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The most common approaches for solving stochastic resource allocation problems in the research literature is to either use value functions ("dynamic programming") or scenario trees ("stochastic programming") to approximate the impact of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Saeed Ghadimi , Raymond T. Perkins , Warren B. Powell

Can an asset manager plan the optimal timing for her/his hedging strategies given market conditions? The standard approach based on Markowitz or other more or less sophisticated financial rules aims to find the best portfolio allocation…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Eric Benhamou , David Saltiel , Sandrine Ungari , Abhishek Mukhopadhyay

The dynamic portfolio construction problem requires dynamic modeling of the joint distribution of multivariate stock returns. To achieve this, we propose a dynamic generative factor model which uses random variable transformation as an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-18 Chuting Sun , Qi Wu , Xing Yan

We investigate the performance of dynamic portfolios constructed using more than 21,000 technical trading rules on 12 categorical and country-specific markets over the 2004-2015 study period, on rolling forward structures of different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-14 Georgios Sermpinis , Arman Hassanniakalager , Charalampos Stasinakis , Ioannis Psaradellis

Classical portfolio optimization methods typically determine an optimal capital allocation through the implicit, yet critical, assumption of statistical time-invariance. Such models are inadequate for real-world markets as they employ…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Bruno Scalzo , Alvaro Arroyo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic

As the developed world replaces Defined Benefit (DB) pension plans with Defined Contribution (DC) plans, there is a need to develop decumulation strategies for DC plan holders. Optimal decumulation can be viewed as a problem in optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Peter A. Forsyth , Yuying Li

We present a simulation-and-regression method for solving dynamic portfolio allocation problems in the presence of general transaction costs, liquidity costs and market impacts. This method extends the classical least squares Monte Carlo…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-05 Rongju Zhang , Nicolas Langrené , Yu Tian , Zili Zhu , Fima Klebaner , Kais Hamza

Our goal is to compute a policy that guarantees improved return over a baseline policy even when the available MDP model is inaccurate. The inaccurate model may be constructed, for example, by system identification techniques when the true…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Yinlam Chow , Marek Petrik , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

We extend the exploration regarding dynamical approach of macroeconomic variables by tackling systematically expenditure using Statistical Physics models (for the first time to the best of our knowledge). Also, using polynomial distribution…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-29 Elvis Oltean , Fedor Kusmartsev

This work discusses the benefits of constrained portfolio turnover strategies for small to medium-sized portfolios. We propose a dynamic multi-period model that aims to minimize transaction costs and maximize terminal wealth levels whilst…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-26 Nakul Upadhya , Alexandre Granzer-Guay

The Total Portfolio Approach and Strategic Asset Allocation are widely viewed as competing frameworks for institutional portfolio management. We argue they differ in a single governance parameter: the tracking error constraint. Using U.S.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-04 Ashwin Alankar , Allan Maymin , Philip Maymin , Myron Scholes , Sujiang Zhang

The problem of portfolio optimization is one of the most important issues in asset management. This paper proposes a new dynamic portfolio strategy based on the time-varying structures of MST networks in Chinese stock markets, where the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Fei Ren , Ya-Nan Lu , Sai-Ping Li , Xiong-Fei Jiang , Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu

Goal-based investing is concerned with reaching a monetary investment goal by a given finite deadline, which differs from mean-variance optimization in modern portfolio theory. In this article, we expand the close connection between…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-01 Thomas Krabichler , Marcus Wunsch

Machine learning driven trading strategies have garnered a lot of interest over the past few years. There is, however, limited consensus on the ideal approach for the development of such trading strategies. Further, most literature has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Prasang Gupta , Shaz Hoda , Anand Rao

We consider the problem of learning about and comparing the consequences of dynamic treatment strategies on the basis of observational data. We formulate this within a probabilistic decision-theoretic framework. Our approach is compared…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-16 A. Philip Dawid , Vanessa Didelez

Traditional statistical estimation, or statistical inference in general, is static, in the sense that the estimate of the quantity of interest does not change the future evolution of the quantity. In some sequential estimation problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Aolin Xu

Rules based approaches for data quality solutions often use business rules or integrity rules for data monitoring purpose. Integrity rules are constraints on data derived from business rules into a formal form in order to allow…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-04-21 Thanh Thoa Pham Thi , Markus Helfert

A dynamic treatment regime is a sequence of decision rules in which each decision rule recommends treatment based on features of patient medical history such as past treatments and outcomes. Existing methods for estimating optimal dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-22 Kristin A. Linn , Eric B. Laber , Leonard A. Stefanski

Standard deep reinforcement learning (DRL) aims to maximize expected reward, considering collected experiences equally in formulating a policy. This differs from human decision-making, where gains and losses are valued differently and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Jared Markowitz , Ryan W. Gardner , Ashley Llorens , Raman Arora , I-Jeng Wang

This paper explores the mean-variance portfolio selection problem in a multi-period financial market characterized by regime-switching dynamics and uncontrollable liabilities. To address the uncertainty in the decision-making process within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Zhongqin Gao , Ping Chen , Xun Li , Yan Lv , Wenhao Zhang