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We establish the asymptotic validity of the bootstrap-based IVX estimator proposed by Phillips and Magdalinos (2009) for the predictive regression model parameter based on a local-to-unity specification of the autoregressive coefficient…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-28 Christis Katsouris

The bootstrap is a method for estimating the distribution of an estimator or test statistic by re-sampling the data or a model estimated from the data. Under conditions that hold in a wide variety of econometric applications, the bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-12 Joel L. Horowitz

The paper introduces a non-linear version of the process convolution formalism for building covariance functions for multi-output Gaussian processes. The non-linearity is introduced via Volterra series, one series per each output. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-01 Mauricio A. Álvarez , Wil O. C. Ward , Cristian Guarnizo

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

This paper proposes a new nonlinear approach for additive functional regression with functional response based on kernel methods along with some slight reformulation and implementation of the linear regression and the spectral additive…

A new time series bootstrap scheme, the time frequency toggle (TFT)-bootstrap, is proposed. Its basic idea is to bootstrap the Fourier coefficients of the observed time series, and then to back-transform them to obtain a bootstrap sample in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-21 Claudia Kirch , Dimitris N. Politis

This paper studies the Gaussian approximation of high-dimensional and non-degenerate U-statistics of order two under the supremum norm. We propose a two-step Gaussian approximation procedure that does not impose structural assumptions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Xiaohui Chen

Building spatial process models that capture nonstationary behavior while delivering computationally efficient inference is challenging. Nonstationary spatially varying kernels (see, e.g., Paciorek, 2003) offer flexibility and richness, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Sébastien Coube-Sisqueille , Sudipto Banerjee , Benoît Liquet

In Markov-chain Monte Carlo simulations, estimating statistical errors or confidence intervals of numerically obtained values is an essential task. In this paper, we review several methods for error estimation, such as simple empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-23 Yoshihiko Nishikawa , Jun Takahashi , Takashi Takahashi

Correlated time series analysis plays an important role in many real-world industries. Learning an efficient representation of this large-scale data for further downstream tasks is necessary but challenging. In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Luxuan Wang , Lei Bai , Ziyue Li , Rui Zhao , Fugee Tsung

Inference for functional linear models in the presence of heteroscedastic errors has received insufficient attention given its practical importance; in fact, even a central limit theorem has not been studied in this case. At issue,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Hyemin Yeon , Xiongtao Dai , Daniel John Nordman

Time series data arising in many applications nowadays are high-dimensional. A large number of parameters describe features of these time series. We propose a novel approach to modeling a high-dimensional time series through several…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

A fast simulation framework for stochastic Volterra processes based on Random Fourier Features (RFF) approximation of the kernel is developed. After recalling the main properties of Volterra processes and reviewing existing numerical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Othmane Zarhali , Nicolas Langrené

We study nonlinear regression of real valued data in an individual sequence manner, where we provide results that are guaranteed to hold without any statistical assumptions. We address the convergence and undertraining issues of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-08 N. Denizcan Vanli , Muhammed O. Sayin , Suleyman S. Kozat

A biomechanical model often requires parameter estimation and selection in a known but complicated nonlinear function. Motivated by observing that data from a head-neck position tracking system, one of biomechanical models, show…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hojun You , Kyubaek Yoon , Wei-Ying Wu , Jongeun Choi , Chae Young Lim

We consider the problem of testing for long-range dependence in time-varying coefficient regression models, where the covariates and errors are locally stationary, allowing complex temporal dynamics and heteroscedasticity. We develop KPSS,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

Volterra and polynomial regression models play a major role in nonlinear system identification and inference tasks. Exciting applications ranging from neuroscience to genome-wide association analysis build on these models with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-27 Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis

Bilinear time-frequency representations (TFRs) provide high-resolution time-varying frequency characteristics of nonstationary signals. However, they suffer from crossterms due to the bilinear nature. Existing crossterm-reduced TFRs focus…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-08 Shuimei Zhang , Yimin D. Zhang

Time series classification using novel techniques has experienced a recent resurgence and growing interest from statisticians, subject-domain scientists, and decision makers in business and industry. This is primarily due to the ever…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-06 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Nalini Ravishanker

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei
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