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Mechanisms of immunity, and of the host-pathogen interactions in general are among the most fundamental problems of medicine, ecology, and evolution studies. Here, we present a microscopic, protein-level, sequence-based model of immune…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-22 Muyoung Heo , Konstantin B. Zeldovich , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

The spread of infectious diseases, rumors, fashions, innovations are complex contagion processes, embedded both in networked and spatial contexts. Here we investigate the pattern dynamics of a complex contagion, where two agents, say $A$…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-18 Li Chen

Sequential monotherapy is the most widely used therapeutic approach in the treatment of HBV chronic infection. Unfortunately, under therapy, in some patients the hepatitis virus mutates and gives rise to variants which are drug resistant.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-01 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca , Sergio Foresti , Davide Mangioni , Andrea Gori

Epidemic models study the spread of an undesired agent through a population, be it infectious diseases through a country, misinformation in online social media, or pests infesting a region. In combating these epidemics, we rely neither on…

Since penicillin was discovered about 90 years ago, we have become used to using drugs to eradicate unwanted pathogenic cells. However, using drugs to kill bacteria, viruses or cancer cells has the serious side effect of selecting for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-02 Matti Gralka , Diana Fusco , Stephen Martis , Oskar Hallatschek

The spread of certain diseases can be promoted, in some cases substantially, by prior infection with another disease. One example is that of HIV, whose immunosuppressant effects significantly increase the chances of infection with other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-04 M. E. J. Newman , C. R. Ferrario

Biological evolution of a population is governed by the fitness landscape, which is a map from genotype to fitness. However, a fitness landscape depends on the organisms environment, and evolution in changing environments is still poorly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-26 Suman G Das , Joachim Krug , Muhittin Mungan

Motivated by COVID-19, we develop and analyze a simple stochastic model for a disease spread in human population. We track how the number of infected and critically ill people develops over time in order to estimate the demand that is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-10 Jakub Svoboda , Josef Tkadlec , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

We propose a model of antibiotic diffusion through a bacterial biofilm when diffusion and/or absorption barriers develop in the biofilm. The idea of this model is: We deduce details of the diffusion process in a medium in which direct…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-09-23 Tadeusz Kosztołowicz , Ralf Metzler

We investigate the effects of cooperativity between contagion processes that spread and persist in a host population. We propose and analyze a dynamical model in which individuals that are affected by one transmissible agent $A$ exhibit a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-22 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Dirk Brockmann

Many illnesses are associated with an alteration of the immune system homeostasis due to any combination of factors, including exogenous bacterial insult, endogenous breakdown (e.g., development of a disease that results in immuno…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-06-08 D. Sornette , V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , J. -Y. Henry , D. Schwab , J. P. Cobb

We present a model for host-parasite dynamics which incorporates both vertical and horizontal transmission as well as spatial structure. Our model consists of stacked contact processes (CP), where the dynamics of the host is a simple CP on…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-26 Steven J. Court , Richard A. Blythe , Rosalind J. Allen

Human behaviour strongly influences the spread of infectious diseases: understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is essential to improve response strategies to epidemics, with the goal of containing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-21 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Vittoria Colizza , Raffaella Burioni

The sustainable use of multicomponent treatments such as combination therapies, combination vaccines/chemicals, and plants carrying multigenic resistance requires an understanding of how their population-wide deployment affects the speed of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Romain Bourget , Loïc Chaumont , Natalia Sapoukhina

A class of stochastic vector-borne infectious disease models is derived and studied. The class type is determined by a general nonlinear incidence rate of the disease. The disease spreads in a highly random environment with variability from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

In this article, we analyze a system modeling bacteriophage treatments for infections in a noisy context. In the small noise regime, we show that after a reasonable amount of time the system is close to a sane equilibrium (which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Xavier Bardina , David Bascompte , Carles Rovira , Samy Tindel

We analyse a model that describes the propagation of many pathogens within and between many species. A branching process approximation is used to compute the probability of disease outbreaks. Special cases of aquatic environments with two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-21 Clotilde Djuikem , Julien Arino

Co-infecting parasites and pathogens remain a leading challenge for global public health due to their consequences for individual-level infection risk and disease progression. However, a clear understanding of the population-level…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-05 Erin E. Gorsich , Rampal S. Etienne , Jan Medlock , Brianna R. Beechler , Johannie M. Spaan , Robert S. Spaan , Vanessa O. Ezenwa , Anna E. Jolles

Mutation rate is a key determinant of the pace as well as outcome of evolution, and variability in this rate has been shown in different scenarios to play a key role in evolutionary adaptation and resistance evolution under stress caused by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-01 Dalit Engelhardt , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

Mathematical models describing SARS-CoV-2 dynamics and the corresponding immune responses in patients with COVID-19 can be critical to evaluate possible clinical outcomes of antiviral treatments. In this work, based on the concept of virus…