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Related papers: Conditional Systemic Risk Measures

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This paper studies satisfying temporal logic specifications on stochastic dynamical systems, where the predicates evolve randomly over time. Such randomness may arise from uncertain environment models or external stochastic processes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Mohammad H. Mamduhi , Sadegh Soudjani

We extend the standard reinforcement learning framework to random time horizons. While the classical setting typically assumes finite and deterministic or infinite runtimes of trajectories, we argue that multiple real-world applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Enric Ribera Borrell , Lorenz Richter , Christof Schütte

We propose consistent nonparametric tests of conditional independence for time series data. Our methods are motivated from the difference between joint conditional cumulative distribution function (CDF) and the product of conditional CDFs.…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-12 Xiaojun Song , Haoyu Wei

Well-known for its simplicity and effectiveness in classification, AdaBoost, however, suffers from overfitting when class-conditional distributions have significant overlap. Moreover, it is very sensitive to noise that appears in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-22 Zhi Xiao , Zhe Luo , Bo Zhong , Xin Dang

Control systems can show robustness to many events, like disturbances and model inaccuracies. It is natural to speculate that they are also robust to sporadic deadline misses when implemented as digital tasks on an embedded platform. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Nils Vreman , Paolo Pazzaglia , Jie Wang , Victor Magron , Martina Maggio

We show that moment inequalities in a wide variety of economic applications have a particular linear conditional structure. We use this structure to construct uniformly valid confidence sets that remain computationally tractable even in…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-20 Isaiah Andrews , Jonathan Roth , Ariel Pakes

In this paper we present a framework for risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider time-consistent, dynamic risk metrics as objective functions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

We propose a general approach for supervised learning with structured output spaces, such as combinatorial and polyhedral sets, that is based on minimizing estimated conditional risk functions. Given a loss function defined over pairs of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Chong Yang Goh , Patrick Jaillet

Time series often reflect variation associated with other related variables. Controlling for the effect of these variables is useful when modeling or analysing the time series. We introduce a novel approach to normalize time series data…

We show that scaling arguments are very useful to analyze the dynamics of periodically modulated noisy systems. Information about the behavior of the relevant quantities, such as the signal-to-noise ratio, upon variations of the noise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-15 J. M. G. Vilar , J. M. Rubí

In this paper we introduce the concept of random time changes in dynamical systems. The subordination principle may be applied to study the long time behavior of the random time systems. We show, under certain assumptions on the class of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-01 José Luís da Silva , Yuri Kondratiev

Multistage risk-averse optimal control problems with nested conditional risk mappings are gaining popularity in various application domains. Risk-averse formulations interpolate between the classical expectation-based stochastic and minimax…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Pantelis Sopasakis , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Survival analysis, or time-to-event modelling, is a classical statistical problem that has garnered a lot of interest for its practical use in epidemiology, demographics or actuarial sciences. Recent advances on the subject from the point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Guillaume Ausset , Tom Ciffreo , Francois Portier , Stephan Clémençon , Timothée Papin

In this paper we extend the definition of time conditional G-expectations $\mathbb{\hat{E}}_{t}[\cdot]$ to a larger domain on which the dynamical consistency still holds. In fact we can consistently define, by taking the limit, the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-17 Mingshang Hu , Shige Peng

We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

Discrete-time systems under aperiodic sampling may serve as a modeling abstraction for a multitude of problems arising in cyber-physical and networked control systems. Recently, model- and data-based stability conditions for such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-28 Stefan Wildhagen , Julian Berberich , Matthias Hirche , Frank Allgöwer

Robustness guarantees are important properties to be looked for during control design. They ensure stability of closed-loop systems in face of uncertainties, unmodeled effects and bounded disturbances. While the theory on robust stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-10 Samuele Zoboli , Daniele Astolfi , Vincent Andrieu

This paper deals with multidimensional dynamic risk measures induced by conditional $g$-expectations. A notion of multidimensional $g$-expectation is proposed to provide a multidimensional version of nonlinear expectations. By a technical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-09 Yuhong Xu

The non-equilibrium steady states emerging from stochastic resetting to a distribution is studied. We show that for a range of processes, the steady-state moments can be expressed as a linear combination of the moments of the distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-10 Kristian Stølevik Olsen

Contextuality is a feature of quantum correlations. It is crucial from a foundational perspective as a nonclassical phenomenon, and from an applied perspective as a resource for quantum advantage. It is commonly defined in terms of hidden…

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