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We propose a novel semiparametric model for the joint distribution of a continuous longitudinal outcome and the baseline covariates using an enriched Dirichlet process (EDP) prior. This joint model decomposes into a linear mixed model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Bret Zeldow , James Flory , Alisa Stephens-Shields , Marsha Raebel , Jason Roy

Assigning weights to a large pool of objects is a fundamental task in a wide variety of applications. In this article, we introduce the concept of structured high-dimensional probability simplexes, in which most components are zero or near…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-19 Huiming Lin , Meng Li

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for sparse Gaussian graphical modeling of multivariate time series. We account for temporal correlation in the data by assuming that observations are characterized by an underlying and unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Aaron M. Bornstein , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

Predictive inference in the sparse Gaussian sequence model has received considerably less attention than its non-sparse, finite-sample counterpart. Existing work has largely been confined to discrete mixture priors. In this paper, we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Percy S. Zhai , Veronika Ročková

The hierarchical Dirichlet process (HDP) has become an important Bayesian nonparametric model for grouped data, such as document collections. The HDP is used to construct a flexible mixed-membership model where the number of components is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-10 Chong Wang , David M. Blei

Many popular Bayesian nonparametric priors can be characterized in terms of exchangeable species sampling sequences. However, in some applications, exchangeability may not be appropriate. We introduce a {novel and probabilistically coherent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Edoardo M. Airoldi , Thiago Costa , Federico Bassetti , Fabrizio Leisen , Michele Guindani

Time-varying parameter (TVP) models are very flexible in capturing gradual changes in the effect of a predictor on the outcome variable. However, in particular when the number of predictors is large, there is a known risk of overfitting and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-09 Annalisa Cadonna , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Peter Knaus

The Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the causal effect of a treatment when its assignment is defined by a threshold value for a continuous assignment variable. The RDD assumes that subjects…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-27 Federico Ricciardi , Silvia Liverani , Gianluca Baio

The method of Bayesian variable selection via penalized credible regions separates model fitting and variable selection. The idea is to search for the sparsest solution within the joint posterior credible regions. Although the approach was…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-02 Yan Zhang , Howard D. Bondell

Variable selection has received widespread attention over the last decade as we routinely encounter high-throughput datasets in complex biological and environment research. Most Bayesian variable selection methods are restricted to mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Hanning Li , Debdeep Pati

We extend classic characterisations of posterior distributions under Dirichlet process and gamma random measures priors to a dynamic framework. We consider the problem of learning, from indirect observations, two families of time-dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

This paper introduces Discrete Markov Probabilistic Models (DMPMs), a novel discrete diffusion algorithm for discrete data generation. The algorithm operates in discrete bit space, where the noising process is a continuous-time Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Dario Shariatian , Antonio Ocello , Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus

As language models (LMs) become more capable, it is increasingly important to align them with human preferences. However, the dominant paradigm for training Preference Models (PMs) for that purpose suffers from fundamental limitations, such…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Dongyoung Go , Tomasz Korbak , Germán Kruszewski , Jos Rozen , Marc Dymetman

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper

In this paper, we provide an explicit probability distribution for classification purposes. It is derived from the Bayesian nonparametric mixture of Dirichlet process model, but with suitable modifications which remove unsuitable aspects of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-05-05 Ruth Fuentes-Garcia , Ramses H Mena , Stephen G Walker

Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) models tend to produce many small clusters regardless of whether they are needed to accurately characterize the data - this is particularly true for large data sets. However, interpretability, parsimony, data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-16 Jun Lu , Meng Li , David Dunson

Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) are a very popular class of deep generative model that have been successfully applied to a diverse range of problems including image and video generation, protein and material synthesis,…

The horseshoe prior has proven to be a noteworthy alternative for sparse Bayesian estimation, but as shown in this paper, the results can be sensitive to the prior choice for the global shrinkage hyperparameter. We argue that the previous…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

There is a rich literature proposing methods and establishing asymptotic properties of Bayesian variable selection methods for parametric models, with a particular focus on the normal linear regression model and an increasing emphasis on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

Practical tools for clustering streaming data must be fast enough to handle the arrival rate of the observations. Typically, they also must adapt on the fly to possible lack of stationarity; i.e., the data statistics may be time-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Or Dinari , Oren Freifeld