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Chronic disease progression models are governed by three main parameters: sensitivity, preclinical intensity, and sojourn time. The estimation of these parameters helps in optimizing screening programs and examine the improvement in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-22 Ayman Hijazy , András Zempléni

Clinical pathways are standardized processes that outline the steps required for managing a specific disease. However, patient pathways often deviate from clinical pathways. Measuring the concordance of patient pathways to clinical pathways…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-16 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Katharina Forster , Steven Habbous , Claire Holloway , Luciano Ieraci , Yusuf Shalaby , Nasrin Yousefi

Treatment of cancer involves heterogeneous, complex care pathways. The relationship between these longitudinal trajectories, baseline mental health, and prognostic outcomes remains poorly understood. We introduce an interpretable…

Clinical pathways are specialized healthcare plans that model patient treatment procedures. They are developed to provide criteria-based progression and standardize patient treatment, thereby improving care, reducing resource use, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Francesco Vitale , Nicola Mazzocca

Patients who are undergoing physical rehabilitation, benefit from feedback that follows from reliable assessment of their cumulative performance attained at a given time. In this paper, we provide a method for the learning of the recovery…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Chuqiao Zhang , Crina Grosan , Dalia Chakrabarty

Various theoretical models have been proposed to understand the basic nature of epidemics. Recent studies focus on the effects of mobility to epidemic process. However, uncorrelated random walk is typically assumed as the type of movement.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-04 Genki Ichinose , Yoshiki Satotani , Hiroki Sayama , Takashi Nagatani

The proportion of elderly people is increasing worldwide, particularly those living alone in Japan. As elderly people get older, their risks of physical disabilities and health issues increase. To automatically discover these issues at a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Kai Tanaka , Mineichi Kudo , Keigo Kimura , Atsuyoshi Nakamura

Accurately predicting hospital length-of-stay at the time a patient is admitted to hospital may help guide clinical decision making and resource allocation. In this study we aim to build a decision support system that predicts hospital…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Mucahit Cevik , Can Kavaklioglu , Fahad Razak , Amol Verma , Ayse Basar

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is an autoimmune condition caused when patients' immune system mistakenly targets their own tissue. Machine learning (ML) has the potential to identify patterns in patient electronic health records (EHR) to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-25 Shengjia Chen , Nikunj Gupta , Woodward B. Galbraith , Valay Shah , Jacopo Cirrone

Background: Multiple Sclerosis (MS), an autoimmune disease affecting millions worldwide, is characterized by its variable course, in which some patients will experience a more benign disease course and others a more active one, with the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Uma Sthanu , Gary Cutter PhD

A treatment regime is a deterministic function that dictates personalized treatment based on patients' individual prognostic information. There is a fast-growing interest in finding optimal treatment regimes to maximize expected long-term…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-25 Runchao Jiang , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song , Marie Davidian

Gambling disorder is a complex behavioral addiction that is challenging to understand and address, with severe physical, psychological, and social consequences. Early Risk Detection (ERD) on the Web has become a key task in the scientific…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Horacio Thompson , Marcelo Errecalde

Early multiple sclerosis (MS) disability progression prediction is challenging due to disease heterogeneity. This work predicts 48- and 72-week disability using sparse baseline clinical data and 12 weeks of daily digital Floodlight data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Maxime Usdin , Lito Kriara , Licinio Craveiro

Although response-adaptive randomisation (RAR) has gained substantial attention in the literature, it still has limited use in clinical trials. Amongst other reasons, the implementation of RAR in real world trials raises important practical…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Rajenki Das , Nina Deliu , Mark Toshner , Sofía S Villar

Disparities in access to healthcare have been well-documented in the United States, but their effects on electronic health record (EHR) data reliability and resulting clinical models are poorly understood. Using an All of Us dataset of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Anna Zink , Hongzhou Luan , Irene Y. Chen

The estimation of unknown parameters in simulations, also known as calibration, is crucial for practical management of epidemics and prediction of pandemic risk. A simple yet widely used approach is to estimate the parameters by minimizing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-26 Chih-Li Sung , Ying Hung

Parkinson's disease (PD) is a common neurodegenerative disease with a high degree of heterogeneity in its clinical features, rate of progression, and change of variables over time. In this work, we present a novel data-driven, network-based…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-01 Sanjukta Krishnagopal , Rainer Von Coelln , Lisa M. Shulman , Michelle Girvan

Stroke affected millions annually, yet poor symptom recognition often delayed care-seeking. To address risk recognition gap, we developed a passive surveillance system for early stroke risk detection using patient-reported symptoms among…

We aim to comprehensively identify typical life-spanning trajectories and critical events that impact patients' hospital utilization and mortality. We use a unique dataset containing 44 million records of almost all inpatient stays from…

We derive a general multiple state model for critical illness insurances. In contrast to the classical model, we take into account that the probability of death for a dread disease sufferer may depend on the duration of the disease, and the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-01 Joanna Dȩbicka , Beata Zmyślona