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This paper develops a multifidelity method that enables estimation of failure probabilities for expensive-to-evaluate models via information fusion and importance sampling. The presented general fusion method combines multiple probability…

In this paper we refine the process of computing calibration functions for a number of multiclass classification surrogate losses. Calibration functions are a powerful tool for easily converting bounds for the surrogate risk (which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-22 Bernardo Ávila Pires , Csaba Szepesvári

In resource limited computing systems, sequence prediction models must operate under tight constraints. Various models are available that cater to prediction under these conditions that in some way focus on reducing the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Arjun Karuvally , J. Eliot B. Moss

In the continual effort to improve product quality and decrease operations costs, computational modeling is increasingly being deployed to determine feasibility of product designs or configurations. Surrogate modeling of these computer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Nathan Wycoff , Mickaël Binois , Robert B. Gramacy

We consider the task of data-driven identification of dynamical systems, specifically for systems whose behavior at large frequencies is non-standard, as encoded by a non-trivial relative degree of the transfer function or, alternatively, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Davide Pradovera , Ion Victor Gosea , Jan Heiland

The era of huge data necessitates highly efficient machine learning algorithms. Many common machine learning algorithms, however, rely on computationally intensive subroutines that are prohibitively expensive on large datasets. Oftentimes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Mo Tiwari

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods often take many iterations to converge for highly correlated or high-dimensional target density functions. Methods such as Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) or No-U-Turn Sampling (NUTS) use the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Kislaya Ravi , Tobias Neckel , Hans-Joachim Bungartz

Robust controllers that stabilize dynamical systems even under disturbances and noise are often formulated as solutions of nonsmooth, nonconvex optimization problems. While methods such as gradient sampling can handle the nonconvexity and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-01 Steffen W. R. Werner , Michael L. Overton , Benjamin Peherstorfer

The design of structures and vehicles subject to fluid-structure interaction (FSI) often requires high-fidelity coupled analysis. While the design variables pertain to the structure, the computational cost is dominated by the fluid solver,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-05-21 Aditya Narkhede , Erick Rivas , Kevin Wang

Continuous high frequency water quality monitoring is becoming a critical task to support water management. Despite the advancements in sensor technologies, certain variables cannot be easily and/or economically monitored in-situ and in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 María Castrillo , Álvaro López García

Proper quantification and propagation of uncertainties in computational simulations are of critical importance. This issue is especially challenging for CFD applications. A particular obstacle for uncertainty quantifications in CFD problems…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-04-10 Jian-xun Wang , Christopher J. Roy , Heng Xiao

The key idea of Bayesian optimization is replacing an expensive target function with a cheap surrogate model. By selection of an acquisition function for Bayesian optimization, we trade off between exploration and exploitation. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-20 Leonid Matyushin , Alexey Zaytsev , Oleg Alenkin , Andrey Ustuzhanin

In multi-objective design tasks, the computational cost increases rapidly when high-fidelity simulations are used to evaluate objective functions. Surrogate models help mitigate this cost by approximating the simulation output, simplifying…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Omer F. Erdem , David P. Broughton , Josef Svoboda , Chengkun Huang , Majdi I. Radaideh

How can we efficiently gather information to optimize an unknown function, when presented with multiple, mutually dependent information sources with different costs? For example, when optimizing a robotic system, intelligently trading off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Jialin Song , Yuxin Chen , Yisong Yue

A robot can invoke heterogeneous computation resources such as CPUs, cloud GPU servers, or even human computation for achieving a high-level goal. The problem of invoking an appropriate computation model so that it will successfully…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Bineet Ghosh , Sandeep Chinchali , Parasara Sridhar Duggirala

Running a reliability analysis on engineering problems involving complex numerical models can be computationally very expensive, requiring advanced simulation methods to reduce the overall numerical cost. Gaussian process based active…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-01 Morgane Menz , Sylvain Dubreuil , Jérôme Morio , Christian Gogu , Nathalie Bartoli , Marie Chiron

Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a powerful computational approach for studying complex biological and biomedical systems, yet its widespread use remains limited by significant computational demands. As models become increasingly…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-17 Kerri-Ann Norton , Daniel Bergman , Harsh Vardhan Jain , Trachette Jackson

Multi-fidelity modelling arises in many situations in computational science and engineering world. It enables accurate inference even when only a small set of accurate data is available. Those data often come from a high-fidelity model,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-12 Jiahao Zhang , Shiqi Zhang , Guang Lin

Existing model validation studies in geoscience often disregard or partly account for uncertainties in observations, model choices, and input parameters. In this work, we develop a statistical framework that incorporates a probabilistic…

Surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithms (SAEAs) have been proposed to solve expensive optimization problems. Although SAEAs use surrogate models that approximate the evaluations of solutions using machine learning techniques, prior…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuki Hanawa , Tomohiro Harada , Yukiya Miura