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Identifying the main environmental drivers of SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility in the population is crucial for understanding current and potential future outbursts of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases. To address this problem, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-01 Marko Djordjevic , Igor Salom , Sofija Markovic , Andjela Rodic , Ognjen Milicevic , Magdalena Djordjevic

We analyze risk factors correlated with the initial transmission growth rate of the recent COVID-19 pandemic in different countries. The number of cases follows in its early stages an almost exponential expansion; we chose as a starting…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-12 Alessio Notari , Giorgio Torrieri

Many studies have proposed a relationship between COVID-19 transmissibility and ambient pollution levels. However, a major limitation in establishing such associations is to adequately account for complex disease dynamics, influenced by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-07 Ognjen Milicevic , Igor Salom , Andjela Rodic , Sofija Markovic , Marko Tumbas , Dusan Zigic , Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic

OBJECTIVES: Estimates of the basic reproduction number (R0) of COVID-19 vary across countries. This paper aims to characterise the spatial variability in R0 across the first six months of the global COVID-19 outbreak, and to explore social…

Since the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in December 2019, studies have been addressing diverse aspects in relation to COVID-19 and Variant of Concern 202012/01 (VOC 202012/01) such as potential symptoms and predictive tools.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Wasiq Khan , Abir Hussain , Sohail Ahmed Khan , Mohammed Al-Jumailey , Raheel Nawaz , Panos Liatsis

The spread of COVID-19 has brought challenges to health, social and economic systems around the world. With little to no prior immunity in the global population transmission has been driven primarily by human interaction. However, as with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-09 Jamie Mullineaux , Takoua Jendoubi , Baptiste Leurent

Determinants of COVID-19 clinical severity are commonly assessed by transverse or longitudinal studies of the fatality counts. However, the fatality counts depend both on disease clinical severity and transmissibility, as more infected also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Sofija Markovic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Ognjen Milicevic , Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

Multiple studies have suggested the spread of COVID-19 is affected by factors such as climate, BCG vaccinations, pollution and blood type. We perform a joint study of these factors using the death growth rates of 40 regions worldwide with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-14 Chris Finlay , Bruce A. Bassett

The correct evaluation of the reproductive number $R$ for COVID-19 -- which characterizes the average number of secondary cases generated by each typical primary case -- is central in the quantification of the potential scope of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-15 Claire Donnat , Susan Holmes

Raw data on the cumulative number of deaths at a country level generally indicate a spatially variable distribution of the incidence of COVID-19 disease. An important issue is to determine whether this spatial pattern is a consequence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-21 Lionel Roques , Olivier Bonnefon , Virgile Baudrot , Samuel Soubeyrand , Henri Berestycki

COVID-19 had a strong and disruptive impact on our society, and yet further analyses on most relevant factors explaining the spread of the pandemic are needed. Interdisciplinary studies linking epidemiological, mobility, environmental, and…

In this paper we propose an epidemiological model for the spread of COVID-19. The dynamics of the spread is based on four fundamental categories of people in a population: Tested and infected, Non-Tested but infected, Tested but not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-12 Buddhananda Banerjee , Pradumn Kumar Pandey , Bibhas Adhikari

Recent literature has suggested that climate conditions have considerably significant influences on the transmission of coronavirus COVID-19. However, there is a lack of comprehensive study that investigates the relationships between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-19 Siyu Huang , Ji Liu , Haoyi Xiong , Jizhou Huang , Haozhe An , Dejing Dou

The impact of the outbreak of COVID-19 on health has been widely concerned. Disease risk assessment, prediction, and early warning have become a significant research field. Previous research suggests that there is a relationship between air…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-27 Yuxi Liu , Xin Lin , Shaowen Qin

Objectives: We aim to assess the impact of temperature and relative humidity on the transmission of COVID-19 across communities after accounting for community-level factors such as demographics, socioeconomic status, and human mobility…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-01 Jingyuan Wang , Ke Tang , Kai Feng , Xin Li , Weifeng Lv , Kun Chen , Fei Wang

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is one of the most infectious diseases and one of the greatest challenge due to global health crisis. The virus has been transmitted globally and spreading so fast with high incidence. While, the virus…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Marvin G. Pizon , Ronald R. Baldo , Ruthlyn N. Villarante , Jessica D. Balatero

In this article, we investigate the importance of demographic and contact patterns in determining the spread of COVID-19 and to the effectiveness of social distancing policies. We investigate these questions proposing an augmented…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-12 M. A. Ridenti , L. K. Teles , A. Maranhão , V. K. Teles

COVID-19 is a new pandemic disease that is affecting almost every country with a negative impact on social life and economic activities. The number of infected and deceased patients continues to increase globally. Mathematical models can…

It is hypothesized that short-term exposure to air pollution may influence the transmission of aerosolized pathogens such as COVID-19. We used data from 23 provinces in Italy to build a generalized additive model to investigate the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-13 Laura Albrecht , Paulina Czarnecki , Bennet Sakelaris
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