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This paper devises a regression-type model for the situation where both the response and covariates are extreme. The proposed approach is designed for the setting where both the response and covariates are themselves block maxima, and thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Miguel de Carvalho , Gonçalo dos Reis , Alina Kumukova

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

The block maxima method is a classical and widely applied statistical method for time series extremes. It has recently been found that respective estimators whose asymptotics are driven by empirical means can be improved by using sliding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Axel Bücher , Torben Staud

We propose a new class of models for variable clustering called Asymptotic Independent block (AI-block) models, which defines population-level clusters based on the independence of the maxima of a multivariate stationary mixing random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Alexis Boulin , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Gwladys Toulemonde

The block maxima method is one of the most popular approaches for extreme value analysis with independent and identically distributed observations in the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. The lack of a rigorous study on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Simone A Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is pivotal in statistical inference, yet its application is often hindered by the absence of closed-form solutions for many models. This poses challenges in real-time computation scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Pedro L. Ramos , Eduardo Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Francisco Louzada

The classical approach to analyzing extreme value data is the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). When the GPD is used to explain a target variable with the large dimension of covariates, the shape and scale function of covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Takuma Yoshida

The extremal index parameter theta characterizes the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary time series and has important applications in a number of areas, such as hydrology, telecommunications, finance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-25 Kamal Hamidieh , Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

Extreme value theory for chaotic dynamical systems is a rapidly expanding area of research. Given a system and a real function (observable) defined on its phase space, extreme value theory studies the limit probabilistic laws obeyed by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Mark P. Holland , Renato Vitolo , Pau Rabassa , Alef E. Sterk , Henk W. Broer

We aim to analyze the behaviour of a finite-time stochastic system, whose model is not available, in the context of more rare and harmful outcomes. Standard estimators are not effective in making predictions about such outcomes due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-29 Evan Arsenault , Yuheng Wang , Margaret P. Chapman

Max-stable distributions and processes are important models for extreme events and the assessment of tail risks. The full, multivariate likelihood of a parametric max-stable distribution is complicated and only recent advances enable its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

Estimation of large covariance matrices has drawn considerable recent attention, and the theoretical focus so far has mainly been on developing a minimax theory over a fixed parameter space. In this paper, we consider adaptive covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-05 T. Tony Cai , Ming Yuan

Boltzmann machines (BMs) are a class of binary neural networks for which there have been numerous proposed methods of estimation. Recently, it has been shown that in the fully visible case of the BM, the method of maximum pseudolikelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-30 Hien D. Nguyen , Ian A. Wood

Motion estimation is the most critical process in video coding systems. First of all, it has a definitive impact on the rate-distortion performance given by the video encoder. Secondly, it is the most computationally intensive process…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2011-11-09 S. Lopez , G. M. Callico , J. F. Lopez , R. Sarmiento

We study behavior of the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimator under a misspecified linear mixed model (LMM) that has received much attention in recent gnome-wide association studies. The asymptotic analysis establishes consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Jiming Jiang , Cong Li , Debashis Paul , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

We prove asymptotic normality of the so-called maximum likelihood estimator of the extreme value index.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Holger Drees , Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan

In extreme values theory, for a sufficiently large block size, the maxima distribution is approximated by the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The GEV distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions, which has…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Cira E. G. Otiniano , Bianca Sousa , Roberto Vila , Marcelo Bourguignon

Matrix completion algorithms recover a low rank matrix from a small fraction of the entries, each entry contaminated with additive errors. In practice, the singular vectors and singular values of the low rank matrix play a pivotal role for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-03 Juhee Cho , Donggyu Kim , Karl Rohe

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert