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Overconfidence and underconfidence in machine learning classifiers is measured by calibration: the degree to which the probabilities predicted for each class match the accuracy of the classifier on that prediction. How one measures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Jeremy Nixon , Mike Dusenberry , Ghassen Jerfel , Timothy Nguyen , Jeremiah Liu , Linchuan Zhang , Dustin Tran

The flexibility of decision boundaries in neural networks that are unguided by training data is a well-known problem typically resolved with generalization methods. A surprising result from recent knowledge distillation (KD) literature is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 HeeSeung Jung , Kangil Kim , Hoyong Kim , Jong-Hun Shin

We investigate random feature models in which neural networks sampled from a prescribed initialization ensemble are frozen and used as random features, with only the readout weights optimized. Adopting a statistical-physics viewpoint, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Taeyoung Kim

Deep neural networks with millions of parameters may suffer from poor generalization due to overfitting. To mitigate the issue, we propose a new regularization method that penalizes the predictive distribution between similar samples. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Sukmin Yun , Jongjin Park , Kimin Lee , Jinwoo Shin

Will further scaling up of machine learning models continue to bring success? A significant challenge in answering this question lies in understanding generalization gap, which is the impact of overfitting. Understanding generalization gap…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Atsushi Suzuki , Jing Wang

A learner does not only fit data; it also determines how strongly the training sample may shape its output and how much distortion it can hedge. We study this relation as a bounded-rational decision problem whose primitive object is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Pedro A. Ortega

Recently, Mutual Information (MI) has attracted attention in bounding the generalization error of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). However, it is intractable to accurately estimate the MI in DNNs, thus most previous works have to relax the MI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Xinjie Lan , Kenneth Barner

The aim of this work is to provide bounds connecting two probability measures of the same event using R\'enyi $\alpha$-Divergences and Sibson's $\alpha$-Mutual Information, a generalization of respectively the Kullback-Leibler Divergence…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-20 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar , Ibrahim Issa

As reinforcement learning techniques are increasingly applied to real-world decision problems, attention has turned to how these algorithms use potentially sensitive information. We consider the task of training a policy that maximizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Chris Cundy , Rishi Desai , Stefano Ermon

The phenomenon of data distribution evolving over time has been observed in a range of applications, calling the needs of adaptive learning algorithms. We thus study the problem of supervised gradual domain adaptation, where labeled data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Jing Dong , Shiji Zhou , Baoxiang Wang , Han Zhao

We study in this paper lower bounds for the generalization error of models derived from multi-layer neural networks, in the regime where the size of the layers is commensurate with the number of samples in the training data. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-08 Inbar Seroussi , Ofer Zeitouni

Learning tasks play an increasingly prominent role in quantum information and computation. They range from fundamental problems such as state discrimination and metrology over the framework of quantum probably approximately correct (PAC)…

Understanding how the test risk scales with model complexity is a central question in machine learning. Classical theory is challenged by the learning curves observed for large over-parametrized deep networks. Capacity measures based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-22 Yichen Wang , Yudong Chen , Lorenzo Rosasco , Fanghui Liu

Continual learning (CL), which aims to learn a sequence of tasks, has attracted significant recent attention. However, most work has focused on the experimental performance of CL, and theoretical studies of CL are still limited. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Sen Lin , Peizhong Ju , Yingbin Liang , Ness Shroff

Cross-validation techniques for risk estimation and model selection are widely used in statistics and machine learning. However, the understanding of the theoretical properties of learning via model selection with cross-validation risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-27 Diego Marcondes , Cláudia Peixoto

Understanding generalization in modern machine learning settings has been one of the major challenges in statistical learning theory. In this context, recent years have witnessed the development of various generalization bounds suggesting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-01 Milad Sefidgaran , Amin Gohari , Gaël Richard , Umut Şimşekli

Meta-learning aims at optimizing the hyperparameters of a model class or training algorithm from the observation of data from a number of related tasks. Following the setting of Baxter [1], the tasks are assumed to belong to the same task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Sharu Theresa Jose , Osvaldo Simeone

In this work, we study the generalization capability of algorithms from an information-theoretic perspective. It has been shown that the expected generalization error of an algorithm is bounded from above by a function of the relative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Germán Bassi , Mikael Skoglund

The modeling of probability distributions, specifically generative modeling and density estimation, has become an immensely popular subject in recent years by virtue of its outstanding performance on sophisticated data such as images and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Hongkang Yang

Modern machine learning models with high accuracy are often miscalibrated -- the predicted top probability does not reflect the actual accuracy, and tends to be over-confident. It is commonly believed that such over-confidence is mainly due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Yu Bai , Song Mei , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong