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Simple random walks are a basic staple of the foundation of probability theory and form the building block of many useful and complex stochastic processes. In this paper we study a natural generalization of the random walk to a process in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-11 Bala Rajaratnam , Narut Sereewattanawoot , Doug Sparks , Meng-Hsuan Wu

Transition pathways of stochastic dynamical systems are typically approximated by instantons. Here we show, using a dynamical system containing two competing pathways, that at low-to-intermediate temperatures, instantons can fail to capture…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-05 Lukas Kikuchi , Ronojoy Adhikari , Julian Kappler

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

In the first part of this paper, we consider a family of continuous-time dynamical systems coupled with diffusion-transmutation processes. Under certain conditions, such randomly perturbed dynamical systems can be interpreted as an averaged…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Getachew K. Befekadu

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) such as the Bouncy Particle Sampler and the Zig-Zag Sampler, have gained attention as continuous-time counterparts of classical Markov chain Monte Carlo. We study their transient regime under…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-22 Sanket Agrawal , Joris Bierkens , Kengo Kamatani , Gareth O. Roberts

We have developed a steady state theory of complex transport networks used to model the flow of commodity, information, viruses, opinions, or traffic. Our approach is based on the use of the Markov chains defined on the graph…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Volchenkov , Ph. Blanchard

Distribution-dependent stochastic dynamical systems arise widely in engineering and science. We consider a class of such systems which model the limit behaviors of interacting particles moving in a vector field with random fluctuations. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Jianyu Hu

Rare nonadiabatic reactions are a key component of many important molecular processes but are challenging to capture with direct dynamical simulations. In this paper, we combine our recently developed mapping approach to surface hopping…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-03-19 Danial Ghamari , Jeremy O. Richardson

Data-driven and adaptive control approaches face the problem of introducing sudden distributional shifts beyond the distribution of data encountered during learning. Therefore, they are prone to invalidating the very assumptions used in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-25 Mohammad Ramadan , Evan Toler , Mihai Anitescu

This thesis investigates critical phenomena and equilibrium states in various stochastic models through three interconnected studies. In the first chapter, we analyze the Activated Random Walk model on a one-dimensional ring in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Célio Terra

Parallel replica dynamics is a method for accelerating the computation of processes characterized by a sequence of infrequent events. In this work, the processes are governed by the overdamped Langevin equation. Such processes spend much of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-04 Gideon Simpson , Mitchell Luskin

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) represent an entirely new class of generative AI methods that have yet to be fully explored. They use Langevin dynamics, represented as stochastic differential equations, to describe a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Benjamin Sterling , Chad Gueli , Mónica F. Bugallo

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

Transition path sampling (TPS), which involves finding probable paths connecting two points on an energy landscape, remains a challenge due to the complexity of real-world atomistic systems. Current machine learning approaches use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Sanjeev Raja , Martin Šípka , Michael Psenka , Tobias Kreiman , Michal Pavelka , Aditi S. Krishnapriyan

This paper deals with the long run average continuous control problem of piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) taking values in a general Borel space and with compact action space depending on the state variable. The control…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-03 O. L. V. Costa , F. Dufour

Extreme events are by nature rare and difficult to predict, yet are often much more important than frequent, typical events. An interesting counterpoint to the prediction of such events is their retrodiction -- given a process in an outlier…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Wesley W. Erickson , Daniel A. Steck

Modeling unknown systems from data is a precursor of system optimization and sequential decision making. In this paper, we focus on learning a Markov model from a single trajectory of states. Suppose that the transition model has a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Ziwei Zhu , Xudong Li , Mengdi Wang , Anru Zhang

We introduce a gradient-based learning method to automatically adapt Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) proposal distributions to intractable targets. We define a maximum entropy regularised objective function, referred to as generalised speed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-07 Michalis K. Titsias , Petros Dellaportas

An analysis of the network defined by the potential energy minima of multi-atomic systems and their connectivity via reaction pathways that go through transition states allows to understand important characteristics like thermodynamic,…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-08-03 Bastian Schaefer , Stefan Goedecker

Rare events play a crucial role in many physics, chemistry, and biology phenomena, when they change the structure of the system, for instance in the case of multistability, or when they have a huge impact. Rare event algorithms have been…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Dario Lucente , Joran Rolland , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet
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