Related papers: Modelling and simulation of dependence structures …
Dependence strucuture estimation is one of the important problems in machine learning domain and has many applications in different scientific areas. In this paper, a theoretical framework for such estimation based on copula and copula…
This paper presents a new copula to model dependencies between insurance entities, by considering how insurance entities are affected by both macro and micro factors. The model used to build the copula assumes that the insurance losses of…
Cylindrical data frequently arise across various scientific disciplines, including meteorology (e.g., wind direction and speed), oceanography (e.g., marine current direction and speed or wave heights), ecology (e.g., telemetry), and…
Many applications in risk analysis, especially in environmental sciences, require the estimation of the dependence among multivariate maxima. A way to do this is by inferring the Pickands dependence function of the underlying extreme-value…
In this article, we study tests of independence for data with arbitrary distributions in the non-serial case, i.e., for independent and identically distributed random vectors, as well as in the serial case, i.e., for time series. These…
Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…
We study an unbiased estimator for the density of a sum of random variables that are simulated from a computer model. A numerical study on examples with copula dependence is conducted where the proposed estimator performs favourably in…
With insurers benefiting from ever-larger amounts of data of increasing complexity, we explore a data-driven method to model dependence within multilevel claims in this paper. More specifically, we start from a non-parametric estimator for…
A framework for quantifying dependence between random vectors is introduced. With the notion of a collapsing function, random vectors are summarized by single random variables, called collapsed random variables in the framework. Using this…
We propose to construct copulas from the inversion of nonlinear state space models. These allow for new time series models that have the same serial dependence structure of a state space model, but with an arbitrary marginal distribution,…
We propose an approach to construct a new family of generalized Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (GFGM) copulas that naturally scales to high dimensions. A GFGM copula can model moderate positive and negative dependence, cover different types of…
Copula models are flexible tools to represent complex structures of dependence for multivariate random variables. According to Sklar's theorem (Sklar, 1959), any d-dimensional absolutely continuous density can be uniquely represented as the…
We utilize copulas to constitute a unified framework for constructing and optimizing variational proposals in hierarchical Bayesian models. For models with continuous and non-Gaussian hidden variables, we propose a semiparametric and…
This paper presents comparison results and establishes risk bounds for credit portfolios within classes of Bernoulli mixture models, assuming conditionally independent defaults that are stochastically increasing with a common risk factor.…
We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…
Conditional copulas are useful tools for modeling the dependence between multiple response variables that may vary with a given set of predictor variables. Conditional dependence measures such as conditional Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho…
We discuss Bayesian nonparametric procedures for the regression analysis of compositional responses, that is, data supported on a multivariate simplex. The procedures are based on a modified class of multivariate Bernstein polynomials and…
Learning the joint dependence of discrete variables is a fundamental problem in machine learning, with many applications including prediction, clustering and dimensionality reduction. More recently, the framework of copula modeling has…
In this paper, we consider bivariate composite models for modeling jointly different types of claims and their associated costs in a flexible manner. For expository purposes, the Gumbel copula is paired with the composite Weibull-Inverse…
We present a class of flexible and tractable static factor models for the term structure of joint default probabilities, the factor copula models. These high-dimensional models remain parsimonious with pair-copula constructions, and nest…