we propose a novel technique for visualizing nonstationarity in geostatistics, particularly when confronted with a single realization of data at irregularly spaced locations. Our method hinges on formulating a statistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 ShengLi Tzeng , Bo-Yu Chen , Hsin-Cheng Huang

Many applications in mechanical, acoustic, and electronic engineering require estimating complex dynamical models, often represented as additive multi-input multi-output (MIMO) transfer functions with structural constraints. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-21 Rodrigo A. González , Maarten van der Hulst , Koen Classens , Tom Oomen

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Non-probability samples become increasingly popular in survey statistics but may suffer from selection biases that limit the generalizability of results to the target population. We consider integrating a non-probability sample with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim , Rui Song

High-dimensional/high-fidelity nonlinear dynamical systems appear naturally when the goal is to accurately model real-world phenomena. Many physical properties are thereby encoded in the internal differential structure of these resulting…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-14 Peter Benner , Serkan Gugercin , Steffen W. R. Werner

When we use simulation to assess the performance of stochastic systems, the input models used to drive simulation experiments are often estimated from finite real-world data. There exist both input model and simulation estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Wei Xie , Cheng Li , Yuefeng Wu , Pu Zhang

We consider the problem of estimation of a function by a system consisting of two agents and a fusion center. The two agents collect data comprising of samples of an independent variable and the corresponding value of a dependent variable.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-18 Aneesh Raghavan , Karl Henrik Johansson