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With the prevailing efforts to combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there are still uncertainties that are yet to be discovered about its spread, future impact, and resurgence. In this paper, we present a three-stage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Oluwaseun T. Ajayi , Yu Cheng

Socio-economic disparities quite often have a central role in the unfolding of large-scale catastrophic events. One of the most concerning aspects of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemics is that it disproportionately affects people from Black and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-09 Aleix Bassolas , Sandro Sousa , Vincenzo Nicosia

Computational measures of linguistic diversity help us understand the linguistic landscape using digital language data. The contribution of this paper is to calibrate measures of linguistic diversity using restrictions on international…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Jonathan Dunn , Tom Coupe , Benjamin Adams

Following [Diggle 2011, Greenland 1995], we give a simple formula for the Bayesian posterior density of a prevalence parameter based on unreliable testing of a population. This problem is of particular importance when the false positive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-14 Jonathan Baxter

This paper considers Bayesian multiple testing under sparsity for polynomial-tailed distributions satisfying a monotone likelihood ratio property. Included in this class of distributions are the Student's t, the Pareto, and many other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-29 Xueying Tang , Ke Li , Malay Ghosh

Test-negative designs with added controls have recently been proposed to study COVID-19. An individual is test-positive or test-negative accordingly if they took a test for a disease but tested positive or tested negative. Adding a control…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-15 Bikram Karmakar , Dylan Small

In this paper, we introduce the latent racial bias, a metric and method to evaluate the racial bias within specific events. For the purpose of this paper we explore the British Home Office dataset of stop-and-search incidents. We explore…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-28 Akbir Khan

We consider real-time timely tracking of infection status (e.g., covid-19) of individuals in a population. In this work, a health care provider wants to detect infected people as well as people who have recovered from the disease as quickly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Melih Bastopcu , Sennur Ulukus

Early in the pandemic, counties and states implemented a variety of non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs) focused on mobility, such as national lockdowns or work-from-home strategies, as it became clear that restricting movement was…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Saad Mohammad Abrar , Kazi Tasnim Zinat , Naman Awasthi , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

The correct evaluation of the reproductive number $R$ for COVID-19 -- which characterizes the average number of secondary cases generated by each typical primary case -- is central in the quantification of the potential scope of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-15 Claire Donnat , Susan Holmes

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly deployed in critical domains such as finance, healthcare, and criminal justice [1]. The increasing popularity of algorithmic decision-making has stimulated interest in algorithmic fairness within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Animesh Joshi

Testing the (in)equality of variances is an important problem in many statistical applications. We develop default Bayes factor tests to assess the (in)equality of two or more population variances, as well as a test for whether the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 Fabian Dablander , Don van den Bergh , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers , Alexander Ly

Unintended bias in Machine Learning can manifest as systemic differences in performance for different demographic groups, potentially compounding existing challenges to fairness in society at large. In this paper, we introduce a suite of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-09 Daniel Borkan , Lucas Dixon , Jeffrey Sorensen , Nithum Thain , Lucy Vasserman

The COVID-19 pandemic has spurred a large amount of observational studies reporting linkages between the risk of developing severe COVID-19 or dying from it, and sex and gender. By reviewing a large body of related literature and conducting…

Coronavirus case-count data has influenced government policies and drives most epidemiological forecasts. Limited testing is cited as the key driver behind minimal information on the COVID-19 pandemic. While expanded testing is laudable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Walter Dempsey

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has rapidly spread throughout the world and while pregnant women present the same adverse outcome rates, they are underrepresented in clinical research. We collected clinical data of 155 test-positive…

The design of data-driven dashboards that inform municipalities on ongoing changes in infections within their community is addressed in this research. Daily reports of Covid-19 infections published by the state of Wisconsin as the initial…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-24 Emi Aoki , Arkajyoti Sinha , Charles Thompson , Kavitha Chandra

Pooled testing offers an efficient solution to the unprecedented testing demands of the COVID-19 pandemic, although with potentially lower sensitivity and increased costs to implementation in some settings. Assessments of this trade-off…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-13 Saskia Comess , Hannah Wang , Susan Holmes , Claire Donnat

This study introduces a stochastic model of COVID-19 transmission tailored to the Colorado School of Mines campus and evaluates surveillance testing strategies within a university context. Enhancing the conventional SEIR framework with…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-09 Laura Albrecht , Karin Leiderman , Suzanne Sindi , Douglas Nychka

Researchers have been battling with the question of how we can identify Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases efficiently, affordably and at scale. Recent work has shown how audio based approaches, which collect respiratory audio data…