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We provide explicit expressions for the constants involved in the characterisation of ergodicity of sub-geometric Markov chains. The constants are determined in terms of those appearing in the assumed drift and one-step minorisation…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-18 Christophe Andrieu , Gersende Fort , Matti Vihola

We describe an exact test of the null hypothesis that a Markov chain is nth order versus the alternate hypothesis that it is $(n+1)$-th order. The procedure does not rely on asymptotic properties, but instead builds up the test statistic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-02-07 Shawn D. Pethel , Daniel W. Hahs

We analyse the structure of imprecise Markov chains and study their convergence by means of accessibility relations. We first identify the sets of states, so-called minimal permanent classes, that are the minimal sets capable of containing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Skulj

We analyze a stochastic process resulting from the normalization of states in the zeroth-order optimization method CMA-ES. On a specific class of minimization problems where the objective function is scaling-invariant, this process defines…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Armand Gissler , Shan-Conrad Wolf , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Sara Kropf

In this work, we consider a finite-state inhomogeneous-time Markov chain whose probabilities of transition from one state to another tend to decrease over time. This can be seen as a cooling of the dynamics of an underlying Markov chain. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Florian Bouguet , Bertrand Cloez

Nonlinear Markov Chains (nMC) are regarded as the original (linear) Markov Chains with nonlinear small perturbations. It fits real-world data better, but its associated properties are difficult to describe. A new approach is proposed to…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Kaichen Xu

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

Verification of infinite-state Markov chains is still a challenge despite several fruitful numerical or statistical approaches. For decisive Markov chains, there is a simple numerical algorithm that frames the reachability probability as…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Benoît Barbot , Patricia Bouyer , Serge Haddad

We give an example of a transient reversible Markov chain that almost surely has only a finite number of cutpoints. We explain how this is relevant to a conjecture of Diaconis and Freedman and a question of Kaimanovich. We also answer…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-19 Nicholas James , Russell Lyons , Yuval Peres

In this short note we provide an elementary proof that a certain type of nonuniform sequential Doeblin minorization condition implies non-uniform sequential "geometric" ergodicity. Using this result several limit theorems for inhomogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Yeor Hafouta , Brenden Williams

Since 1997 a considerable effort has been spent to study the mixing time of switch Markov chains on the realizations of graphic degree sequences of simple graphs. Several results were proved on rapidly mixing Markov chains on unconstrained,…

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

Let $G$ be a real connected algebraic semi-simple Lie group, and $H$ an algebraic subgroup of $G$. Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $G$, with finite exponential moment, whose support spans a Zariski-dense subsemigroup of $G$. Let…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Caroline Bruère

We study time-inhomogeneous Markov chains with finite state spaces using Nash and logarithmic-Sobolev inequalities, and the notion of $c$-stability. We develop the basic theory of such functional inequalities in the time-inhomogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 L. Saloff-Coste , J. Zúñiga

We consider a class of continuous time Markov chains on $\Z^d$. These chains are the discrete space analogue of Markov processes with jumps. Under some conditions, we show that harmonic functions associated with these Markov chains are…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-27 Fangjun Xu

The stability of iterations of affine linear maps $\Psi_{n}(x)=A_{n}x+B_{n}$, $n=1,2,\ldots$, is studied in the presence of a Markovian environment, more precisely, for the situation when $(A_{n},B_{n})_{n\ge 1}$ is modulated by an ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-09 Gerold Alsmeyer , Fabian Buckmann

We prove an ergodic theorem for Markov chains indexed by the Ulam-Harris-Neveu tree over large subsets with arbitrary shape under two assumptions: with high probability, two vertices in the large subset are far from each other and have…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Julien Weibel

Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which automatically tune their parameters based on past samples, have proved extremely useful in practice. The self-tuning mechanism makes them `non-Markovian', which means that their…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Pietari Laitinen , Matti Vihola

Nonlinear Markov chains with finite state space have been introduced in Kolokoltsov (2010). The characteristic property of these processes is that the transition probabilities do not only depend on the state, but also on the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Berenice Anne Neumann
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