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If one goes backward in time, the number of ancestors of an individual doubles at each generation. This exponential growth very quickly exceeds the population size, when this size is finite. As a consequence, the ancestors of a given…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 B. Derrida , S. C. Manrubia , D. H. Zanette

Many population genetic models have been developed for the purpose of inferring population size and growth rates from random samples of genetic data. We examine two popular approaches to this problem, the coalescent and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-29 Erik M. Volz , Simon DW Frost

We study a model of a population with individuals sampled from different species. The Yule-$\Lambda$ nested coalescent describes the genealogy of the sample when each species merges with another randomly chosen species with a constant rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Toni Gui

We introduce an individual-based model for structured populations undergoing demographic bottlenecks, i.e. drastic reductions in population size that last many generations and can have arbitrary shapes. We first show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-17 Marta Dai Pra , Alison Etheridge , Jere Koskela , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

$\Lambda$-coalescents model genealogies of samples of individuals from a large population by means of a family tree whose branches have lengths. The tree's leaves represent the individuals, and the lengths of the adjacent edges indicate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Christina S. Diehl , Götz Kersting

Phylogenetic trees describe the evolutionary history of a group of present-day species from a common ancestor. These trees are typically reconstructed from aligned DNA sequence data. In this paper we analytically address the following…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-14 Mike Steel , Laszlo Szekely , Elchanan Mossel

Statistical inference of evolutionary parameters from molecular sequence data relies on coalescent models to account for the shared genealogical ancestry of the samples. However, inferential algorithms do not scale to available data sets. A…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-10 Lorenzo Cappello , Julia A. Palacios

We compare three basic kinds of discrete mathematical models used to portray phylogenetic relationships among species and higher taxa: phylogenetic trees, Hennig trees and Nelson cladograms. All three models are trees, as that term is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-05 Jeremy L. Martin , E. O. Wiley

Phylogenetic networks model reticulate evolutionary histories. The last two decades have seen an increased interest in establishing mathematical results and developing computational methods for inferring and analyzing these networks. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-24 Jiafan Zhu , Yun Yu , Luay Nakhleh

Phylogenetic mixture models, in which the sites in sequences undergo different substitution processes along the same or different trees, allow the description of heterogeneous evolutionary processes. As data sets consisting of longer…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-17 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes , Seth Sullivant

In molecular systematics, evolutionary trees are reconstructed from sequences at the tips under simple models of site substitution. A central question is how much sequence data is required to reconstruct a tree accurately? The answer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-18 Iain Martyn , Mike Steel

For a family of models of evolving population under selection, which can be described by noisy traveling wave equations, the coalescence times along the genealogical tree scale like $\log^\alpha N$, where $N$ is the size of the population,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Brunet , B. Derrida , A. H. Mueller , S. Munier

Coalescent models of bifurcating genealogies are used to infer evolutionary parameters from molecular data. However, there are many situations where bifurcating genealogies do not accurately reflect the true underlying ancestral history of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Julie Zhang , Noah A. Rosenberg , Julia A. Palacios

We present and discuss new importance sampling schemes for the approximate computation of the sample probability of observed genetic types in the infinitely many sites model from population genetics. More specifically, we extend the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-11 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath , Matthias Steinruecken

Phylogenetic mixtures model the inhomogeneous molecular evolution commonly observed in data. The performance of phylogenetic reconstruction methods where the underlying data is generated by a mixture model has stimulated considerable recent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-06-30 Frederick A. Matsen , Mike Steel

Consider a population evolving from year to year through three seasons: spring, summer and winter. Every spring starts with $N$ dormant individuals waking up independently of each other according to a given distribution. Once an individual…

We analyse the statistical properties of genealogical trees in a neutral model of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. By reconstructing the genealogy of an individual from the population evolution,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Bernard Derrida , Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

We consider the counting problem of the number of \textit{leaf-labeled increasing trees}, where internal nodes may have an arbitrary number of descendants. The set of all such trees is a discrete representation of the genealogies obtained…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-08 Johannes Wirtz

Under the multispecies coalescent model of molecular evolution, gene trees have independent evolutionary histories within a shared species tree. In comparison, supermatrix concatenation methods assume that gene trees share a single common…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-13 Huw A. Ogilvie , Joseph Heled , Dong Xie , Alexei J. Drummond

Recent work has proven the existence of extreme inbreeding in a European ancestry sample taken from the contemporary UK population \cite{nature_01}. This result brings our attention again to a math problem related to inbreeding family trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 C. Jarne , F A. Gómez Albarracín , M. Caruso