Related papers: Sample-path large deviations for a class of heavy-…

We prove a maximal-type large deviation principle for dynamical systems with arbitrarily slow polynomial mixing rates. Also several applications, particularly to billiard systems, are presented.

We prove a large deviation principle for the slow-fast rough differential equations under the controlled rough path framework. The driver rough paths are lifted from the mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in…

Let $p>2$, $B\geq 1$, $N\geq n$ and let $X$ be a centered $n$-dimensional random vector with the identity covariance matrix such that $\sup\limits_{a\in S^{n-1}}{\mathrm E}|\langle X,a\rangle|^p\leq B$. Further, let $X_1,X_2,\dots,X_N$ be…

We obtain large deviations for a class of dependent random variables in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law, $\alpha\in (0, 1)\cup (1, 2]$. This class includes ergodic sums of observables in the domain of attraction of an…

We establish a large deviation principle for the normalized excursion and bridge of an $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process without negative jumps, with $1<\alpha<2$. Based on this, we derive precise asymptotics for the tail distributions of…

We consider a stochastic recurrence equation of the form $Z_{n+1} = A_{n+1} Z_n+B_{n+1}$, where $\mathbb{E}[\log A_1]<0$, $\mathbb{E}[\log^+ B_1]<\infty$ and $\{(A_n,B_n)\}_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ is an i.i.d. sequence of positive random vectors.…

In this paper, we present large deviation theory that characterizes the exponential estimate for rare events of stochastic dynamical systems in the limit of weak noise. We aim to consider next-to-leading-order approximation for more…

Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…

This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality…

We consider a dynamic Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph (ERRG) on $n$ vertices in which each edge switches on at rate $\lambda$ and switches off at rate $\mu$, independently of other edges. The focus is on the analysis of the evolution of the…

As well known, for a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$, the ratio $W_n:=Z_n/m^n$ has a.s. limit, say $W$. We study tail behaviour of the distributions of $W_n$ and $W$ in the case where…

We study the affine recursion $X_n = A_nX_{n-1}+B_n$ where $(A_n,B_n)\in {\mathbb R}^+ \times {\mathbb R} $ is an i.i.d. sequence and recursions $X_n = \Phi_n(X_{n-1})$ defined by Lipschitz transformations such that $\Phi (x)\geq Ax+B$. It…

In this paper we consider sample path growth of superpositions of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type processes (supOU). SupOU processes are stationary infinitely divisible processes defined as integrals with respect to a random measure. They allow…

Directed last passage percolation models on the plane, where one studies the weight as well as the geometry of optimizing paths (called polymers) in a field of i.i.d. weights, are paradigm examples of models in the KPZ universality class.…

This paper deals with the large deviations behavior of a stochastic process called thinned Levy process. This process appeared recently as a stochastic-process limit in the context of critical inhomogeneous random graphs. The process has a…

This work extends the variance reduction method for the pricing of possibly path-dependent derivatives, which was developed in (Genin and Tankov, 2016) for exponential L\'evy models, to affine stochastic volatility models (Keller-Ressel,…

Consider a realization of a Poisson process in R^2 with intensity 1 and take a maximal up/right path from the origin to (N,N) consisting of line segments between the points, where maximal means that it contains as many points as possible.…

Given a finite typed rooted tree $T$ with $n$ vertices, the {\em empirical subtree measure} is the uniform measure on the $n$ typed subtrees of $T$ formed by taking all descendants of a single vertex. We prove a large deviation principle in…

We study tail probabilities via some Gaussian approximations. Our results make refinements to large deviation theory. The proof builds on classical results by Bahadur and Rao. Binomial distributions and their tail probabilities are…

In this paper, we introduce a new class of models for spatial data obtained from max-convolution processes based on indicator kernels with random shape. We show that this class of models have appealing dependence properties including tail…