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For non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems we consider the time series of maxima along typical orbits. Using ideas based upon quantitative recurrence time statistics we prove convergence of the maxima (under suitable normalization) to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Mark Holland , Pau Rabassa , Alef Sterk

In many complex statistical models maximum likelihood estimators cannot be calculated. In the paper we solve this problem using Markov chain Monte Carlo approximation of the true likelihood. In the main result we prove asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Wojciech Rejchel

The literature on statistical learning for time series often assumes asymptotic independence or "mixing" of the data-generating process. These mixing assumptions are never tested, nor are there methods for estimating mixing coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Mark Schervish

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

With the growing availability of large-scale biomedical data, it is often time-consuming or infeasible to directly perform traditional statistical analysis with relatively limited computing resources at hand. We propose a fast subsampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-18 Haixiang Zhang , Lulu Zuo , HaiYing Wang , Liuquan Sun

In this note we consider the finite-dimensional parameter estimation problem associated to inverse problems. In such scenarios, one seeks to maximize the marginal likelihood associated to a Bayesian model. This latter model is connected to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Ajay Jasra , Abylay Zhumekenov

The paper introduces a new regression model designed for situations where both the response and covariates are non-stationary extremes. This method is specifically designed for situations where both the response variable and covariates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Amina El Bernoussi , Mohamed El Arrouchi

In multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT), the focus is on analysis outside of the observable sampling zone, which implies that the region of interest is associated to high risk levels. This work provides tools to include directional…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-05 Raúl Torres , Elena Di Bernardino , Henry Laniado , Rosa E. Lillo

We give a thorough description of the asymptotic property of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the skewness parameter of a Skew Brownian Motion (SBM). Thanks to recent results on the Central Limit Theorem of the rate of convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

In this paper, we consider a class of nonsmooth nonconvex optimization problems whose objective is the sum of a block relative smooth function and a proper and lower semicontinuous block separable function. Although the analysis of block…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Le Thi Khanh Hien , Duy Nhat Phan , Nicolas Gillis , Masoud Ahookhosh , Panagiotis Patrinos

The Blumenthal-Getoor (BG) index characterizes the jump measure of an infinitely active L\'evy process. It determines sample path properties and affects the behavior of various econometric procedures. If the process contains a diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-20 Fabian Mies

We consider the estimation of an i.i.d.\ random vector observed through a linear transform followed by a componentwise, probabilistic (possibly nonlinear) measurement channel. A novel algorithm, called generalized approximate message…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-15 Sundeep Rangan

The estimation of the Extreme Value Index (EVI) is fundamental in extreme value analysis but suffers from high variance due to reliance on only a few extreme observations. We propose a control variates based transfer learning approach in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Louison Bocquet-Nouaille , Jérôme Morio , Benjamin Bobbia

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

In this paper, we study the Bernstein polynomial model for estimating the multivariate distribution functions and densities with bounded support. As a mixture model of multivariate beta distributions, the maximum (approximate) likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-23 Tao Wang , Zhong Guan

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

We consider a one dimensional sub-ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric i.i.d. random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter based on a single observation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Arnaud Gloter

We discuss the use of likelihood asymptotics for inference on risk measures in univariate extreme value problems, focusing on estimation of high quantiles and similar summaries of risk for uncertainty quantification. We study whether…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Léo R. Belzile , Anthony C. Davison

To tackle massive data, subsampling is a practical approach to select the more informative data points. However, when responses are expensive to measure, developing efficient subsampling schemes is challenging, and an optimal sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-11 Jing Wang , HaiYing Wang , Shifeng Xiong