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Continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) are popular modeling formalism that constitutes the underlying semantics for real-time probabilistic systems such as queuing networks, stochastic process algebras, and calculi for systems biology. Prism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Giovanni Bacci , Anna Ingólfsdóttir , Kim G. Larsen , Raphaël Reynouard

A decision maker records measurements of a finite-state Markov chain corrupted by noise. The goal is to decide when the Markov chain hits a specific target state. The decision maker can choose from a finite set of sampling intervals to pick…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-17 Vikram Krishnamurthy

The development of an algorithm with related mathematical concepts and supporting hypothesis for detecting changes in system dynamics from time series along with empirical analysis and theoretical justification is presented. For the method,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-30 Ferdaus Kawsar , Mohammad Adibuzzaman

We study the problem of learning the transition matrices of a set of Markov chains from a single stream of observations on each chain. We assume that the Markov chains are ergodic but otherwise unknown. The learner can sample Markov chains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Mohammad Sadegh Talebi , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We investigate real-time tracking of two correlated stochastic processes over a shared wireless channel. The joint evolution of the processes is modeled as a two-dimensional discrete-time Markov chain. Each process is observed by a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Mehrdad Salimnejad , Marios Kountouris , Nikolaos Pappas

Active state tracking is needed in object classification, target tracking, medical diagnosis and estimation of sparse signals among other various applications. Herein, active state tracking of a discrete-time, finite-state Markov chain is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-05-26 Daphney-Stavroula Zois , Urbashi Mitra

We study the problem of jointly designing a sparse sensor and actuator schedule for linear dynamical systems while guaranteeing a control/estimation performance that approximates the fully sensed/actuated setting. We further prove a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-08 Milad Siami , Ali Jadbabaie

Finite element model updating is challenging because 1) the problem is oftentimes underdetermined while the measurements are limited and/or incomplete; 2) many combinations of parameters may yield responses that are similar with respect to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-28 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of a finite, ergodic, and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , David A. Levin , Yuval Peres , Csaba Szepesvári

We consider estimating the transition probability matrix of a finite-state finite-observation alphabet hidden Markov model with known observation probabilities. The main contribution is a two-step algorithm; a method of moments estimator…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

We consider the problem of approximating the stationary distribution of an ergodic Markov chain given a set of sampled transitions. Classical simulation-based approaches assume access to the underlying process so that trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Junfeng Wen , Bo Dai , Lihong Li , Dale Schuurmans

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

This paper considers the massive connectivity application in which a large number of potential devices communicate with a base-station (BS) in a sporadic fashion. The detection of device activity pattern together with the estimation of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Zhilin Chen , Foad Sohrabi , Wei Yu

We consider a unified framework of sequential change-point detection and hypothesis testing modeled by means of hidden Markov chains. One observes a sequence of random variables whose distributions are functionals of a hidden Markov chain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-13 Savas Dayanik , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We propose two algorithms for simulating continuous time Markov chains in the presence of metastability. We show that the algorithms correctly estimate, under the ergodicity assumption, stationary averages of the process. Both algorithms,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Ting Wang , Petr Plecháč , David Aristoff

We investigate the optimal performance of dense sensor networks by studying the joint source-channel coding problem. The overall goal of the sensor network is to take measurements from an underlying random process, code and transmit those…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Nan Liu , Sennur Ulukus

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

We study a remote estimation setup with an autoregressive (AR) Markov process, a sensor, and a remote estimator. The sensor observes the process and sends encoded observations to the estimator as packets over an unreliable communication…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Manali Dutta , Rahul Singh , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Pulsar timing experiments typically generate a phase-connected timing solution from a sequence of times-of-arrival (TOAs) by absolute pulse numbering, i.e. by fitting an integer number of pulses between TOAs in order to minimize the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2020-06-24 A. Melatos , L. M. Dunn , S. Suvorova , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

Markov chains are the de facto finite-state model for stochastic dynamical systems, and Markov decision processes (MDPs) extend Markov chains by incorporating non-deterministic behaviors. Given an MDP and rewards on states, a classical…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen
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