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We develop a statistical model for the testing of disease prevalence in a population. The model assumes a binary test result, positive or negative, but allows for biases in sample selection and both type I (false positive) and type II…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Lucas Böttcher , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

Outcome tests are a popular method for detecting bias in lending, hiring, and policing decisions. These tests operate by comparing the success rate of decisions across groups. For example, if loans made to minority applicants are observed…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-21 Camelia Simoiu , Sam Corbett-Davies , Sharad Goel

Threshold tests have recently been proposed as a useful method for detecting bias in lending, hiring, and policing decisions. For example, in the case of credit extensions, these tests aim to estimate the bar for granting loans to white and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Emma Pierson , Sam Corbett-Davies , Sharad Goel

One of the central difficulties of addressing the COVID-19 pandemic has been accurately measuring and predicting the spread of infections. In particular, official COVID-19 case counts in the United States are under counts of actual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-20 Daniel Smolyak , Saad Abrar , Naman Awasthi , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

In this short technical report we model, within the Bayesian framework, the rate of positive tests reported by the the State of Indiana, accounting also for the substantial variability (and overdispeartion) in the daily count of the tests…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Ben Boukai , Jiayue Wang

A key challenge in estimating the infection fatality rate (IFR) -- and its relation with various factors of interest -- is determining the total number of cases. The total number of cases is not known because not everyone is tested, but…

In the last months, due to the emergency of Covid-19, questions related to the fact of belonging or not to a particular class of individuals (`infected or not infected'), after being tagged as `positive' or `negative' by a test, have never…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-23 Giulio D'Agostini , Alfredo Esposito

There are many hard-to-reconcile numbers circulating concerning Covid-19. Using reports from random testing, the fatality ratio per infection is evaluated and used to extract further information on the actual fraction of infections and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 Allen Caldwell , Vasyl Hafych , Oliver SChulz , Lolian Shtembari

COVID-19 testing has become a standard approach for estimating prevalence which then assist in public health decision making to contain and mitigate the spread of the disease. The sampling designs used are often biased in that they do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-24 Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , J Sunil Rao

Tests for racial bias commonly assess whether two people of different races are treated differently. A fundamental challenge is that, because two people may differ in many ways, factors besides race might explain differences in treatment.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-18 Nora Gera , Emma Pierson

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, millions of people have succumbed to this deadly virus. Many attempts have been made to devise an automated method of testing that could detect the virus. Various researchers around the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-11 Samyak Prajapati , Japman Singh Monga , Shaanya Singh , Amrit Raj , Yuvraj Singh Champawat , Chandra Prakash

In light of the outbreak of COVID-19, analyzing and measuring human mobility has become increasingly important. A wide range of studies have explored spatiotemporal trends over time, examined associations with other variables, evaluated…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Abdolmajid Erfani , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many institutions such as universities and workplaces implemented testing regimens with every member of some population tested longitudinally, and those testing positive isolated for some time. Although the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-19 Patrick M. Schnell , Matthew Wascher , Grzegorz A. Rempala

To strengthen inferences meta analyses are commonly used to summarize information from a set of independent studies. In some cases, though, the data may not satisfy the assumptions underlying the meta analysis. Using three Bayesian methods…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Dexter Cahoy , Joseph Sedransk

Characterizing the cumulative burden of COVID-19 by race/ethnicity is of the utmost importance for public health researchers and policy makers in order to design effective mitigation measures. This analysis is hampered, however, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 Rob Trangucci , Yang Chen , Jon Zelner

Biometric recognition is used across a variety of applications from cyber security to border security. Recent research has focused on ensuring biometric performance (false negatives and false positives) is fair across demographic groups.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Michael Schuckers , Sandip Purnapatra , Kaniz Fatima , Daqing Hou , Stephanie Schuckers

At the time of this article, COVID-19 has been transmitted to more than 42 million people and resulted in more than 673,000 deaths across the United States. Throughout this pandemic, public health authorities have monitored the results of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Zhen Zhong , Ribhu Sengupta , Kamran Paynabar , Lance A. Waller

Testing is an important part of tackling the COVID-19 pandemic. Availability of testing is a bottleneck due to constrained resources and effective prioritization of individuals is necessary. Here, we discuss the impact of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Hagit Grushka-Cohen , Raphael Cohen , Bracha Shapira , Jacob Moran-Gilad , Lior Rokach

The COVID-19 pandemic provides new motivation for a classic problem in epidemiology: estimating the empirical rate of transmission during an outbreak (formally, the time-varying reproduction number) from case counts. While standard methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Bryan Wilder , Michael J. Mina , Milind Tambe

In critical decision-making scenarios, optimizing accuracy can lead to a biased classifier, hence past work recommends enforcing group-based fairness metrics in addition to maximizing accuracy. However, doing so exposes the classifier to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Arpita Biswas , Siddharth Barman , Amit Deshpande , Amit Sharma
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