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We study a model of the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL) in a Bewley-Huggett-Aiyagari framework with heterogeneous agents. The model is set in continuous time, and ex post heterogeneity arises due to idiosyncratic, uninsurable income…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-31 Felix Höfer

The Lucas critique has exposed the problem of the trade-off between changes in monetary policy and structural breaks in economic time series. The search for and characterisation of such breaks has been a major econometric task ever since.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-31 Oleg Kitov , Ivan Kitov

In this paper, we investigate various inflation models in the context of the no-boundary proposal. We propose that a good inflation model should satisfy three conditions: observational constraints, plausible initial conditions, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-06-09 Dong-il Hwang , Dong-han Yeom

In the context of nonlinear prices, the empirical evidence suggests that the consumers have cognitive biases represented in a limited understanding of nonlinear price structures, and they respond to some alternative perceptions of the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-22 Diego Alejandro Murillo Taborda

We propose a unified mean-field framework that bridges the dynamics of informal financial markets and formal markets governed by Limit Order Books (LOBs). Both settings are modeled as interacting particle systems on a 1D price lattice, with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-05 Alvaro Navarro-Rubio , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos

Price-mediated contagion occurs when a positive feedback loop develops following a drop in asset prices which forces banks and other financial institutions to sell their holdings. Prior studies of such events fix the level of market…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-05 Zhiyu Cao , Zachary Feinstein

An agent-based model with interacting low frequency liquidity takers inter-mediated by high-frequency liquidity providers acting collectively as market makers can be used to provide realistic simulated price impact curves. This is possible…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-23 Ivan Jericevich , Patrick Chang , Tim Gebbie

We study a monetary version of the Keen model by merging two alternative extensions, namely the addition of a dynamic price level and the introduction of speculation. We recall and study old and new equilibria, together with their local…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-24 Matheus Grasselli , Adrien Nguyen Huu

Economic institutions often influence market outcomes not by directly controlling sellers' menus, but by shaping the market composition sellers face. We study the welfare effects of this upstream choice in a monopoly screening model. An…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-05 Panagiotis Kyriazis

We consider design of monetary mechanisms for two-sided matching. Mechanisms in the tradition of the deferred acceptance algorithm, even in variants incorporating money, tend to focus on the criterion of stability. Instead, in this work we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Robin Bowers , Bo Waggoner

Beyond its obvious macro-economic relevance, fiat money has important micro-economic implications. They matter for addressing No. 8 in Smale's "Mathematical Problems for the Next Century": extend the mathematical model of general…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-19 Gesine A. Steudle , Saini Yang , Carlo C. Jaeger

We present a model of predatory traders interacting with each other in the presence of a central reserve (which dissipates their wealth through say, taxation), as well as inflation. This model is examined on a network for the purposes of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Anita Mehta

A new family of inflationary models is introduced and analysed. The behaviour of the parameters characterising the models suggest preferred values, which generate the most interesting testable predictions. Results are further improved if…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2016-09-20 Konstantinos Dimopoulos , Charlotte Owen

Effective field theory is a powerful organizing principle that allows to describe physics below a certain scale model-independently. Above that energy scale, identified with the cutoff, the EFT description breaks down and new physics is…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-19 Lotfi Boubekeur

Constraints on inflationary models typically assume only the standard models of cosmology and particle physics. By extending the neutrino sector to include a new interaction with a light scalar mediator ($m_{\phi}\sim$MeV), it is possible…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-18 Gabriela Barenboim , Peter B. Denton , Isabel M. Oldengott

The relationship between inflation and predictors such as unemployment is potentially nonlinear with a strength that varies over time, and prediction errors error may be subject to large, asymmetric shocks. Inspired by these concerns, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-03-01 Todd E. Clark , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Massimiliano Marcellino

The problem of market clearing is to set a price for an item such that quantity demanded equals quantity supplied. In this work, we cast the problem of predicting clearing prices into a learning framework and use the resulting models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Weiran Shen , Sébastien Lahaie , Renato Paes Leme

Many online marketplaces personalize prices based on consumer attributes. Since these prices are private, consumers may be unaware that they have spent more on a good than the lowest possible price, and cannot easily take action to pay…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Aditya Karan , Naina Balepur , Hari Sundaram

The efficiency of a modern economy depends on what we call the Value-Tracking Hypothesis: that market prices of key assets broadly track some underlying value. This can be expected if a sufficient weight of market participants are…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-21 Nicholas CL Beale , Richard M Gunton , Kutlwano L Bashe , Heather S Battey , Robert S MacKay

We consider a market model that consists of financial investors and producers of a commodity. Producers optionally store some production for future sale and go short on forward contracts to hedge the uncertainty of the future commodity…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-24 Michail Anthropelos , Michael Kupper , Antonis Papapantoleon