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The detection of weak and rare effects in large amounts of data arises in a number of modern data analysis problems. Known results show that in this situation the potential of statistical inference is severely limited by the large-scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Jiyao Kou , Guenther Walther

Recent work has considered natural variations of the multi-armed bandit problem, where the reward distribution of each arm is a special function of the time passed since its last pulling. In this direction, a simple (yet widely applicable)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Alexia Atsidakou , Orestis Papadigenopoulos , Soumya Basu , Constantine Caramanis , Sanjay Shakkottai

Consider the following random process: we are given $n$ queues, into which elements of increasing labels are inserted uniformly at random. To remove an element, we pick two queues at random, and remove the element of lower label (higher…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-06-14 Dan Alistarh , Justin Kopinsky , Jerry Li , Giorgi Nadiradze

Classification with abstention has gained a lot of attention in recent years as it allows to incorporate human decision-makers in the process. Yet, abstention can potentially amplify disparities and lead to discriminatory predictions. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Nicolas Schreuder , Evgenii Chzhen

Model selection in latent block models has been a challenging but important task in the field of statistics. Specifically, a major challenge is encountered when constructing a test on a block structure obtained by applying a specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Chihiro Watanabe , Taiji Suzuki

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

Model multiplicity, the phenomenon where multiple models achieve similar performance despite different underlying learned functions, introduces arbitrariness in model selection. While this arbitrariness may seem inconsequential in…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Prakhar Ganesh , Ihsan Ibrahim Daldaban , Ignacio Cofone , Golnoosh Farnadi

Recent attempts to achieve fairness in predictive models focus on the balance between fairness and accuracy. In sensitive applications such as healthcare or criminal justice, this trade-off is often undesirable as any increase in prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-12 Irene Chen , Fredrik D. Johansson , David Sontag

In recent years, the need for neutral benchmark studies that focus on the comparison of methods from computational sciences has been increasingly recognised by the scientific community. While general advice on the design and analysis of…

The machine learning community has become increasingly concerned with the potential for bias and discrimination in predictive models. This has motivated a growing line of work on what it means for a classification procedure to be "fair." In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Geoff Pleiss , Manish Raghavan , Felix Wu , Jon Kleinberg , Kilian Q. Weinberger

Optimizing prediction accuracy can come at the expense of fairness. Towards minimizing discrimination against a group, fair machine learning algorithms strive to equalize the behavior of a model across different groups, by imposing a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-17 Hongyan Chang , Ta Duy Nguyen , Sasi Kumar Murakonda , Ehsan Kazemi , Reza Shokri

Efficient estimation under bias sampling, censoring or truncation is a difficult question which has been partially answered and the usual estimators are not always consistent. Several biased designs are considered for models with variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-22 Odile Pons

We compute the integral of a function or the expectation of a random variable with minimal cost and use, for our new algorithm and for upper bounds of the complexity, i.i.d. samples. Under certain assumptions it is possible to select a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-24 Robert J. Kunsch , Erich Novak , Daniel Rudolf

We show on theoretical grounds that, even in the presence of noise, probabilistic measurement strategies (which have a certain probability of failure or abstention) can provide, upon a heralded successful outcome, estimates with a precision…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-27 J. Calsamiglia , B. Gendra , R. Munoz-Tapia , E. Bagan

A benefit of randomized experiments is that covariate distributions of treatment and control groups are balanced on average, resulting in simple unbiased estimators for treatment effects. However, it is possible that a particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Zach Branson , Luke Miratrix

Strip-plot designs are very useful when the treatments have a factorial structure and the factors levels are hard-to-change. We develop a randomization-based theory of causal inference from such designs in a potential outcomes framework.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Fatemah A. Alquallaf , S. Huda , Rahul Mukerjee

Machine learning (ML) is increasingly used in high-stakes settings, yet multiplicity - the existence of multiple good models - means that some predictions are essentially arbitrary. ML researchers and philosophers posit that multiplicity…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Anna P. Meyer , Yea-Seul Kim , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

This paper studies a potential outcome model with a continuous or discrete outcome, a discrete multi-valued treatment, and a discrete multi-valued instrument. We derive sharp, closed-form testable implications for a class of restrictions on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-19 Yuehao Bai , Shunzhuang Huang , Max Tabord-Meehan

The publication process both determines which research receives the most attention, and influences the supply of research through its impact on researchers' private incentives. We introduce a framework to study optimal publication decisions…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-25 Ravi Jagadeesan , Davide Viviano

Many real-world classification problems are cost-sensitive in nature, such that the misclassification costs vary between data instances. Cost-sensitive learning adapts classification algorithms to account for differences in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Natalie Lawrance , Marie-Anne Guerry , George Petrides