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Much research in systemic risk is focused on default contagion. While this demands an understanding of valuation, fewer articles specifically deal with the existence, the uniqueness, and the computation of equilibrium prices in structural…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-30 Johannes Hain , Tom Fischer

Motivated by the equations of cross valuation adjustments (XVAs) in the realistic case where capital is deemed fungible as a source of funding for variation margin, we introduce a simulation/regression scheme for a class of anticipated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-25 Lokman Abbas-Turki , Stéphane Crépey , Botao Li , Bouazza Saadeddine

Conformal prediction provides rigorous distribution-free finite-sample guarantees for marginal coverage under the assumption of exchangeability, but may exhibit systematic undercoverage or overcoverage for specific subpopulations. Assessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zheng Zhou , Xiangfei Zhang , Chongguang Tao , Yuhong Yang

We prove that the default times (or any of their minima) in the dynamic Gaussian copula model of Cr{\'e}pey, Jeanblanc, and Wu (2013) are invariance times in the sense of Cr{\'e}pey and Song (2017), with related invariance probability…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-13 Stéphane Crépey , Shiqi Song

This article consolidates and extends past work on derivative pricing adjustments, including XVA, by providing an encapsulating representation of the adjustment between any two derivative pricing functions, within an Ito SDE/parabolic PDE…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Benedict Burnett , Ryan McCrickerd , Benjamin Piau

This paper considers the problem of measuring the credit risk in portfolios of loans, bonds, and other instruments subject to possible default under multi-factor models. Due to the amount of the portfolio, the heterogeneous effect of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-10 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chuan-Ju Wang

We discuss the parameter estimation of the probability of default (PD), the correlation between the obligors, and a phase transition. In our previous work, we studied the problem using the beta-binomial distribution. A non-equilibrium phase…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

In this paper, we have studied the pricing of a continuously collateralized CDS. We have made use of the "survival measure" to derive the pricing formula in a straightforward way. As a result, we have found that there exists irremovable…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-12 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

In this paper we modify the model of Itkin, Shcherbakov and Veygman, (2019) (ISV2019), proposed for pricing Quanto Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and risky bonds, in several ways. First, it is known since the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-19 Andrey Itkin , Fazlollah Soleymani

The article's aim is to provide a solution to the equity premium puzzle with a derived model. The derived model which depends on Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model gives a solution to the puzzle with the values of coefficient of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Atilla Aras

Value adjustment of uncollateralized trades is determined within a risk-neutral pricing framework. When hedging such trades, investors cannot freely trade protection on their own name, thus facing an incomplete market. This fact is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Lorenzo Cornalba

Default risk calculus plays a crucial role in portfolio optimization when the risky asset is under threat of bankruptcy. However, traditional stochastic control techniques are not applicable in this scenario, and additional assumptions are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-10 José A. Salmerón , Giulia Di Nunno , Bernardo D'Auria

Predicting future values at risk (fVaR) is an important problem in finance. They arise in the modelling of future initial margin requirements for counterparty credit risk and future market risk VaR. One is also interested in derived…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-27 Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch

We are considering the problem of optimal portfolio delegation between an investor and a portfolio manager under a random default time. We focus on a novel variation of the Principal-Agent problem adapted to this framework. We address the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-18 Alberto Gennaro , Thibaut Mastrolia

In a Markovian stochastic volatility model, we consider financial agents whose investment criteria are modelled by forward exponential performance processes. The problem of contingent claim indifference valuation is first addressed and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-26 Michail Anthropelos

We compare observed corporate cumulative default probabilities to those calculated using a stochastic model based on an extension of the work of Black and Cox and find that corporations default as if via diffusive dynamics. The model, based…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Ting Lei , Raymond J. Hawkins

We extend the valuation of contingent claims in presence of default, collateral and funding to a random functional setting and characterise pre-default value processes by martingales. Pre-default value semimartingales can also be described…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Damiano Brigo , Federico Graceffa , Alexander Kalinin

The classical discrete time model of proportional transaction costs relies on the assumption that a feasible portfolio process has solvent increments at each step. We extend this setting in two directions, allowing for convex transaction…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-15 Emmanuel Lepinette , Ilya Molchanov

This article's aim is to provide the solution to the equity premium puzzle without using calibrated values. Calibrated values of subjective time discount factor were used in my prior derived models because 4 variables were determined from 3…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Atilla Aras

A standard quantitative method to access credit risk employs a factor model based on joint multivariate normal distribution properties. By extending a one-factor Gaussian copula model to make a more accurate default forecast, this paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-07 Meng-Jou Lu , Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle