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Decision trees built with data remain in widespread use for nonparametric prediction. Predicting probability distributions is preferred over point predictions when uncertainty plays a prominent role in analysis and decision-making. We study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Sara Shashaani , Ozge Surer , Matthew Plumlee , Seth Guikema

We propose a random forest estimator for the intensity of spatial point processes, applicable with or without covariates. It retains the well-known advantages of a random forest approach, including the ability to handle a large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Christophe Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier

In this paper we propose a linear variable screening method for computer experiments when the number of input variables is larger than the number of runs. This method uses a linear model to model the nonlinear data, and screens the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Chunya Li , Daijun Chen , Shifeng Xiong

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

Estimating a covariance matrix is an important task in applications where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. Shrinkage approaches for estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix are often employed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Anestis Touloumis

The Nystr\"om methods have been popular techniques for scalable kernel based learning. They approximate explicit, low-dimensional feature mappings for kernel functions from the pairwise comparisons with the training data. However, Nystr\"om…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-21 Mert Al , Thee Chanyaswad , Sun-Yuan Kung

Decision trees are a widely used method for classification, both by themselves and as the building blocks of multiple different ensemble learning methods. The Max-Cut decision tree involves novel modifications to a standard, baseline model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Jonathan Bodine , Dorit S. Hochbaum

Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

Decision forests are widely used for classification and regression tasks. A lesser known property of tree-based methods is that one can construct a proximity matrix from the tree(s), and these proximity matrices are induced kernels. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-14 Sambit Panda , Cencheng Shen , Joshua T. Vogelstein

Probabilistic sampling-based algorithms, such as the probabilistic roadmap (PRM) and the rapidly-exploring random tree (RRT) algorithms, represent one of the most successful approaches to robotic motion planning, due to their strong…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Lucas Janson , Brian Ichter , Marco Pavone

Nonlinear metrics, such as the F1-score, Matthews correlation coefficient, and Fowlkes-Mallows index, are often used to evaluate the performance of machine learning models, in particular, when facing imbalanced datasets that contain more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Emir Demirović , Peter J. Stuckey

Addressing selection bias in latent variable causal discovery is important yet underexplored, largely due to a lack of suitable statistical tools: While various tools beyond basic conditional independencies have been developed to handle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Haoyue Dai , Yiwen Qiu , Ignavier Ng , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

Model selection consists in comparing several candidate models according to a metric to be optimized. The process often involves a grid search, or such, and cross-validation, which can be time consuming, as well as not providing much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Anthea Mérida Montes de Oca , Argyris Kalogeratos , Mathilde Mougeot

Customer behavior is often assumed to follow weak rationality, which implies that adding a product to an assortment will not increase the choice probability of another product in that assortment. However, an increasing amount of research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Yi-Chun Chen , Velibor V. Mišić

We propose a modification that corrects for split-improvement variable importance measures in Random Forests and other tree-based methods. These methods have been shown to be biased towards increasing the importance of features with more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-25 Zhengze Zhou , Giles Hooker

Frequentist and Bayesian methods differ in many aspects, but share some basic optimal properties. In real-life classification and regression problems, situations exist in which a model based on one of the methods is preferable based on some…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Tanujit Chakraborty , Gauri Kamat , Ashis Kumar Chakraborty

In many applications, it is of interest to identify a parsimonious set of features, or panel, from multiple candidates that achieves a desired level of performance in predicting a response. This task is often complicated in practice by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-23 B. D. Williamson , Y. Huang

Deep neural network training often involves stochastic optimization, meaning each run will produce a different model. This implies that hyperparameters of the training process, such as the random seed itself, can potentially have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-17 Sinjini Banerjee , Tim Marrinan , Reilly Cannon , Tony Chiang , Anand D. Sarwate

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

Food authenticity studies are concerned with determining if food samples have been correctly labeled or not. Discriminant analysis methods are an integral part of the methodology for food authentication. Motivated by food authenticity…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-08 Thomas Brendan Murphy , Nema Dean , Adrian E. Raftery
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