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Belief Propagation (BP) is an efficient message-passing algorithm widely used for inference in graphical models and for solving various problems in statistical physics. However, BP often yields inaccurate estimates of order parameters and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Seongmin Kim , Alec Kirkley

We study random points on the real line generated by the eigenvalues in unitary invariant random matrix ensembles or by more general repulsive particle systems. As the number of points tends to infinity, we prove convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-11 Kristina Schubert , Martin Venker

Correcting measured detector-level distributions to particle-level is essential to make data usable outside the experimental collaborations. The term unfolding is used to describe this procedure. A new method of unfolding data using a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-07 Kaustuv Datta , Deepak Kar , Debarati Roy

This paper presents a new foundational approach to information theory based on the concept of the information efficiency of a recursive function, which is defined as the difference between the information in the input and the output. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Pieter Adriaans

Researchers have developed neural network verification algorithms motivated by the need to characterize the robustness of deep neural networks. The verifiers aspire to answer whether a neural network guarantees certain properties with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Kai Jia , Martin Rinard

The effective resistance between a pair of nodes in a weighted undirected graph is defined as the potential difference induced between them when a unit current is injected at the first node and extracted at the second node, treating edge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Necdet Serhat Aybat , Mert Gurbuzbalaban

The presence of unobserved node specific heterogeneity in Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM) is a general concern, both with respect to model validity as well as estimation instability. We therefore extend the ERGM by including node…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-24 Sevag Kevork , Göran Kauermann

We study how we can adapt a predictor to a non-stationary environment with advises from multiple experts. We study the problem under complete feedback when the best expert changes over time from a decision theoretic point of view. Proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Vishnu Raj , Sheetal Kalyani

Negation as failure and incomplete information in logic programs have been studied by many researchers In order to explains HOW a negated conclusion was reached, we introduce and proof a different way for negating facts to overcoming…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-06 M. A. El-Dosuky , T. T. Hamza , M. Z. Rashad , A. H. Naguib

Variational representations of divergences and distances between high-dimensional probability distributions offer significant theoretical insights and practical advantages in numerous research areas. Recently, they have gained popularity in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis

Counterfactual analysis is intuitively performed by humans on a daily basis eg. "What should I have done differently to get the loan approved?". Such counterfactual questions also steer the formulation of scientific hypotheses. More…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Juliane Weilbach , Sebastian Gerwinn , Melih Kandemir , Martin Fraenzle

In high-stakes applications, predictive models must not only produce accurate predictions but also quantify and communicate their uncertainty. Reject-option prediction addresses this by allowing the model to abstain when prediction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Vojtech Franc , Jakub Paplham

This paper shows how to evolve numerically the maximum entropy probability distributions for a given set of constraints, which is a variational calculus problem. An evolutionary algorithm can obtain approximations to some well-known…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Raul Rojas

Probabilistic knowledge graph embeddings represent entities as distributions, using learned variances to quantify epistemic uncertainty. We identify a fundamental limitation: these variances are relation-agnostic, meaning an entity receives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Chorok Lee

Part I of this work [2] developed the exact diffusion algorithm to remove the bias that is characteristic of distributed solutions for deterministic optimization problems. The algorithm was shown to be applicable to a larger set of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Kun Yuan , Bicheng Ying , Xiaochuan Zhao , Ali H. Sayed

Time reversal mirrors work perfectly only for lossless wave propagation. Here, the performance of time-reversal mirrors is quantitatively defined, and the adverse effect of dissipation on their performance is investigated. An application of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-09-02 Biniyam Tesfaye Taddese , Thomas M. Antonsen , Edward Ott , Steven M. Anlage

There is significant need for principled uncertainty reasoning in machine learning systems as they are increasingly deployed in safety-critical domains. A new approach with uncertainty-aware neural networks (NNs), based on learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Nis Meinert , Alexander Lavin

In this paper we propose a new lifetime model, called the odd generalized exponential linear failure rate distribution. Some statistical properties of the proposed distribution such as the moments, the quantiles, the median, and the mode…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-28 M. A. El-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , B. S. El-Desouky , M. E. Mustafa

A new finite form of de Finetti's representation theorem is established using elementary information-theoretic tools. The distribution of the first $k$ random variables in an exchangeable vector of $n\geq k$ random variables is close to a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Mario Berta , Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Exact inference in the linear regression model with spike and slab priors is often intractable. Expectation propagation (EP) can be used for approximate inference. However, the regular sequential form of EP (R-EP) may fail to converge in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-13 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Daniel Hernández-Lobato