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For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

This article presents an algorithm that generates a conservative confidence interval of a specified length and coverage probability for the power of a Monte Carlo test (such as a bootstrap or permutation test). It is the first method that…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-13 Axel Gandy , Patrick Rubin-Delanchy

The inflated beta regression model aims to enable the modeling of responses in the intervals $(0,1]$, $[0,1)$ or $[0,1]$. In this model, hypothesis testing is often performed based on the likelihood ratio statistic. The critical values are…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-03 Laís H. Loose , Fábio M. Bayer , Tarciana L. Pereira

I have three goals in this article: (1) To show the enormous potential of bootstrapping and permutation tests to help students understand statistical concepts including sampling distributions, standard errors, bias, confidence intervals,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-11-20 Tim Hesterberg

We consider the detection and localization of change points in the distribution of an offline sequence of observations. Based on a nonparametric framework that uses a similarity graph among observations, we propose new test statistics when…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Lizhen Nie , Dan L. Nicolae

We investigate the large-sample behavior of change-point tests based on weighted two-sample U-statistics, in the case of short-range dependent data. Under some mild mixing conditions, we establish convergence of the test statistic to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Herold Dehling , Kata Vuk , Martin Wendler

In this paper we revisit the weighted likelihood bootstrap, a method that generates samples from an approximate Bayesian posterior of a parametric model. We show that the same method can be derived, without approximation, under a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

This paper presents a hypothesis testing method given independent samples from a number of connected populations. The method is motivated by a forestry project for monitoring change in the strength of lumber. Traditional practice has been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-15 Song Cai , Jiahua Chen , James V. Zidek

The maximum-likelihood estimator of nonlinear panel data models with fixed effects is consistent but asymptotically-biased under rectangular-array asymptotics. The literature has thus far concentrated its effort on devising methods to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-28 Ayden Higgins , Koen Jochmans

Bootstrap is a principled and powerful frequentist statistical tool for uncertainty quantification. Unfortunately, standard bootstrap methods are computationally intensive due to the need of drawing a large i.i.d. bootstrap sample to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Mao Ye , Qiang Liu

Bootstrap methods are increasingly accepted as one of the common approaches in constructing confidence intervals in bibliometric studies. Typical bootstrap methods assume that the statistical population is infinite. When the statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-17 Tina Nane , Kasper Kooijman

We consider tests of hypotheses when the parameters are not identifiable under the null in semiparametric models, where regularity conditions for profile likelihood theory fail. Exponential average tests based on integrated profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Rui Song , Michael R. Kosorok , Jason P. Fine

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points, locations where the distribution abruptly changes, in a sequence of multivariate or non-Euclidean observations. We study a nonparametric framework that utilizes similarity information…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-23 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

Several factors affect the structure of communities, including biological, physical and chemical phenomena, impacting the quantification of biodiversity, measured by diversity indexes such as Shannon's entropy. Then, once a point estimate…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-22 Gabriel R. Palma , Silvio S. Zocchi , Wesley A. C. Godoy , Jorge A. Wiendl

We propose a nonparametric sequential test that aims to address two practical problems pertinent to online randomized experiments: (i) how to do a hypothesis test for complex metrics; (ii) how to prevent type $1$ error inflation under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Vineet Abhishek , Shie Mannor

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points, locations where the distribution abruptly changes, in a sequence of observations. Motivated by this problem, in this contribution we first investigate the extremes of Gaussian fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Long Bai

This paper concerns the construction of confidence intervals in standard seroprevalence surveys. In particular, we discuss methods for constructing confidence intervals for the proportion of individuals in a population infected with a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-05 Thomas J. DiCiccio , David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

We discuss a new way of constructing pointwise confidence intervals for the distribution function in the current status model. The confidence intervals are based on the smoothed maximum likelihood estimator (SMLE) and constructed using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-27 Piet Groeneboom , Kim Hendrickx

The bootstrap is a popular and convenient method for quantifying the authority of an empirical ordering of attributes, for example of a ranking of the performance of institutions or of the influence of genes on a response variable. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Peter Hall , Hugh Miller

The bootstrap variance estimate is widely used in semiparametric inferences. However, its theoretical validity is a well known open problem. In this paper, we provide a {\em first} theoretical study on the bootstrap moment estimates in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Guang Cheng