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Related papers: Timely Information from Prediction Markets

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We study how information perturbations can destabilize two-sided matching markets. In our model, agents arrive on the market over two periods, while agents in the first period do not know the types of those arriving later. Agents already…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-07 Songzi Du , Yair Livne

This paper explores the design of a balanced data-sharing marketplace for entities with heterogeneous datasets and machine learning models that they seek to refine using data from other agents. The goal of the marketplace is to encourage…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Aditya Bhaskara , Sreenivas Gollapudi , Sungjin Im , Kostas Kollias , Kamesh Munagala , Govind S. Sankar

Prediction markets are a popular, prominent, and successful structure for a collective intelligence platform. However the exact mechanism by which information known to the participating traders is incorporated into the market price is…

Social influence is ubiquitous in cultural markets, from book recommendations in Amazon, to song popularities in iTunes and the ranking of newspaper articles in the online edition of the New York Times to mention only a few. Yet social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-26 Pascal Van Hentenryck , Andres Abeliuk , Franco Berbeglia , Gerardo Berbeglia

Two-sided matching markets have long existed to pair agents in the absence of regulated exchanges. A common example is school choice, where a matching mechanism uses student and school preferences to assign students to schools. In such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Stefania Ionescu , Yuhao Du , Kenneth Joseph , Anikó Hannák

Social media comprises interactive applications and platforms for creating, sharing and exchange of user-generated contents. The past ten years have brought huge growth in social media, especially online social networking services, and it…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-09 Sheng Yu , Subhash Kak

Before the massive spread of computer technology, information was far from complex. The development of technology shifted the paradigm: from individuals who faced scarce and costly information to individuals who face massive amounts of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-26 Giuseppe Pernagallo , Benedetto Torrisi

In a prediction market, individuals can sequentially place bets on the outcome of a future event. This leaves a trail of personal probabilities for the event, each being conditional on the current individual's private background knowledge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid , Julia Mortera

Despite high-profile successes in the field of Artificial Intelligence, machine-driven technologies still suffer important limitations, particularly for complex tasks where creativity, planning, common sense, intuition, or learning from…

Matching markets are of particular interest in computer science and economics literature as they are often used to model real-world phenomena where we aim to equitably distribute a limited amount of resources to multiple agents and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Andrew Yang , Bruce Changlong Xu , Ivan Villa-Renteria

One of the main objectives of data mining is to help companies determine to which potential customers to market and how many resources to allocate to these potential customers. Most previous works on competitive influence in social networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-02-24 Antonia Maria Masucci , Alonso Silva

We explore a nuance to 'no arbitrage' in relation to 'information efficiency': acting immediately on an arbitrage is sometimes suboptimal; in such cases optimised trading can suppress the anticipation of predictable risk-outcomes, thereby…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Kangda Ken Wren

In many non-cooperative settings, agents often possess useful information that provide an advantage over their opponent(s), but acting on such information too frequently can lead to detection. I develop a simple framework to analyze such a…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-17 Xiaoming Wang

We present our approach to the problem of how an agent, within an economic Multi-Agent System, can determine when it should behave strategically (i.e. learn and use models of other agents), and when it should act as a simple price-taker. We…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jose M. Vidal , Edmund H. Durfee

Some of the most relevant future applications of multi-agent systems like autonomous driving or factories as a service display mixed-motive scenarios, where agents might have conflicting goals. In these settings agents are likely to learn…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Kyrill Schmid , Lenz Belzner , Robert Müller , Johannes Tochtermann , Claudia Linnhoff-Popien

From social networks to supply chains, more and more aspects of how humans, firms and organizations interact is mediated by artificial learning agents. As the influence of machine learning systems grows, it is paramount that we study how to…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Andrea Tacchetti , DJ Strouse , Marta Garnelo , Thore Graepel , Yoram Bachrach

We consider the design of prediction market mechanisms known as automated market makers. We show that we can design these mechanisms via the mold of \emph{exponential family distributions}, a popular and well-studied probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-02-25 Jacob Abernethy , Sindhu Kutty , Sébastien Lahaie , Rahul Sami

In financial markets valuable information is rarely circulated homogeneously, because of time required for information to spread. However, advances in communication technology means that the 'lifetime' of important information is typically…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-05 Dorje C. Brody , Yan Tai Law

A principal who values an object allocates it to one or more agents. Agents learn private information (signals) from an information designer about the allocation payoff to the principal. Monetary transfer is not available but the principal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-31 Yi-Chun Chen , Gaoji Hu , Xiangqian Yang

In this work, we aim to design a data marketplace; a robust real-time matching mechanism to efficiently buy and sell training data for Machine Learning tasks. While the monetization of data and pre-trained models is an essential focus of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Anish Agarwal , Munther Dahleh , Tuhin Sarkar