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Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

We present a mobile app solution to help the containment of an epidemic outbreak by keeping track of possible infections in the incubation period. We consider the particular case of an infection which primarily spreads among people through…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Marco Faggian , Michele Urbani , Luca Zanotto

There is growing interest in technology-enabled contact tracing, the process of identifying potentially infected COVID-19 patients by notifying all recent contacts of an infected person. Governments, technology companies, and research…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Lucy Simko , Ryan Calo , Franziska Roesner , Tadayoshi Kohno

There is growing use of technology-enabled contact tracing, the process of identifying potentially infected COVID-19 patients by notifying all recent contacts of an infected person. Governments, technology companies, and research groups…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Lucy Simko , Jack Lucas Chang , Maggie Jiang , Ryan Calo , Franziska Roesner , Tadayoshi Kohno

We present CRISP (COVID-19 Risk Score Prediction), a probabilistic graphical model for COVID-19 infection spread through a population based on the SEIR model where we assume access to (1) mutual contacts between pairs of individuals across…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Ralf Herbrich , Rajeev Rastogi , Roland Vollgraf

We propose a detailed discrete-time model of COVID-19 epidemics coming in two flavours, mean-field and probabilistic. The main contribution lies in several extensions of the basic model that capture i) user mobility - distinguishing…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-14 M. Akian , L. Ganassali , S. Gaubert , L. Massoulié

This paper presents methods to choose individuals to test for infection during a pandemic such as COVID-19, characterized by high contagion and presence of asymptomatic carriers. The smart-testing ideas presented here are motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Yingfei Wang , Inbal Yahav , Balaji Padmanabhan

One of the more widely advocated solutions for slowing down the spread of COVID-19 has been automated contact tracing. Since proximity data can be collected by personal mobile devices, the natural proposal has been to use this for automated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-09 Hyunju Kim , Ayan Paul

In this paper, we present a simple method to integrate risk-contact data, obtained via digital contact monitoring (DCM) apps, in conventional compartmental transmission models. During the recent COVID-19 pandemic, many such data have been…

In limiting the rapid spread of highly infectious diseases like Covid-19 means to immediately identify individuals who had been in contact with a newly diagnosed infected person have proven to be important. Such potential victims can go…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Adam Wolisz

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is the first epidemic in human history in which digital contact-tracing has been deployed at a global scale. Tracking and quarantining all the contacts of individuals who test positive to a virus can help…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-26 Aleix Bassolas , Andrea Santoro , Sandro Sousa , Silvia Rognone , Vincenzo Nicosia

With the COVID-19 pandemic, quarantines took place across the globe. In the aim of stopping or slowing the progression of the COVID-19 contamination, many countries have deployed a contact tracing system to notify persons that be in contact…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-10-09 Mohamed-Lamine Messai , Hamida Seba

A plethora of contact tracing apps have been developed and deployed in several countries around the world in the battle against Covid-19. However, people are rightfully concerned about the security and privacy risks of such applications. To…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Pietro Tedeschi , Spiridon Bakiras , Roberto Di Pietro

Contact tracing has been extensively studied from different perspectives in recent years. However, there is no clear indication of why this intervention has proven effective in some epidemics (SARS) and mostly ineffective in some others…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Quyu Kong , Manuel Garcia-Herranz , Ivan Dotu , Manuel Cebrian

Albeit numerous countries relied on contact-tracing (CT) applications as an epidemic control measure against the COVID-19 pandemic, the debate around their effectiveness is still open. Most studies indicate that very high levels of adoption…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-26 Ariadna Fosch , Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno

The task of infectious disease contact tracing is crucial yet challenging, especially when meeting strict privacy requirements. Previous attempts in this area have had limitations in terms of applicable scenarios and efficiency. Our paper…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Tyler Nicewarner , Wei Jiang , Aniruddha Gokhale , Dan Lin

Today, tracking and controlling the spread of a virus is a crucial need for almost all countries. Doing this early would save millions of lives and help countries keep a stable economy. The easiest way to control the spread of a virus is to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Didem Demirag , Erman Ayday

Understanding the spread of SARS-CoV-2 has been one of the most pressing problems of the recent past. Network models present a potent approach to studying such spreading phenomena because of their ability to represent complex social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Christine Hedde-von Westernhagen , Javier Garcia-Bernardo , Ayoub Bagheri

The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (covid-19) is imposing a severe worldwide lock-down. Contact tracing based on smartphones' applications (apps) has emerged as a possible solution to trace contagions and enforce a more sustainable…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Davide Andreoletti , Omran Ayoub , Silvia Giordano , Massimo Tornatore , Giacomo Verticale