Related papers: A data-driven P-spline smoother and the P-Spline-G…
We develop two new estimators for a general class of stationary GARCH models with possibly heavy tailed asymmetrically distributed errors, covering processes with symmetric and asymmetric feedback like GARCH, Asymmetric GARCH, VGARCH and…
A noise-reduction algorithm for time-series of non-linear systems is presented. The algorithm smoothes the attractors in phase space using B-splines, allowing a more accurate measure of their dynamics. The algorithm is tested on numerical…
Kalman smoothers reconstruct the state of a dynamical system starting from noisy output samples. While the classical estimator relies on quadratic penalization of process deviations and measurement errors, extensions that exploit Piecewise…
We use tools from applied topology for feature selection on time series data. We develop a method for scoring the variables in a multivariate time series that reflects their contributions to the topological features of the corresponding…
Data assimilation addresses the general problem of how to combine model-based predictions with partial and noisy observations of the process in an optimal manner. This survey focuses on sequential data assimilation techniques using…
We consider efficient estimation of the Euclidean parameters in a generalized partially linear additive models for longitudinal/clustered data when multiple covariates need to be modeled nonparametrically, and propose an estimation…
We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…
We propose a fast bivariate smoothing approach for symmetric surfaces that has a wide range of applications. We show how it can be applied to estimate the covariance function in longitudinal data as well as multiple additive covariances in…
In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…
Uni- and bivariate data smoothing with spline functions is a well established method in nonparametric regression analysis. The extension to multivariate data is straightforward, but suffers from exponentially increasing memory and…
Non-linear state-space models, also known as general hidden Markov models, are ubiquitous in statistical machine learning, being the most classical generative models for serial data and sequences in general. The particle-based, rapid…
We consider covariance estimation under Toeplitz structure. Numerous sophisticated optimization methods have been developed to maximize the Gaussian log-likelihood under Toeplitz constraints. In contrast, recent advances in deep learning…
We propose to address the common problem of linear estimation in linear statistical models by using a model selection approach via penalization. Depending then on the framework in which the linear statistical model is considered namely the…
In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…
This paper addresses asymptotic properties of general penalized spline estimators with an arbitrary B-spline degree and an arbitrary order difference penalty. The estimator is approximated by a solution of a linear differential equation…
We consider goodness-of-fit methods for multivariate symmetric and asymmetric stable Paretian random vectors in arbitrary dimension. The methods are based on the empirical characteristic function and are implemented both in the i.i.d.…
This paper considers a semiparametric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (S-GARCH) model. For this model, we first estimate the time-varying long run component for unconditional variance by the kernel estimator, and…
Shared frailty models have been proposed to accommodate unmeasured cluster-specific risk factors through the inclusion of a common latent frailty term. Among possible frailty distributions, the Gamma distribution is appealing due to its…
In this paper we develop and study adaptive empirical Bayesian smoothing splines. These are smoothing splines with both smoothing parameter and penalty order determined via the empirical Bayes method from the marginal likelihood of the…
This paper proposes a spatial threshold GARCH-type model for dynamic spatio-temporal integer-valued data with network structure. The proposed model can simplify the parameterization by using network structure in data, and can capture the…