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We propose probabilistic Shapley inference (PSI), a novel probabilistic framework to model and infer sufficient statistics of feature attributions in flexible predictive models, via latent random variables whose mean recovers Shapley…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Mert Ketenci , Iñigo Urteaga , Victor Alfonso Rodriguez , Noémie Elhadad , Adler Perotte

Benefits of static type systems are well-known: they offer guarantees that no type error will occur during runtime and, inherently, inferred types serve as documentation on how functions are called. On the other hand, many type systems have…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Isabel Wingen , Philipp Körner

Tests of conditional independence (CI) underpin a number of important problems in machine learning and statistics, from causal discovery to evaluation of predictor fairness and out-of-distribution robustness. Shah and Peters (2020) showed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-17 Zheng He , Roman Pogodin , Yazhe Li , Namrata Deka , Arthur Gretton , Danica J. Sutherland

Causal discovery is a powerful technique for identifying causal relationships among variables in data. It has been widely used in various applications in software engineering. Causal discovery extensively involves conditional independence…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Pingchuan Ma , Zhenlan Ji , Peisen Yao , Shuai Wang , Kui Ren

Web services often impose inter-parameter dependencies that restrict the way in which two or more input parameters can be combined to form valid calls to the service. Unfortunately, current specification languages for web services like the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-05-08 Alberto Martin-Lopez , Sergio Segura , Carlos Müller , Antonio Ruiz-Cortés

Prompted models have demonstrated impressive few-shot learning abilities. Repeated interactions at test-time with a single model, or the composition of multiple models together, further expands capabilities. These compositions are…

Probabilistic programming (PP) is a programming paradigm that allows for writing statistical models like ordinary programs, performing simulations by running those programs, and analyzing and refining their statistical behavior using…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Martin Kuhn , Joscha Grüger , Christoph Matheja , Andrey Rivkin

Implicit probabilistic models are a flexible class of models defined by a simulation process for data. They form the basis for theories which encompass our understanding of the physical world. Despite this fundamental nature, the use of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Continuous Integration (CI) requires efficient regression testing to ensure software quality without significantly delaying its CI builds. This warrants the need for techniques to reduce regression testing time, such as Test Case…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Ahmadreza Saboor Yaraghi , Mojtaba Bagherzadeh , Nafiseh Kahani , Lionel Briand

Discovering causal relationships from observational data is a fundamental yet challenging task. Invariant causal prediction (ICP, Peters et al., 2016) is a method for causal feature selection which requires data from heterogeneous settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Lucas Kook , Sorawit Saengkyongam , Anton Rask Lundborg , Torsten Hothorn , Jonas Peters

Continual learning (CL) aims to incrementally train a model on a sequence of tasks while retaining performance on prior ones. However, storing and replaying data is often infeasible due to privacy or security constraints and impractical for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Ruilin Tong , Haodong Lu , Yuhang Liu , Dong Gong

Latent state space models are a fundamental and widely used tool for modeling dynamical systems. However, they are difficult to learn from data and learned models often lack performance guarantees on inference tasks such as filtering and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-31 Wen Sun , Arun Venkatraman , Byron Boots , J. Andrew Bagnell

We propose a conditional stochastic interpolation (CSI) method for learning conditional distributions. CSI is based on estimating probability flow equations or stochastic differential equations that transport a reference distribution to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Ding Huang , Jian Huang , Ting Li , Guohao Shen

Compositional synthesis relies on the discovery of assumptions, i.e., restrictions on the behavior of the remainder of the system that allow a component to realize its specification. In order to avoid losing valid solutions, these…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Bernd Finkbeiner , Niklas Metzger , Yoram Moses

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

The statistical dependencies which independent component analysis (ICA) cannot remove often provide rich information beyond the linear independent components. It would thus be very useful to estimate the dependency structure from data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-28 Hiroaki Sasaki , Michael U. Gutmann , Hayaru Shouno , Aapo Hyvärinen

We propose a method to classify the causal relationship between two discrete variables given only the joint distribution of the variables, acknowledging that the method is subject to an inherent baseline error. We assume that the causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-07 Krzysztof Chalupka , Frederick Eberhardt , Pietro Perona

Synchronous languages are now a standard industry tool for critical embedded systems. Designers write high-level specifications by composing streams of values using block diagrams. These languages have been extended with Bayesian reasoning…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-09-11 Guillaume Baudart , Louis Mandel , Christine Tasson

Probabilistic separation logic offers an approach to reasoning about imperative probabilistic programs in which a separating conjunction is used as a mechanism for expressing independence properties. Crucial to the effectiveness of the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Janez Ignacij Jereb , Alex Simpson

We propose a test of the conditional independence of random variables $X$ and~$Y$ given~$Z$ under the additional assumption that $X$ is stochastically nondecreasing in~$Z$. The well-documented hardness of testing conditional independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Rohan Hore , Jake A. Soloff , Rina Foygel Barber , Richard J. Samworth