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Surrogate markers offer the potential to reduce the burden of data collection by replacing costly or invasive primary outcomes with more accessible measurements, provided that they can faithfully indicate the effectiveness of a treatment.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Silvaneo V. dos Santos , Layla Parast

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

We consider a class of stochastic programming problems where the implicitly decision-dependent random variable follows a nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic error. The Clarke subdifferential and surrogate functions are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Boyang Shen , Junyi Liu

Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD)-driven training combines machine learning (ML) with CFD solvers to develop physically consistent closure models with improved predictive accuracy. In the original framework, each ML-generated candidate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Yuan Fang , Fabian Waschkowski , Maximilian Reissmann , Richard D. Sandberg , Takuo Oda , Koichi Tanimoto

In reliability engineering, conventional surrogate models encounter the "curse of dimensionality" as the number of random variables increases. While the active learning Kriging surrogate approaches with high-dimensional model representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Wenxiong Li , Hanyu Liao , Suiyin Chen

Isogeometric Analysis (IgA) has become a viable alternative to the Finite Element Method (FEM) and is typically combined with a time integration scheme within the method of lines for time-dependent problems. However, due to a stagnation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Roel Tielen , Matthias Möller , Cornelis Vuik

The dynamic multi-mode resource-constrained project scheduling problem (DMRCPSP) is of practical importance, as it requires making real-time decisions under changing project states and resource availability. Genetic Programming (GP) has…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Yuan Tian , Yi Mei , Mengjie Zhang

We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

This paper investigates iterative methods for solving bi-level optimization problems where both inner and outer functions have a composite structure. We establish novel theoretical results, including the first analysis that provides…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Shimrit Shtern , Adeolu Taiwo

One method to solve expensive black-box optimization problems is to use a surrogate model that approximates the objective based on previous observed evaluations. The surrogate, which is cheaper to evaluate, is optimized instead to find an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Rickard Karlsson , Laurens Bliek , Sicco Verwer , Mathijs de Weerdt

We propose a practical implementation of high-order fully implicit Runge-Kutta(IRK) methods in a multiple precision floating-point environment. Although implementations based on IRK methods in an IEEE754 double precision environment have…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Tomonori Kouya

Parameter estimation in structural dynamics generally involves inferring the values of physical, geometric, or even customized parameters based on first principles or expert knowledge, which is challenging for complex structural systems. In…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Mingyuan Zhou , Haoze Song , Wenjing Ye , Wei Wang , Zhilu Lai

The computational burden of running a complex computer model can make optimization impractical. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are statistical surrogates (also known as emulators) that alleviate this issue since they cheaply replace the computer…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-11 Theodoros Mathikolonis , Serge Guillas

The term `surrogate modeling' in computational science and engineering refers to the development of computationally efficient approximations for expensive simulations, such as those arising from numerical solution of partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Maarten V. de Hoop , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Elizabeth Qian , Andrew M. Stuart

Sample efficiency in the face of computationally expensive simulations is a common concern in surrogate modeling. Current strategies to minimize the number of samples needed are not as effective in simulated environments with wide state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Julen Cestero , Marco Quartulli , Marcello Restelli

The integration of aerodynamic drag is a fundamental step in simulating dust dynamics in hydrodynamical simulations. We propose a novel integration scheme, designed to be compatible with Strang splitting techniques, which allows for the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-12 Giovanni Tedeschi-Prades , Til Birnstiel , Klaus Dolag , Barbara Ercolano , Mark Hutchison

Fully implicit Runge-Kutta (IRK) methods have many desirable properties as time integration schemes in terms of accuracy and stability, but high-order IRK methods are not commonly used in practice with numerical PDEs due to the difficulty…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Ben S. Southworth , Oliver Krzysik , Will Pazner , Hans De Sterck

We present a computational framework for dimension reduction and surrogate modeling to accelerate uncertainty quantification in computationally intensive models with high-dimensional inputs and function-valued outputs. Our driving…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Helen Cleaves , Alen Alexanderian , Bilal Saad

Gaussian process (GP) surrogate modeling for large computer experiments is limited by cubic runtimes, especially with data from stochastic simulations with input-dependent noise. A popular workaround to reduce computational complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 D Austin Cole , Robert B Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

We propose a novel surrogate modelling approach to efficiently and accurately approximate the response of complex dynamical systems driven by time-varying exogenous excitations over extended time periods. Our approach, namely manifold…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-13 Styfen Schär , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret