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We study a two-player model of conflict with multiple battlefields -- the novel element is that each of the players has their own network of spillovers so that resources allocated to one battle can be utilized in winning neighboring…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-14 Marcin Dziubiński , Sanjeev Goyal , Junjie Zhou

In real time electricity markets, the objective of generation companies while bidding is to maximize their profit. The strategies for learning optimal bidding have been formulated through game theoretical approaches and stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Jahnvi Patel , Devika Jay , Balaraman Ravindran , K. Shanti Swarup

Consider an investor trading dynamically to maximize expected utility from terminal wealth. Our aim is to study the dependence between her risk aversion and the distribution of the optimal terminal payoff. Economic intuition suggests that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-15 Mathias Beiglboeck , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Johannes Temme

We develop a stochastic equilibrium model for an electricity market with asymmetric renewable energy forecasts. In our setting, market participants optimize their profits using public information about a conditional expectation of energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Vladimir Dvorkin , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

In this paper, we design two chapters to discuss trade dynamics with heterogeneous fluctuations, contributing new insights to macroeconomic issues related to international trade. In the first chapter, we model general exchange rate…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-11 Yongheng Hu

This research employs quantitative techniques interpreted through relevant economic theories to analyze a proposed U.S. "Discounted Reciprocal Tariff" structure. Statistical modeling (linear regression) quantifies the policy's consistent…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-07 Muhammad Sukri Bin Ramli

We consider the problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth in models with stochastic factors. Using martingale methods and a conditioning argument, we determine the optimal strategy for power utility under the assumption…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-22 Jan Kallsen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

We consider a network of sellers, each selling a single product, where the graph structure represents pair-wise complementarities between products. We study how the network structure affects revenue and social welfare of equilibria of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Moshe Babaioff , Liad Blumrosen , Noam Nisan

Neoclassical economics has two theories of competition between profit-maximizing firms (Marshallian and Cournot-Nash) that start from different premises about the degree of strategic interaction between firms, yet reach the same result,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-19 Steve Keen , Russell K. Standish

This paper proposes a theory of pricing premised upon the assumptions that customers dislike unfair prices---those marked up steeply over cost---and that firms take these concerns into account when setting prices. Since they do not observe…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-15 Erik Eyster , Kristof Madarasz , Pascal Michaillat

The dynamics of networks on Heider balance theory moves toward reducing the tension by constantly reevaluating the interactions to achieve a state of balance. Conflict of interest, however, is inherent in most complex systems; frequently,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-23 Farideh Oloomi , Razieh Masoumi , Kosar Karimipour , Ali Hosseiny , G. Reza Jafari

We implement nonparametric revealed-preference tests of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. We find that a majority of subjects' choices are consistent with the maximization of some utility function. They respond to…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-04 Federico Echenique , Taisuke Imai , Kota Saito

We propose to study market efficiency from a computational viewpoint. Borrowing from theoretical computer science, we define a market to be \emph{efficient with respect to resources $S$} (e.g., time, memory) if no strategy using resources…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2009-09-01 Jasmina Hasanhodzic , Andrew W. Lo , Emanuele Viola

We introduce Contested Logistics Games, a variant of logistics problems that account for the presence of an adversary that can disrupt the movement of goods in selected areas. We model this as a large two-player zero-sum one-shot game…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Jakub Cerny , Chun Kai Ling , Darshan Chakrabarti , Jingwen Zhang , Gabriele Farina , Christian Kroer , Garud Iyengar

We study information elicitation in cost-function-based combinatorial prediction markets when the market maker's utility for information decreases over time. In the sudden revelation setting, it is known that some piece of information will…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-31 Miroslav Dudík , Rafael Frongillo , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

The exploration-exploitation trade-off is central to the description of adaptive behaviour in fields ranging from machine learning, to biology, to economics. While many approaches have been taken, one approach to solving this trade-off has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Beren Millidge , Anil Seth , Christopher Buckley

In a continuous-time model with multiple assets described by c\`{a}dl\`{a}g processes, this paper characterizes superhedging prices, absence of arbitrage, and utility maximizing strategies, under general frictions that make execution prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Paolo Guasoni , Miklós Rásonyi

We study how individuals trade off outcome ("what") and process ("how") utility in high-stakes strategic decisions, namely professional tennis. Using optimality conditions and the second-service rule, we derive a sufficient condition for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-25 Arnaud Dupuy

Strategic information is valuable either by remaining private (for instance if it is sensitive) or, on the other hand, by being used publicly to increase some utility. These two objectives are antagonistic and leaking this information might…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Etienne Boursier , Vianney Perchet

We consider a discrete-time financial market model with finite time horizon and give conditions which guarantee the existence of an optimal strategy for the problem of maximizing expected terminal utility. Equivalent martingale measures are…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Miklos Rasonyi , Lukasz Stettner