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A model of natural inflation with an effectively trans-Planckian decay constant can be easily achieved by the "phase locking" mechanism while keeping field values in the effective field theory within the Planck scale. We give detailed…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-22 Keisuke Harigaya , Masahiro Ibe

Traders in a stock market exchange stock shares and form a stock trading network. Trades at different positions of the stock trading network may contain different information. We construct stock trading networks based on the limit order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-06 Wen-Jie Xie , Ming-Xia Li , Hai-Chuan Xu , Wei Chen , Wei-Xing Zhou , H. E. Stanley

In financial markets, liquidity is not constant over time but exhibits strong seasonal patterns. In this article we consider a limit order book model that allows for time-dependent, deterministic depth and resilience of the book and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-14 Antje Fruth , Torsten Schoeneborn , Mikhail Urusov

We investigate models in which inflation is driven by an ultraviolet safe and interacting scalar sector stemming from a new class of nonsupersymmetric gauge field theories. These new theories, differently from generic scalar models, are…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-05-22 Niklas Grønlund Nielsen , Francesco Sannino , Ole Svendsen

We construct models for the pricing and risk management of inflation-linked derivatives. The models are rational in the sense that linear payoffs written on the consumer price index have prices that are rational functions of the state…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-17 Henrik Dam , Andrea Macrina , David Skovmand , David Sloth

In this paper, we investigate the cooling-off effect (opposite to the magnet effect) from two aspects. Firstly, from the viewpoint of dynamics, we study the existence of the cooling-off effect by following the dynamical evolution of some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-06 Yu-Lei Wan , Gang-Jin Wang , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Wei-Xing Zhou

Large monetary expansions do not necessarily generate consumer-price inflation, challenging scalar views of "money supply." Here we propose that monetary function is phase-dependent: newly issued base money can occupy distinct functional…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-28 Ran Huang

To choose between two discrete goods, a consumer pays attention to only those with prices below a threshold. From these, she chooses her most preferred good. We assume consumers in a population have the same preference but may have…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-07 Kaushil Patel

Motivated by agentic markets -- two-sided markets in which consumers and businesses are assisted by AI tools that facilitate consumers' search -- we study the impact of improved search technology on learning and welfare in markets. We put…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Brendan Lucier , Nicole Immorlica , Markus Mobius , Aleksandrs Slivkins , Daniel G. Goldstein , Jake M. Hofman , Sonia Jaffe , David M. Rothschild

We find it is common for consumers who are not in financial distress to make credit card payments at or close to the minimum. This pattern is difficult to reconcile with economic factors but can be explained by minimum payment information…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-22 Benedict Guttman-Kenney , Jesse Leary , Neil Stewart

In recommender systems, reinforcement learning solutions have shown promising results in optimizing the interaction sequence between users and the system over the long-term performance. For practical reasons, the policy's actions are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Xiaobei Wang , Shuchang Liu , Xueliang Wang , Qingpeng Cai , Lantao Hu , Han Li , Peng Jiang , Kun Gai , Guangming Xie

The expected improvements in the precision of inflationary physics observables including the scalar spectral index $n_{s}$ and the tensor-to-scalar ratio $r$ will reveal more than just the viability of a particular model of inflation. In…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-09-13 Gongjun Choi , Wenqi Ke , Keith A. Olive

This paper examines the effectiveness of several forecasting methods for predicting inflation, focusing on aggregating disaggregated forecasts - also known in the literature as the bottom-up approach. Taking the Brazilian case as an…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-23 Gilberto Boaretto , Marcelo C. Medeiros

We provide an explicit characterization of the optimal market making strategy in a discrete-time Limit Order Book (LOB). In our model, the number of filled orders during each period depends linearly on the distance between the fundamental…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Agostino Capponi , José E. Figueroa-López , Chuyi Yu

We study a pricing setting where each customer is offered a contextualized price based on customer and/or product features. Often only historical sales data are available, so we observe whether a customer purchased a product at the price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Max Biggs , Ruijiang Gao , Wei Sun

An investor trades a safe and several risky assets with linear price impact to maximize expected utility from terminal wealth. In the limit for small impact costs, we explicitly determine the optimal policy and welfare, in a general…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-31 Ludovic Moreau , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , H. Mete Soner

This paper proposes a method for estimating consumer preferences among discrete choices, where the consumer chooses at most one product in a category, but selects from multiple categories in parallel. The consumer's utility is additive in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Rob Donnelly , Francisco R. Ruiz , David Blei , Susan Athey

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) money markets have seen explosive growth in recent years, with billions of dollars borrowed in various cryptocurrency assets. Key to the safety of money markets is the implementation of interest rates that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Yuval Boneh

We study envy-free pricing mechanisms in matching markets with $m$ items and $n$ budget constrained buyers. Each buyer is interested in a subset of the items on sale, and she appraises at some single-value every item in her preference-set.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Riccardo Colini-Baldeschi , Stefano Leonardi , Qiang Zhang

It has been argued that oscillatory features from spectator fields in the primordial power spectrum could be a probe of alternatives to inflation. In this work, we soften this claim by showing that the frequency and amplitude dependence of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-29 Guillem Domènech , Javier Rubio , Julius Wons