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Related papers: Robust estimation of SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in US cou…

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During 2020 and 2021, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission has been increasing amongst the world's population at an alarming rate. Reducing the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and other diseases that are spread in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Patrick Urrutia , David Wren , Chrysafis Vogiatzis , Ruriko Yoshida

In March of 2020, many U.S. state governments encouraged or mandated restrictions on social interactions to slow the spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 that has spread to nearly 180 countries.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Parker Liautaud , Peter Huybers , Mauricio Santillana

Understanding the number of individuals who have been infected with the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, and the extent to which social distancing policies have been effective at limiting its spread, are critical for effective policy going…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-21 James Johndrow , Kristian Lum , Maria Gargiulo , Patrick Ball

As of December 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 75 million people, making it the deadliest pandemic in modern history. This study develops a novel compartmental epidemiological model specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-19 Caden Lin

The rapid spread of COVID-19 in the United States has imposed a major threat to public health, the real economy, and human well-being. With the absence of effective vaccines, the preventive actions of social distancing and travel reduction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Chao Fan , Sanghyeon Lee , Yang Yang , Bora Oztekin , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

COVID-19 is not a universal killer. We study the spread of COVID-19 at the county level for the United States up until the 15$^{th}$ of August, 2020. We show that the prevalence of the disease and the death rate are correlated with the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-01 Ayan Paul , Philipp Englert , Melinda Varga

Relevance: Laboratory diagnosis of the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) infection combined with quarantine for contacts of infected individuals affects the spread of SARS-CoV-2 infection and levels of related mortality. Practices for testing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-27 Edward Goldstein

There are many sources of data giving information about the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the population, but all have major drawbacks, including biases and delayed reporting. For example, the number of confirmed cases largely…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-08 Nicholas J. Irons , Adrian E. Raftery

To contain the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, one of the non-pharmacological epidemic control measures in response to the COVID-19 outbreak is reducing the transmission rate of SARS-COV-2 in the population through (physical)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-19 Song Gao , Jinmeng Rao , Yuhao Kang , Yunlei Liang , Jake Kruse

We estimate the reduction in transmission of SARS-CoV-2 achievable by surveillance testing of a susceptible population at different frequencies, comparing the cases of both the original Wuhan strain and the Delta variant. We estimate the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-04 Ahmed Elbanna , Nigel Goldenfeld

Background: The ongoing COVID-19 epidemic dilated rapidly throughout India. To end the global COVID-19 pandemic major behavioral, social distancing, contact tracing, and state interventions has been undertaken to reduce the outbreak and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Kankan Sarkar , Subhas Khajanchi

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic continues to affect communities around the world. To date, almost 6 million people have died as a consequence of COVID-19, and more than one-quarter of a billion people are estimated to have been infected…

We identify the effectiveness of social distancing policies in reducing the transmission of the COVID-19 spread. We build a model that measures the relative frequency and geographic distribution of the virus growth rate and provides…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-21 Difang Huang , Ying Liang , Boyao Wu , Yanyi Ye

We provide a predictive analysis of the spread of COVID-19, also known as SARS-CoV-2, using the dataset made publicly available online by the Johns Hopkins University. Our main objective is to provide predictions of the number of infected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Alireza M. Javid , Xinyue Liang , Arun Venkitaraman , Saikat Chatterjee

In the United States, from the start of the COVID-19 pandemic to December 31, 2020, 341,199 deaths and more than 19,663,976 infections were recorded. Recent literature establishes that communities with poverty-related health problems, such…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-09 Cesar R. Salas-Guerra

The novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, and the disease it causes, COVID-19 was declared a pandemic on March 11, 2020 by the World Health Organization. Since then, the disease has spread all over the world, with the United States becoming the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-08 Keshav Amla , Tarun Amla

SARS-CoV-2, the highly contagious pathogen responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic, has persistent effects that begin four weeks after initial infection and last for an undetermined duration. These chronic effects are more harmful than acute…

The COVID-19 pandemic has evolved over time through multiple spatial and temporal dynamics. The varying extent of interactions among different geographical areas can result to a complex pattern of spreading so that influences between these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-15 Troy McMahon , Shlomo Havlin , Lazaros K. Gallos

In this study, we construct a series of evolving epidemic networks by measuring the correlations of daily COVID-19 cases time series among 3,105 counties in the United States. Remarkably, through quantitative analysis of the spatial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-24 Jiarui Dong , Guanghao Ran

Understanding the impact of different social interactions is key to improving epidemic models. Here, we use extensive registry data -- including PCR test results and population-level networks -- to investigate the impact of school, family,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Javier Garcia-Bernardo , Christine Hedde-von Westernhagen , Tom Emery , Albert Jan van Hoek
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