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Understanding the pathways whereby an intervention has an effect on an outcome is a common scientific goal. A rich body of literature provides various decompositions of the total intervention effect into pathway specific effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 David Benkeser

Joint Bayesian factor models are popular for characterizing relationships between multivariate correlated predictors and a response variable. Standard models assume that all variables, including both the predictors and the response, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Glenn Palmer , David B. Dunson

Although there is a rich literature on methods for allowing the variance in a univariate regression model to vary with predictors, time and other factors, relatively little has been done in the multivariate case. Our focus is on developing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Emily Fox , David Dunson

When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

We extend variational autoencoders (VAEs) to collaborative filtering for implicit feedback. This non-linear probabilistic model enables us to go beyond the limited modeling capacity of linear factor models which still largely dominate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-19 Dawen Liang , Rahul G. Krishnan , Matthew D. Hoffman , Tony Jebara

Weighting procedures are used in observational causal inference to adjust for covariate imbalance within the sample. Common practice for inference is to estimate robust standard errors from a weighted regression of outcome on treatment.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Erin Hartman , Chad Hazlett , Arisa Sadeghpour

In modern data analysis, information is frequently collected from multiple sources, often leading to challenges such as data heterogeneity and imbalanced sample sizes across datasets. Robust and efficient data integration methods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Facheng Yu , Zhen Qi , Yuqian Zhang

Recent years have witnessed an abundance of new publications and approaches on meta-learning. This community-wide enthusiasm has sparked great insights but has also created a plethora of seemingly different frameworks, which can be hard to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Wei-Lun Chao , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan , Mark Campbell , Kilian Q. Weinberger

Many domain experts do not have the time or expertise to write formal Bayesian models. This paper takes an informal problem description as input, and combines a large language model and a probabilistic programming language to define a joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Justin Domke

We revisit and generalize the concept of composite likelihood as a method to make a probabilistic inference by aggregation of multiple Bayesian agents, thereby defining a class of predictive models which we call composite Bayesian. This…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-18 Alexis Roche

An aggregate data meta-analysis is a statistical method that pools the summary statistics of several selected studies to estimate the outcome of interest. When considering a continuous outcome, typically each study must report the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Sean McGrath , XiaoFei Zhao , Zhi Zhen Qin , Russell Steele , Andrea Benedetti

Empirical Bayes is a versatile approach to `learn from a lot' in two ways: first, from a large number of variables and second, from a potentially large amount of prior information, e.g. stored in public repositories. We review applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-19 Mark A. van de Wiel , Dennis E. te Beest , Magnus Münch

Parameter ensembles or sets of random effects constitute one of the cornerstones of modern statistical practice. This is especially the case in Bayesian hierarchical models, where several decision theoretic frameworks can be deployed. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Cedric E. Ginestet

This work introduces meta estimators that combine multiple multifidelity techniques based on control variates, importance sampling, and information reuse to yield a quasi-multiplicative amount of variance reduction. The proposed meta…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-19 Frederick Law , Antoine Cerfon , Benjamin Peherstorfer , Florian Wechsung

We develop a model-based methodology for integrating gene-set information with an experimentally-derived gene list. The methodology uses a previously reported sampling model, but takes advantage of natural constraints in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Zhishi Wang , Qiuling He , Bret Larget , Michael A. Newton

We introduce a general framework that extends Bayesian inference by allowing the researcher to explicitly encode confidence in each source of uncertainty within the model. This mechanism provides a new handle for model design and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Rafael Mouallem Rosa , Julyan Arbel , Hien Duy Nguyen

To take sample biases and skewness in the observations into account, practitioners frequently weight their observations according to some marginal distribution. The present paper demonstrates that such weighting can indeed improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-05 Tobias Niebuhr , Mathias Trabs

Researchers now routinely use AI or other machine learning methods to estimate latent variables of economic interest, then plug-in the estimates as covariates in a regression. We show both theoretically and empirically that naively treating…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-01 Laura Battaglia , Timothy Christensen , Stephen Hansen , Szymon Sacher

In statistical exercises where there are several candidate models, the traditional approach is to select one model using some data driven criterion and use that model for estimation, testing and other purposes, ignoring the variability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Nitai D. Mukhopadhyay

Quantitative measurements produced by mass spectrometry proteomics experiments offer a direct way to explore the role of proteins in molecular mechanisms. However, analysis of such data is challenging due to the large proportion of missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Haeun Moon , Jin-Hong Du , Jing Lei , Kathryn Roeder