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The ROC curve is the gold standard for measuring the performance of a test/scoring statistic regarding its capacity to discriminate between two statistical populations in a wide variety of applications, ranging from anomaly detection in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Stéphan Clémençon , Myrto Limnios , Nicolas Vayatis

The area under the curve (AUC) of the mean cumulative function (MCF) has recently been introduced as a novel estimand for evaluating treatment effects in recurrent event settings, offering an alternative to the commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Jiren Sun , Tuo Wang , Yanyao Yi , Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yu Du

This paper proposes exploiting the spatial correlation of wireless channel statistics beyond the conventional received signal strength maps by constructing statistical radio maps to predict any relevant channel statistics to assist…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-17 Tobias Kallehauge , Pablo Ramìrez-Espinosa , Anders E. Kalør , Christophe Biscio , Petar Popovski

We consider the problem of statistical inference on parameters of a target population when auxiliary observations are available from related populations. We propose a flexible empirical Bayes approach that can be applied on top of any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov

Empirical likelihood serves as a powerful tool for constructing confidence intervals in nonparametric regression and regression discontinuity designs (RDD). The original empirical likelihood framework can be naturally extended to these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Yang Hong , Xinghao Qiao

We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

Random effects model can account for the lack of fitting a regression model and increase precision of estimating area-level means. However, in case that the synthetic mean provides accurate estimates, the prior distribution may inflate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-05 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa , Kota Ogasawara

We develop new methods to integrate experimental and observational data in causal inference. While randomized controlled trials offer strong internal validity, they are often costly and therefore limited in sample size. Observational data,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Xuelin Yang , Licong Lin , Susan Athey , Michael I. Jordan , Guido W. Imbens

In the context of a binary classification problem, the optimal linear combination of continuous predictors can be estimated by maximizing an empirical estimate of the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). For…

Current person image retrieval methods have achieved great improvements in accuracy metrics. However, they rarely describe the reliability of the prediction. In this paper, we propose an Uncertainty-Aware Learning (UAL) method to remedy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zhaopeng Dou , Zhongdao Wang , Weihua Chen , Yali Li , Shengjin Wang

We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that achieve exact coverage asymptotically. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 John Duchi , Peter Glynn , Hongseok Namkoong

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is one of the most popular approaches for evaluating and comparing the accuracy of medical diagnostic tests. Although various methodologies have been developed for estimating ROC curves and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Ainesh Sewak , Torsten Hothorn

We study the inference problem in the group testing to identify defective items from the perspective of the decision theory. We introduce Bayesian inference and consider the Bayesian optimal setting in which the true generative process of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Ayaka Sakata , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

In contemporary data analysis, it is increasingly common to work with non-stationary complex data sets. These data sets typically extend beyond the classical low-dimensional Euclidean space, making it challenging to detect shifts in their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Rohit Kanrar , Feiyu Jiang , Zhanrui Cai

Maximizing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) is a standard approach to imbalanced classification. So far, various supervised AUC optimization methods have been developed and they are also extended to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-12 Tomoya Sakai , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

Multilayer (or multiple) networks are widely used to represent diverse patterns of relationships among objects in increasingly complex real-world systems. Identifying a common invariant subspace across network layers has become an active…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Qianqian Yao

Bipartite Experiments are randomized experiments where the treatment is applied to a set of units (randomization units) that is different from the units of analysis, and randomization units and analysis units are connected through a…

In a wide range of statistical learning problems such as ranking, clustering or metric learning among others, the risk is accurately estimated by $U$-statistics of degree $d\geq 1$, i.e. functionals of the training data with low variance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-25 Stéphan Clémençon , Aurélien Bellet , Igor Colin

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is widely used for evaluating diagnostic systems. Recent studies have shown that estimating an area under ROC curve (AUC) with standard cross-validation methods suffers from a large bias. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-25 Ileana Montoya Perez , Antti Airola , Peter J. Boström , Ivan Jambor , Tapio Pahikkala

In this paper, we propose considering an exact likelihood score (ELS) test for non-inferiority comparison and we derive its test-based confidence interval for the difference between two independent binomial proportions. The p-value for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-12 Hassan Lakkis , Andrew Lakkis