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We propose a forecasting method for predicting epidemiological health series on a two-week horizon at the regional and interregional resolution. The approach is based on model order reduction of parametric compartmental models, and is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-11 Athmane Bakhta , Thomas Boiveau , Yvon Maday , Olga Mula

Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

The emergence of COVID-19 has necessitated many efforts by the scientific community for its proper management. An urgent clinical reaction is required in the face of the unending devastation being caused by the pandemic. These efforts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Parsa Sarosh , Shabir A. Parah , Romany F Mansur , G. M. Bhat

Precise outbreak forecasting of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health responses and epidemic control. The increased availability of machine learning (ML) methods for time-series forecasting presents an enticing avenue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Jinpyo Hong , Rachel E. Baker

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, many dashboards have emerged as useful tools to monitor the evolution of the pandemic, inform the public, and assist governments in decision making. Our goal is to develop a globally applicable…

The current COVID-19 pandemic is a serious threat to humanity that directly affects the lungs. Automatic identification of COVID-19 is a challenge for health care officials. The standard gold method for diagnosing COVID-19 is Reverse…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-09 Briskline Kiruba S , Petchiammal A , D. Murugan

Interpretable machine learning plays a key role in healthcare because it is challenging in understanding feature importance in deep learning model predictions. We propose a novel framework that uses deep learning to study feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Md Khairul Islam , Di Zhu , Yingzheng Liu , Andrej Erkelens , Nick Daniello , Judy Fox

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of in-silico epidemiological modelling in predicting the dynamics of infectious diseases to inform health policy and decision makers about suitable prevention and containment strategies.…

Timely and rapid diagnoses are core to informing on optimum interventions that curb the spread of COVID-19. The use of medical images such as chest X-rays and CTs has been advocated to supplement the Reverse-Transcription Polymerase Chain…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-31 Ogechukwu Ukwandu , Hanan Hindy , Elochukwu Ukwandu

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Currently, novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a big threat to global health. The rapid spread of the virus has created pandemic, and countries all over the world are struggling with a surge in COVID-19 infected cases. There are no…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-08 Se Yoon Lee , Bowen Lei , Bani K. Mallick

In power grids, short-term load forecasting (STLF) is crucial as it contributes to the optimization of their reliability, emissions, and costs, while it enables the participation of energy companies in the energy market. STLF is a…

COVID-19 classification using chest Computed Tomography (CT) has been found pragmatically useful by several studies. Due to the lack of annotated samples, these studies recommend transfer learning and explore the choices of pre-trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fouzia Altaf , Syed M. S. Islam , Naeem K. Janjua , Naveed Akhtar

Stochastic epidemic models which incorporate interactions between space and human mobility are a key tool to inform prioritisation of outbreak control to appropriate locations. However, methods for fitting such models to national-level…

Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, worldwide research efforts have focused on using artificial intelligence (AI) technologies on various medical data of COVID-19-positive patients in order to identify or classify various aspects…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-02-22 Dan Nguyen , Fernando Kay , Jun Tan , Yulong Yan , Yee Seng Ng , Puneeth Iyengar , Ron Peshock , Steve Jiang

To increase situational awareness and support evidence-based policy-making, we formulated two types of mathematical models for COVID-19 transmission within a regional population. One is a fitting function that can be calibrated to reproduce…

Millions of people have been infected and lakhs of people have lost their lives due to the worldwide ongoing novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. It is of utmost importance to identify the future infected cases and the virus spread rate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-04 Naresh Kumar , Seba Susan

The COVID-19 pandemic has proved to be one of the most disruptive public health emergencies in recent memory. Among non-pharmaceutical interventions, social distancing and lockdown measures are some of the most common tools employed by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Carl Corcoran , John Michael Clark

The spread of COVID-19 has coincided with the rise of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), leading to several studies proposing their use to better forecast the evolution of the pandemic. Many such models also include Long Short Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Nathan Sesti , Juan Jose Garau-Luis , Edward Crawley , Bruce Cameron

The current COVID-19 pandemic has put a huge challenge on the Indian health infrastructure. With more and more people getting affected during the second wave, the hospitals were over-burdened, running out of supplies and oxygen. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Debasrita Chakraborty , Debayan Goswami , Susmita Ghosh , Ashish Ghosh , Jonathan H. Chan