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Software engineers often have to estimate the performance of a software system before having full knowledge of the system parameters, such as workload and operational profile. These uncertain parameters inevitably affect the accuracy of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Aldeida Aleti , Catia Trubiani , André van Hoorn , Pooyan Jamshidi

The surrogate model-based uncertainty quantification method has drawn much attention in many engineering fields. Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) and deep learning (DL) are powerful methods for building a surrogate model. However, PCE needs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Wen Yao , Xiaohu Zheng , Jun Zhang , Ning Wang , Guijian Tang

Dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion (DD-GPCE) efficiently performs forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) in complex engineering systems with high-dimensional random inputs of arbitrary distributions. However,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Hojun Choi , Eunho Heo , Dongjin Lee

Chance-constrained optimization has emerged as a promising framework for managing uncertainties in power systems. This work advances its application to the DC Optimal Power Flow (DC-OPF) model, developing a novel approach to uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Tianyang Yi , D. Adrian Maldonado , Anirudh Subramanyam

This article is devoted to providing a review of mathematical formulations in which Polynomial Chaos Theory (PCT) has been incorporated into stochastic model predictive control (SMPC). In the past decade, PCT has been shown to provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-18 Prabhat K. Mishra , Joel A. Paulson , Richard D. Braatz

Surrogate-modelling techniques including Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is commonly used for statistical estimation (aka. Uncertainty Quantification) of quantities of interests obtained from expensive computational models. PCE is a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

This paper introduces an efficient sparse recovery approach for Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions, which promotes the sparsity by breaking the dimensionality of the problem. The proposed algorithm incrementally explores sub-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-05 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

We propose a novel sparse tensor decomposition method, namely Tensor Truncated Power (TTP) method, that incorporates variable selection into the estimation of decomposition components. The sparsity is achieved via an efficient truncation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-04 Will Wei Sun , Junwei Lu , Han Liu , Guang Cheng

This paper introduces a new generalized polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) comprising measure-consistent multivariate orthonormal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike existing PCEs, whether classical or generalized, no…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Sharif Rahman

This paper introduces Tree-based Polynomial Chaos Expansion (Tree-PCE), a novel surrogate modeling technique designed to efficiently approximate complex numerical models exhibiting nonlinearities and discontinuities. Tree-PCE combines the…

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a powerful surrogate model-based reliability analysis method. Generally, a PCE model with a higher expansion order is usually required to obtain an accurate surrogate model for some complex non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoya Zhang

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a versatile tool widely used in uncertainty quantification and machine learning, but its successful application depends strongly on the accuracy and reliability of the resulting PCE-based response…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-14 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

Proliferation of grid resources on the distribution network along with the inability to forecast them accurately will render the existing methodology of grid operation and control untenable in the future. Instead, a more distributed yet…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-21 Amritanshu Pandey , Shimiao Li , Larry Pileggi

Sub-terahertz (subTHz) antennas will play an important role in the next generations of wireless communication systems. However, when comes to the subTHz frequency spectrum, the antenna fabrication tolerance needs to be accurately considered…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Aristeides D. Papadopoulos , Yihan Ma , Qi Luo , George C. Alexandropoulos

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are a popular surrogate modelling method that takes advantage of the properties of PCE, the sparsity-of-effects principle, and powerful sparse regression solvers to approximate computer models with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

The increase in renewable energy sources (RESs), like wind or solar power, results in growing uncertainty also in transmission grids. This affects grid stability through fluctuating energy supply and an increased probability of overloaded…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Rebecca Bauer , Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Nicole Ludwig , Veit Hagenmeyer

Voltage control plays an important role in the operation of electricity distribution networks, especially with high penetration of distributed energy resources. These resources introduce significant and fast varying uncertainties. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Pan Li , Baihong Jin , Dai Wang , Baosen Zhang

This paper develops a data-driven approach to accurately predict the restoration time of outages under different scales and factors. To achieve the goal, the proposed method consists of three stages. First, given the unprecedented amount of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-22 Dingwei Wang , Yuxuan Yuan , Rui Cheng , Zhaoyu Wang

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 José Calos García-Marino , Carmen Calvo-Jurado , Enrique García-Macías