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We propose a general framework to design posterior sampling methods for model-based RL. We show that the proposed algorithms can be analyzed by reducing regret to Hellinger distance in conditional probability estimation. We further show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Alekh Agarwal , Tong Zhang

We propose a general solution to the problem of robust Bayesian inference in complex settings where outliers may be present. In practice, the automation of robust Bayesian analyses is important in the many applications involving large and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Jeremie Houssineau , David J. Nott

We construct and analyze an estimator of association between random variables based on their similarity in both direction and magnitude. Under special conditions, the proposed measure becomes a robust and consistent estimator of the linear…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Ilya Archakov

The sample complexity of simple binary hypothesis testing is the smallest number of i.i.d.\ samples required to distinguish between two distributions $p$ and $q$ in either: (i) the prior-free setting, with type-I error at most $\alpha$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

In this work, we generalize the Cram\'er-von Mises statistic via projection-averaging to obtain a robust test for the multivariate two-sample problem. The proposed test is consistent against all fixed alternatives, robust to heavy-tailed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Ilmun Kim , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

In classical statistics and distribution testing, it is often assumed that elements can be sampled from some distribution $P$, and that when an element $x$ is sampled, the probability $P$ of sampling $x$ is also known. Recent work in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Talya Eden , Jakob Bæk Tejs Houen , Shyam Narayanan , Will Rosenbaum , Jakub Tětek

We study the problem of closeness testing for continuous distributions and its implications for causal discovery. Specifically, we analyze the sample complexity of distinguishing whether two multidimensional continuous distributions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Fateme Jamshidi , Sina Akbari , Negar Kiyavash

Distributionally robust optimization has emerged as an attractive way to train robust machine learning models, capturing data uncertainty and distribution shifts. Recent statistical analyses have proved that generalization guarantees of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Tam Le , Jérôme Malick

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

This paper introduces a new method for testing the statistical significance of estimated parameters in predictive regressions. The approach features a new family of test statistics that are robust to the degree of persistence of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 Jean-Yves Pitarakis

This paper investigates improved testing inferences under a general multivariate elliptical regression model. The model is very flexible in terms of the specification of the mean vector and the dispersion matrix, and of the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-01 T. F. N. Melo , S. L. P. Ferrari , A. G. Patriota

Uniformity testing is one of the most well-studied problems in property testing, with many known test statistics, including ones based on counting collisions, singletons, and the empirical TV distance. It is known that the optimal sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-23 Shivam Gupta , Eric Price

The present paper answers the following questions related with high-dimensional manova: (i) is it possible to develop a likelihood ratio test for high-dimensional manova? (ii) would such test perform well? (iii) would it be able to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Carlos A. Coelho

We consider the problem of linear fitting of noisy data in the case of broad (say $\alpha$-stable) distributions of random impacts ("noise"), which can lack even the first moment. This situation, common in statistical physics of small…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Eugene B. Postnikov , Igor M. Sokolov

In this work, we revisit the one- and two-sample testing problems: binary hypothesis testing in which one or both distributions are unknown. For the one-sample test, we provide a more streamlined proof of the asymptotic optimality of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Arick Grootveld , Biao Chen , Venkata Gandikota

We study the robust quickest change detection under unknown pre- and post-change distributions. To deal with uncertainties in the data-generating distributions, we formulate two data-driven ambiguity sets based on the Wasserstein distance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Liyan Xie

We study the problem of generalized uniformity testing \cite{BC17} of a discrete probability distribution: Given samples from a probability distribution $p$ over an {\em unknown} discrete domain $\mathbf{\Omega}$, we want to distinguish,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

Uniformity testing and the more general identity testing are well studied problems in distributional property testing. Most previous work focuses on testing under $L_1$-distance. However, when the support is very large or even continuous,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-31 Shichuan Deng , Wenzheng Li , Xuan Wu

Robustness checks are routine in empirical work, but there is no standard statistical procedure to formally measure what one can learn from them. I propose a "robustness radius" measure to quantify the amount by which the robustness checks…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Brenda Prallon

We propose a general method for constructing robust permutation tests under data corruption. The proposed tests effectively control the non-asymptotic type I error under data corruption, and we prove their consistency in power under minimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-28 Antonin Schrab , Ilmun Kim
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