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The theory of stochastic approximations form the theoretical foundation for studying convergence properties of many popular recursive learning algorithms in statistics, machine learning and statistical physics. Large deviations for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Henrik Hult , Adam Lindhe , Pierre Nyquist , Guo-Jhen Wu

We propose a stochastic process driven by memory effect with novel distributions including both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of distribution is analytically derived from the continuum limit of the discrete…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-14 Jongwook Kim , Gabjin Oh

We present a formalization of the well-known thesis that, in the case of independent identically distributed random variables $X_1,\dots,X_n$ with power-like tails of index $\alpha\in(0,2)$, large deviations of the sum $X_1+\dots+X_n$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Iosif Pinelis

We consider extremal processes and random walks generated by heavy-tailed random vectors taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ endowed with the $\ell_p$ metric. We establish limit theorems for the associated paths in the triangular array setting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Bochen Jin , Ilya Molchanov

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

In this paper we consider the multispecies stirring process on the discrete torus. We prove a large deviation principle for the trajectory of the vector of densities of the different species. The technique of proof consists in extending the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Francesco Casini , Frank Redig , Hidde van Wiechen

We give a proof of a result on the growth of the number of particles along chosen paths in a branching Brownian motion. The work follows the approach of classical large deviations results, in which paths in $C[0,1]$ are rescaled onto…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-22 Simon Harris , Matthew Roberts

Motivated by metastability in the zero-range process, we consider i.i.d.\ random variables with values in $\N_0$ and Weibull-like (stretched exponential) law $\mathbb P(X_i =k) = c \exp( - k^\alpha)$, $\alpha \in (0,1)$. We condition on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Sabine Jansen

Starting from one-point tail bounds, we establish an upper tail large deviation principle for the directed landscape at the metric level. Metrics of finite rate are in one-to-one correspondence with measures supported on a set of countably…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Sayan Das , Duncan Dauvergne , Bálint Virág

We establish a large deviation principle for time dependent trajectories (paths) of the empirical density of $N$ particles with long range interactions, for homogeneous systems. This result extends the classical kinetic theory that leads to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-19 Ouassim Feliachi , Freddy Bouchet

We provide asymptotic theory for certain functions of the sample autocovariance matrices of a high-dimensional time series with infinite fourth moment. The time series exhibits linear dependence across the coordinates and through time.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch

We prove a large deviation principle for stochastic differential equations driven by semimartingales, with additive controls. Conditions are given in terms of characteristics of driven semimartingales, so that if the noise-control pairs…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Qiao Huang , Wei Wei , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we aim to study the asymptotic behavior for multi-scale McKean-Vlasov stochastic dynamical systems. Firstly, we obtain a central limit type theorem, i.e, the deviation between the slow component $X^{\varepsilon}$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu , Xiaobin Sun

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhi Li

We consider a general multivariate affine stochastic recursion and the associated Markov chain on $\mathbb R^{d}$. We assume a natural geometric condition which implies existence of an unbounded stationary solution and we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Yves Guivarc'H , Emile Le Page

Consider standard first-passage percolation on $\mathbb Z^d$. We study the lower-tail large deviations of the rescaled random metric $\widehat{\mathbf T}_n$ restricted to a box. If all exponential moments are finite, we prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Julien Verges

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting (AMS) algorithm is a powerful and versatile method for the simulation of rare events. It is based on an interacting (via a mutation-selection procedure) system of replicas, and depends on two integer…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

An introduction to numerical large-deviation sampling is provided. First, direct biasing with a known distribution is explained. As simple example, the Bernoulli experiment is used throughout the text. Next, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 Alexander K. Hartmann

In this paper, we consider a class of reflected stochastic differential equations for which the constraint is not on the paths of the solution but on its law. We establish a small noise large deviation principle, a large deviation for short…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Ping Chen , Jianliang Zhai

We continue the investigation of the spectral theory and exponential asymptotics of Markov processes, following Kontoyiannis and Meyn (2003). We introduce a new family of nonlinear Lyapunov drift criteria, characterizing distinct subclasses…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , S. P. Meyn
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