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Source localization, the act of finding the originator of a disease or rumor in a network, has become an important problem in sociology and epidemiology. The localization is done using the infection state and time of infection of a few…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-07 Brunella Spinelli , L. Elisa Celis , Patrick Thiran

Wastewater monitoring is an effective approach for the early detection of viral and bacterial disease outbreaks. It has recently been used to identify the presence of individuals infected with COVID-19. To monitor large communities and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Kalvik Jakkala , Srinivas Akella

We study the problem of estimating the origin of an epidemic outbreak -- given a contact network and a snapshot of epidemic spread at a certain time, determine the infection source. Finding the source is important in different contexts of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-20 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Mézard , Hiroki Ohta , Lenka Zdeborová

Infectious diseases remain one of the major causes of human mortality and suffering. Mathematical models have been established as an important tool for capturing the features that drive the spread of the disease, predicting the progression…

Mathematical models of cholera and waterborne disease vary widely in their structures, in terms of transmission pathways, loss of immunity, and other features. These differences may yield different predictions and parameter estimates from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-24 Elizabeth C. Lee , Michael R. Kelly , Brad M. Ochocki , Segun M. Akinwumi , Karen E. S. Hamre , Joseph H. Tien , Marisa C. Eisenberg

We study the epidemic source detection problem in contact tracing networks modeled as a graph-constrained maximum likelihood estimation problem using the susceptible-infected model in epidemiology. Based on a snapshot observation of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Pei-Duo Yu , Chee Wei Tan , Hung-Lin Fu

In this paper we propose a Stochastic model for studying a spatial cholera epidemic spreading where communities (Humans and Bacteria) are spatially distributed on a one-dimensional lattice and the bacteria are transported along a network…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Boris Kouegou Kamen , Mac Jugal Nguepedja Nankep

Objectives: Our research adopts computational techniques to analyze disease outbreaks weekly over a large geographic area while maintaining local-level analysis by incorporating relevant high-spatial resolution cultural and environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Scott Pezanowski , Etien Luc Koua , Joseph C Okeibunor , Abdou Salam Gueye

Despite seasonal cholera outbreaks in Bangladesh, little is known about the relationship between environmental conditions and cholera cases. We seek to develop a predictive model for cholera outbreaks in Bangladesh based on environmental…

Insect-borne diseases are diseases carried by insects affecting humans, animals or plants. They have the potential to generate massive outbreaks such as the Zika epidemic in 2015-2016 mostly distributed in the Americas, the Pacific and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Olivier Martin , Yasmil Fernandez-Diclo , Jerome Coville , Samuel Soubeyrand

A rumor spreading in a social network or a disease propagating in a community can be modeled as an infection spreading in a network. Finding the infection source is a challenging problem, which is made more difficult in many applications…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-08 Wuqiong Luo , Wee Peng Tay , Mei Leng

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

The epidemic spreading of a disease can be described by a contact network whose nodes are persons or centers of contagion and links heterogeneous relations among them. We provide a procedure to identify multiple sources of an outbreak or…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-11-13 Vincenzo Fioriti , Marta Chinnici

Cholera, an acute diarrheal disease, is a serious concern in developing and underdeveloped areas. A qualitative understanding of cholera epidemics aims to foresee transmission patterns based on reported data and mechanistic models. The…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-25 Adrita Ghosh , Parthasakha Das , Tanujit Chakraborty , Pritha Das , Dibakar Ghosh

The emergence of novel infectious agents presents challenges to statistical models of disease transmission. These challenges arise from limited, poor-quality data and an incomplete understanding of the agent. Moreover, outbreaks manifest…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Jiasheng Shi , Jeffrey S. Morris , David M. Rubin , Jing Huang

In stopping the spread of infectious diseases, pathogen genomic data can be used to reconstruct transmission events and characterize population-level sources of infection. Most approaches for identifying transmission pairs do not account…

Cholera, a severe gastrointestinal infection caused by the bacterium Vibrio cholerae, remains a major threat to public health with a yearly estimated global burden of 2.9 million cases. Although the majority of existing models for the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Beryl Musundi

Whole genome sequencing of pathogens from multiple hosts in an epidemic offers the potential to investigate who infected whom with unparalleled resolution, potentially yielding important insights into disease dynamics and the impact of…

Locating the source that triggers a dynamical process is a fundamental but challenging problem in complex networks, ranging from epidemic spreading in society and on the Internet to cancer metastasis in the human body. An accurate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-15 Zhesi Shen , Shinan Cao , Wen-Xu Wang , Zengru Di , H. Eugene Stanley

In this paper, we consider epidemiological networks which are used for modeling the transmission of contagious diseases through a population. Specifically, we study the so-called social sensors problem: given an epidemiological network, can…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Shubhajit Sen , Samhita Pal , Srijan Sengupta
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