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I study the economic effects of testing during the outbreak of a novel disease. I propose a model where testing permits isolation of the infected and provides agents with information about the prevalence and lethality of the disease.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-08 Francesco Furno

Consider the problem of a government that wants to reduce the debt-to-GDP (gross domestic product) ratio of a country. The government aims at choosing a debt reduction policy which minimises the total expected cost of having debt, plus the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Giorgio Ferrari

We solve an infinite time-horizon bounded-variation stochastic control problem with regime switching between $N$ states. This is motivated by the problem of a government that wants to control the country's debt-to-GDP (gross domestic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

Understanding consumption dynamics and its impact on the whole economy and welfare within the present economic crisis is not an easy task. Indeed the level of consumer demand for different goods varies with the prices, consumer incomes and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-11 Roberto De Luca , Marco Di Mauro , Angelo Falzarano , Adele Naddeo

The deep financial turmoil in China caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated fiscal shocks and soaring public debt levels, which raises concerns about the stability and sustainability of China's public debt growth in the future. This…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Tianbao Zhou , Zhixin Liu , Yingying Xu

How does the monetary and fiscal policy mix alter households' saving incentives? To answer these questions, we build a heterogenous agents New Keynesian model where three different types of agents can save in assets with different liquidity…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-30 Cristiano Cantore , Edoardo Leonardi

Compound interest as well as inflation grows exponentially with time, whereas other means to repay debt grow polynomially. For this and other, mostly political, reasons, debt without inflation is unsustainable. We suggest a discontinuous…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-13 Karl Svozil

Japan's population is shrinking, the share of working-age people is falling, and the number of elderly is growing fast. These trends squeeze public finances from both sides--fewer people paying taxes and more people drawing on pensions and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-13 Goshi Aoki

This paper analyses the impact of credit expansions arising from decreases in collateral requirements or more expansionary monetary policies on long-term productivity in a model with endogenous growth. Credit expansions associated with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-23 Tomohiro Hirano , Joseph E. Stiglitz

We show that a simple and intuitive three-parameter equation fits remarkably well the evolution of the gross domestic product (GDP) in current and constant dollars of many countries during times of recession and recovery. We then argue that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-08-22 Damien Challet , Sorin Solomon , Gur Yaari

The price multiplier effect provides precious insight into the behavior of investors during episodes of speculative trading. It tells us that the higher the price of an asset is (within a set of similar assets) the more its price is likely…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Sergei Maslov , Bertrand M. Roehner

We replicate Meissner (2016), where debt aversion was reported for the first time in an intertemporal consumption and saving problem. While Meissner (2016) uses a German sample, our participants are US undergraduate students. All of the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-08 Steffen Ahrens , Ciril Bosch-Rosa , Thomas Meissner

Interbank lending and borrowing occur when financial institutions seek to settle and refinance their mutual positions over time and circumstances. This interactive process involves money creation at the aggregate level. Coordination…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Feng Zhou

This paper investigates whether a financial system can be made more stable if financial institutions share risk by exchanging contingent convertible (CoCo) debt obligations. The question is framed in a financial network model of debt and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-27 Zachary Feinstein , T. R. Hurd

This paper presents a model that studies the impact of credit expansions arising from increases in collateral values or lower interest rate policies on long-run productivity and economic growth in a two-sector endogenous growth economy,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-10 Tomohiro Hirano , Joseph E. Stiglitz

In the recent times of global Covid pandemic, the Federal Reserve has raised the concerns of upsurges in prices. Given the complexity of interaction between inflation and inequality, we examine whether the impact of inflation on inequality…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-14 Edmond Berisha , Ram Sewak Dubey , Orkideh Gharehgozli

This paper investigates the impact of Social Discount Rate (SDR) choice on intergenerational equity issues caused by Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) projects. Indeed, more PPPs mean more debt being accumulated for future generations…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-25 Abeer Al Yaqoobi , Marcel Ausloos

This paper studies how a large increase in the price level is transmitted to the real economy through firm balance sheets. Using newly digitized macro- and micro-level data from the German inflation of 1919-1923, we show that inflation led…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-17 Markus K. Brunnermeier , Sergio Correia , Stephan Luck , Emil Verner , Tom Zimmermann

Debt aversion can have severe adverse effects on financial decision-making. We propose a model of debt aversion, and design an experiment involving real debt and saving contracts, to elicit and jointly estimate debt aversion with…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-27 Thomas Meissner , David Albrecht

The 2008 global financial crisis marked the beginning of a decade dominated by fiscal austerity policies in much of the developed world. This paper presents a qualitative narrative review of an extensive collection of academic literature to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-14 Ricardo Alonzo Fernández Salguero