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In this paper we consider the machine learning (ML) task of predicting tipping point transitions and long-term post-tipping-point behavior associated with the time evolution of an unknown (or partially unknown), non-stationary, potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Dhruvit Patel , Edward Ott

Manifold learning (ML) aims to seek low-dimensional embedding from high-dimensional data. The problem is challenging on real-world datasets, especially with under-sampling data, and we find that previous methods perform poorly in this case.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Zelin Zang , Siyuan Li , Di Wu , Ge Wang , Lei Shang , Baigui Sun , Hao Li , Stan Z. Li

Plasma systems exhibit complex multiscale dynamics, resolving which poses significant challenges for conventional numerical simulations. Machine learning (ML) offers an alternative by learning data-driven representations of these dynamics.…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-03-04 Farbod Faraji , Maryam Reza

Model Agnostic Meta Learning or MAML has become the standard for few-shot learning as a meta-learning problem. MAML is simple and can be applied to any model, as its name suggests. However, it often suffers from instability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 JuneYoung Park , MinJae Kang

Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

Debiased machine learning estimators for smooth functionals in nonparametric models can exhibit substantial variability and instability, often leading practitioners to instead rely on parametric or semiparametric working models. Such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Lars van der Laan , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke , Mark van der Laan

Predicting and simulating aerodynamic fields for civil aircraft over wide flight envelopes represent a real challenge mainly due to significant numerical costs and complex flows. Surrogate models and reduced-order models help to estimate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-11 Romain Dupuis , Jean-Christophe Jouhaud , Pierre Sagaut

In this paper, we propose a surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithm (EA) for hyperparameter optimization of machine learning (ML) models. The proposed STEADE model initially estimates the objective function landscape using RadialBasis…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Subhodip Biswas , Adam D Cobb , Andreea Sistrunk , Naren Ramakrishnan , Brian Jalaian

Data assimilation (DA) aims to estimate the full state of a dynamical system by combining partial and noisy observations with a prior model forecast, commonly referred to as the background. In atmospheric applications, this problem is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-29 Jing-An Sun , Hang Fan , Junchao Gong , Ben Fei , Kun Chen , Fenghua Ling , Wenlong Zhang , Wanghan Xu , Li Yan , Pierre Gentine , Lei Bai

To address the modality learning degeneration caused by modality imbalance, existing multimodal learning~(MML) approaches primarily attempt to balance the optimization process of each modality from the perspective of model learning.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Qingyuan Jiang , Zhouyang Chi , Xiao Ma , Qirong Mao , Yang Yang , Jinhui Tang

Bayesian inverse problems arise in various scientific and engineering domains, and solving them can be computationally demanding. This is especially the case for problems governed by partial differential equations, where the repeated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Juntao Yang , Jeff Adie , Simon See , Adriano Gualandi , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Models of many engineering and natural systems are imperfect. The discrepancy between the mathematical representations of a true physical system and its imperfect model is called the model error. These model errors can lead to substantial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-06-28 Rambod Mojgani , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Modeling how a robot interacts with the environment around it is an important prerequisite for designing control and planning algorithms. In fact, the performance of controllers and planners is highly dependent on the quality of the model.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Clark Zhang , Arbaaz Khan , Santiago Paternain , Alejandro Ribeiro

Data assimilation (DA) aims at forecasting the state of a dynamical system by combining a mathematical representation of the system with noisy observations taking into account their uncertainties. State of the art methods are based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Pierre Boudier , Anthony Fillion , Serge Gratton , Selime Gürol , Sixin Zhang

Forecasting meteorological variables is challenging due to the complexity of their processes, requiring advanced models for accuracy. Accurate precipitation forecasts are vital for society. Reliable predictions help communities mitigate…

We develop a machine learning (ML) surrogate model to approximate solutions to Maxwell's equations in one dimension, focusing on scenarios involving a material interface that reflects and transmits electro-magnetic waves. Derived from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Zhe Bai , Hans Johansen

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

This paper develops a new framework, called modular regression, to utilize auxiliary information -- such as variables other than the original features or additional data sets -- in the training process of linear models. At a high level, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Engineers are deploying ML models as parts of real-world systems with the upsurge of AI technologies. Real-world environments challenge the deployment of such systems because these environments produce large amounts of heterogeneous data,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Christian Cabrera , Andrei Paleyes , Pierre Thodoroff , Neil D. Lawrence

By planning through a learned dynamics model, model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) offers the prospect of good performance with little environment interaction. However, it is common in practice for the learned model to be inaccurate,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Behzad Haghgoo , Allan Zhou , Archit Sharma , Chelsea Finn