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In this paper, we present a method to forecast the spread of SARS-CoV-2 across regions with a focus on the role of mobility. Mobility has previously been shown to play a significant role in the spread of the virus, particularly between…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Martijn H. H. Schoot Uiterkamp , Martijn Gösgens , Hans Heesterbeek , Remco van der Hofstad , Nelly Litvak

Mumbai, amongst the most densely populated cities in the world, has witnessed the fourth largest number of cases and the largest number of deaths among all the cities in India (as of 28th October 2020). Along with the rest of India,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-05 Prahladh Harsha , Sandeep Juneja , Daksh Mittal , Ramprasad Saptharishi

Public transport ridership around the world has been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic. Travellers are likely to adapt their behaviour to avoid the risk of transmission and these changes may even be sustained after the pandemic. To evaluate…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-17 Sanmay Shelat , Oded Cats , Sander van Cranenburgh

COVID-19 has disrupted the global economy and well-being of people at an unprecedented scale and magnitude. To contain the disease, an effective early warning system that predicts the locations of outbreaks is of crucial importance. Studies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Takahiro Yabe , Kota Tsubouchi , Satish V Ukkusuri

Urban mobility is central to economic activity, social inclusion, and access to essential services. COVID-19 caused disruptions to mobility globally, yet its long-term impacts in less developed countries remain poorly understood. Using over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-16 Carmen Cabrera , Miguel González-Leonardo , Andrea Nasuto , Ruth Neville , Francisco Rowe

The fast transmission rate of COVID-19 worldwide has made this virus the most important challenge of year 2020. Many mitigation policies have been imposed by the governments at different regional levels (country, state, county, and city) to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-04 Yue Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

At the beginning of 2020 the world has seen the initial outbreak of COVID-19, a disease caused by SARS-CoV2 virus in China. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared this disease as a pandemic on March 11 2020. As the disease spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-17 Pitoyo Hartono

We present a collection of networks that describe the travel patterns between municipalities in Mexico between 2020 and 2021. Using anonymized mobile device geo-location data we constructed directed, weighted networks representing the…

In this work, we simulate the COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in a population modeled as a network of groups wherein infection can propagate both via intra-group and via inter-group interactions. Our results emphasize the importance of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Ioan Baldea

Social distancing and stay-at-home are among the few measures that are known to be effective in checking the spread of a pandemic such as COVID-19 in a given population. The patterns of dependency between such measures and their effects on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-19 Frank Nielsen , Gautier Marti , Sumanta Ray , Saumyadipta Pyne

Human mobility is crucial to understand the transmission pattern of COVID-19 on spatially embedded geographic networks. This pattern seems unpredictable, and the propagation appears unstoppable, resulting in over 350,000 death tolls in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-19 Hengfang Deng , Jianxi Gao , Qi Wang

The outbreak of COVID-19 in Europe occurred in early 2020. During the year, several waves of infection developed with different timings across the European countries. The onset of the largest wave of infection occurred in August-September.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-09 Corentin Cot , Dea Aksentijević , Alen Jugović , Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Gianandrea Mannarini

Human civilization is experiencing a critical situation that presents itself for a new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This virus emerged in late December 2019 in Wuhan city, Hubei, China. The grim fact of COVID-19 is, it is highly…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Bikash Chandra Singh , Zulfikar Alom , Mohammad Muntasir Rahman , Mrinal Kanti Baowaly , Mohammad Abdul Azim

Imported COVID-19 cases, if unchecked, can jeopardize the effort of domestic containment. We aim to find out what sustainable border control options for different entities (e.g., countries, states) exist during the reopening phases, given…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-05 Zhen Zhu , Enzo Weber , Till Strohsal , Duaa Serhan

Due to the wide-ranging travel restrictions and lockdowns applied to limit the diffusion of the SARS-CoV2 virus, the coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had an immediate and significant effect on human mobility at the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-01 Pedram Beigi , Mohaiminul Haque , Mohammad Sadra Rajabi , Samer Hamdar

With a two-layer contact-dispersion model and data in China, we analyze the cost-effectiveness of three types of antiepidemic measures for COVID-19: regular epidemiological control, local social interaction control, and inter-city travel…

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the collapse of the public transit ridership led to significant budget deficits due to dramatic decreases in fare revenues. Additionally, public transit agencies are facing challenges of reduced vehicle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-30 Ramon Auad , Kevin Dalmeijer , Connor Riley , Tejas Santanam , Anthony Trasatti , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Hanyu Zhang

The COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of social distancing policies have rapidly changed people's visiting patterns, as reflected in mobility data that tracks mobility traffic using location trackers on cell phones. However, the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Prajindra Sankar Krishnan , Chai Phing Chen , Gamal Alkawsi , Sieh Kiong Tiong , Luiz Fernando Capretz

The COVID-19 pandemic reshaped human mobility through policy interventions and voluntary behavioral changes. Mobility adaptions helped mitigate pandemic spread, however our knowledge which environmental, social, and demographic factors…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-30 Sydney Paltra , Jonas Dehning , Viola Priesemann , Kai Nagel

In the absence of neither an effective treatment or vaccine and with an incomplete understanding of the epidemiological cycle, Govt. has implemented a nationwide lockdown to reduce COVID-19 transmission in India. To study the effect of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Tridip Sardar , Sk Shahid Nadim , Sourav Rana , Joydev Chattopadhyay