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Related papers: Estimating County-Level COVID-19 Exponential Growt…

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The COVID-19 pandemic provides new motivation for a classic problem in epidemiology: estimating the empirical rate of transmission during an outbreak (formally, the time-varying reproduction number) from case counts. While standard methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Bryan Wilder , Michael J. Mina , Milind Tambe

The objective of this study was to investigate the importance of multiple county-level features in the trajectory of COVID-19. We examined feature importance across 2,787 counties in the United States using a data-driven machine learning…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-13 Qingchun Li , Yang Yang , Wangqiu Wang , Sanghyeon Lee , Xin Xiao , Xinyu Gao , Bora Oztekin , Chao Fan , Ali Mostafavi

COVID-19 outbreaks have proven to be very difficult to isolate and extinguish before they spread out. An important reason behind this might be that epidemiological barriers consisting in stopping symptomatic people are likely to fail…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-31 Ezequiel Alvarez , Leandro Da Rold , Federico Lamagna , Manuel Szewc

Researchers have shown that even simple empirical models stemming from biological growth modeling have the potential to provide useful information on the development and severity of ongoing epidemics since they can be employed as tools for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 Evagoras Xydas , Konstantinos Kostas

An epidemiological model for COVID-19 was developed and implemented in MATLAB/GNU Octave for use by public health practitioners, policy makers and the general public. The model distinguishes four stages in the disease: infected, sick,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-24 Alex De Visscher

This study explores the use of deep learning techniques for analyzing lung Computed Tomography (CT) images. Classic deep learning approaches face challenges with varying slice counts and resolutions in CT images, a diversity arising from…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Chih-Chung Hsu , Chia-Ming Lee , Yang Fan Chiang , Yi-Shiuan Chou , Chih-Yu Jiang , Shen-Chieh Tai , Chi-Han Tsai

Modeling the spatiotemporal nature of the spread of infectious diseases can provide useful intuition in understanding the time-varying aspect of the disease spread and the underlying complex spatial dependency observed in people's mobility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Padmaksha Roy , Shailik Sarkar , Subhodip Biswas , Fanglan Chen , Zhiqian Chen , Naren Ramakrishnan , Chang-Tien Lu

COVID-19 as a global pandemic causes a massive disruption to social stability that threatens human life and the economy. Policymakers and all elements of society must deliver measurable actions based on the pandemic's severity to minimize…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Shuo Yu , Feng Xia , Yueru Wang , Shihao Li , Falih Febrinanto , Madhu Chetty

We provide a predictive analysis of the spread of COVID-19, also known as SARS-CoV-2, using the dataset made publicly available online by the Johns Hopkins University. Our main objective is to provide predictions of the number of infected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Alireza M. Javid , Xinyue Liang , Arun Venkitaraman , Saikat Chatterjee

Recently, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has worked with other federal agencies to identify counties with increasing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) incidence (hotspots) and offers support to local health…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-04 Shixiang Zhu , Alexander Bukharin , Liyan Xie , Khurram Yamin , Shihao Yang , Pinar Keskinocak , Yao Xie

COVID-19 patient triaging with predictive outcome of the patients upon first present to emergency department (ED) is crucial for improving patient prognosis, as well as better hospital resources management and cross-infection control. We…

The investment of time and resources for better strategies and methodologies to tackle a potential pandemic is key to deal with potential outbreaks of new variants or other viruses in the future. In this work, we recreated the scene of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Andrés L. Suárez-Cetrulo , Ankit Kumar , Luis Miralles-Pechuán

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) spread forecasting is an important task to track the growth of the pandemic. Existing predictions are merely based on qualitative analyses and mathematical modeling. The use of available big data with machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Novanto Yudistira

Understanding dynamics of an outbreak like that of COVID-19 is important in designing effective control measures. This study aims to develop an agent based model that compares changes in infection progression by manipulating different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-24 Anik Burman , Sayak Chatterjee , Pramit Ghosh , Indranil Mukhokadhyay

The long duration of the COVID-19 pandemic allowed for multiple bursts in the infection and death rates, the so-called epidemic waves. This complex behavior is no longer tractable by simple compartmental model and requires more…

The COVID-19 pandemic has inspired unprecedented data collection and computer vision modelling efforts worldwide, focusing on diagnosis and stratification of COVID-19 from medical images. Despite this large-scale research effort, these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Michael J. Horry , Subrata Chakraborty , Biswajeet Pradhan , Maryam Fallahpoor , Chegeni Hossein , Manoranjan Paul

Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

The COVID-19 (Coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic has become a major global threat to human health and well-being. Thus, the development of computer-aided detection (CAD) systems that are capable to accurately distinguish COVID-19 from other…

The SARS-CoV-2 infectious outbreak has rapidly spread across the globe and precipitated varying policies to effectuate physical distancing to ameliorate its impact. In this study, we propose a new hybrid machine learning model, SIRNet, for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-23 Nicholas Soures , David Chambers , Zachariah Carmichael , Anurag Daram , Dimpy P. Shah , Kal Clark , Lloyd Potter , Dhireesha Kudithipudi

Policy-makers require data-driven tools to assess the spread of COVID-19 and inform the public of their risk of infection on an ongoing basis. We propose a rigorous hybrid model-and-data-driven approach to risk scoring based on a…