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The optimization of atomic structures plays a pivotal role in understanding and designing materials with desired properties. However, conventional computational methods often struggle with the formidable task of navigating the vast…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-11-19 Peder Lyngby , Casper Larsen , Karsten Wedel Jacobsen

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective technique for black-box optimization. However, its applicability is typically limited to moderate-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of fitting the Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Qiyu Wei , Haowei Wang , Zirui Cao , Songhao Wang , Richard Allmendinger , Mauricio A Álvarez

In the last five years, the financial industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and machine learning. In this article, we explore two methods that have undergone rapid development in recent years: Gaussian processes and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-13 Joan Gonzalvez , Edmond Lezmi , Thierry Roncalli , Jiali Xu

Accelerator physics relies on numerical algorithms to solve optimization problems in online accelerator control and tasks such as experimental design and model calibration in simulations. The effectiveness of optimization algorithms in…

We propose practical extensions to Bayesian optimization for solving dynamic problems. We model dynamic objective functions using spatiotemporal Gaussian process priors which capture all the instances of the functions over time. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-12 Favour M. Nyikosa , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful approach to sample-efficient optimization of black-box functions. However, in settings with very few function evaluations, a successful application of BO may require transferring information from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Aryan Deshwal , Sait Cakmak , Yuhou Xia , David Eriksson

Identification of optimal dose combinations in early phase dose-finding trials is challenging, due to the trade-off between precisely estimating the many parameters required to flexibly model the possibly non-monotonic dose-response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , Bruno Boulanger , Bradley P. Carlin

Model-based sequential approaches to discrete "black-box" optimization, including Bayesian optimization techniques, often access the same points multiple times for a given objective function in interest, resulting in many steps to find the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Keisuke Morita , Yoshihiko Nishikawa , Masayuki Ohzeki

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

High-dimensional black-box optimisation remains an important yet notoriously challenging problem. Despite the success of Bayesian optimisation methods on continuous domains, domains that are categorical, or that mix continuous and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Xingchen Wan , Vu Nguyen , Huong Ha , Binxin Ru , Cong Lu , Michael A. Osborne

A local optimization method based on Bayesian Gaussian Processes is developed and applied to atomic structures. The method is applied to a variety of systems including molecules, clusters, bulk materials, and molecules at surfaces. The…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-11 Estefanía Garijo del Río , Jens Jørgen Mortensen , Karsten W. Jacobsen

Bayesian optimisation is a powerful tool to solve expensive black-box problems, but fails when the stationary assumption made on the objective function is strongly violated, which is the case in particular for ill-conditioned or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 Victor Picheny , Sattar Vakili , Artem Artemev

Applying Bayesian optimization in problems wherein the search space is unknown is challenging. To address this problem, we propose a systematic volume expansion strategy for the Bayesian optimization. We devise a strategy to guarantee that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 Huong Ha , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Thanh Nguyen , Hung Tran-The , Svetha Venkatesh

Bayesian optimization is a powerful tool for expensive stochastic black-box optimization problems such as simulation-based optimization or machine learning hyperparameter tuning. Many stochastic objective functions implicitly require a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-22 Michael Pearce , Matthias Poloczek , Juergen Branke

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

Computer experiments can emulate the physical systems, help computational investigations, and yield analytic solutions. They have been widely employed with many engineering applications (e.g., aerospace, automotive, energy systems.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Yan Wang , Meng Wang , Areej AlBahar , Xiaowei Yue

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Adrian G. Wills , Johannes Hendriks , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

High-precision measurements require optimal setups and analysis tools to achieve continuous improvements. Systematic corrections need to be modeled with high accuracy and known uncertainty to reconstruct underlying physical phenomena. To…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-31 Max Lamparth , Mattis Bestehorn , Bastian Märkisch