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Related papers: Equilibrium price in intraday electricity markets

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The exponential growth of renewable energy capacity has brought much uncertainty to electricity prices and to electricity generation. To address this challenge, the energy exchanges have been developing further trading possibilities,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-24 Michał Narajewski

Network effects are the added value derived solely from the popularity of a product in an economic market. Using agent-based models inspired by statistical physics, we propose a minimal theory of a competitive market for (nearly)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-31 Andrew Lucas

We study the power and limitations of posted prices in multi-unit markets, where agents arrive sequentially in an arbitrary order. We prove upper and lower bounds on the largest fraction of the optimal social welfare that can be guaranteed…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Tomer Ezra , Michal Feldman , Tim Roughgarden , Warut Suksompong

We study the price impact of storage facilities in electricity markets and analyze the long-term profitability of these facilities in prospective scenarios of energy transition. To this end, we begin by characterizing the optimal operating…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-17 Roxana Dumitrescu , Redouane Silvente , Peter Tankov

Accurate prediction of electricity prices plays an essential role in the electricity market. To reflect the uncertainty of electricity prices, price intervals are predicted. This paper proposes a novel prediction interval construction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Xin Lu

We consider a market where a finite number of players trade an asset whose supply is a stochastic process. The price formation problem consists of finding a price process that ensures that when agents act optimally to minimize their trading…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Diogo Gomes , Julian Gutierrez , Ricardo Ribeiro

Volume imbalance in a limit order book is often considered as a reliable indicator for predicting future price moves. In this work, we seek to analyse the nuances of the relationship between prices and volume imbalance. To this end, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Sergio Pulido , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Emmanouil Sfendourakis

This paper investigates optimal execution strategies in intraday energy markets through a mutually exciting Hawkes process model. Calibrated to data from the German intraday electricity market, the model effectively captures key empirical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Konstantinos Chatziandreou , Sven Karbach

Intraday electricity markets play an increasingly important role in balancing the intermittent generation of renewable energy resources, which creates a need for accurate probabilistic price forecasts. However, research to date has focused…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

In this paper, we extend and improve the production chain model introduced by Kikuchi et al. (2018). Utilizing the theory of monotone concave operators, we prove the existence, uniqueness, and global stability of equilibrium price, hence…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-08-23 Meng Yu , Junnan Zhang

Motivated by the problem of market power in electricity markets, we introduced in previous works a mechanism for simplified markets of two agents with linear cost. In standard procurement auctions, the market power resulting from the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-07-25 Benjamin Heymann , Alejandro Jofré

Forecasting electricity prices is a challenging task and an active area of research since the 1990s and the deregulation of the traditionally monopolistic and government-controlled power sectors. Although it aims at predicting both spot and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

The coordinated operation of interconnected but locally controlled electricity markets is generally referred to as a "coupling". In this paper we propose a new mechanism design for efficient coupling of independent electricity markets. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Alfredo Garcia , Roohallah Khatami , Ceyhun Eksin , Furkan Sezer

The computation of equilibrium prices at which the supply of goods matches their demand typically relies on complete information on agents' private attributes, e.g., suppliers' cost functions, which are often unavailable in practice.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Devansh Jalota , Haoyuan Sun , Navid Azizan

We consider a stochastic game between three types of players: an inside trader, noise traders and a market maker. In a similar fashion to Kyle's model, we assume that the insider first chooses the size of her market-order and then the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Charles-Albert Lehalle , Eyal Neuman , Segev Shlomov

This paper focuses on the problem of energy imbalance management in amicrogrid. The problem is investigated from the power market perspective. Unlike the traditional power grid, a microgrid can obtain extra energy froma renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Wei-Yu Chiu , Hongjian Sun , H. Vincent Poor

In electricity markets, futures contracts typically function as a swap since they deliver the underlying over a period of time. In this paper, we introduce a market price for the delivery periods of electricity swaps, thereby opening an…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-13 Annika Kemper , Maren D. Schmeck , Anna Kh. Balci

We study the competition for partners in two-sided matching markets with heterogeneous agent preferences, with a focus on how the equilibrium outcomes depend on the connectivity in the market. We model random partially connected markets,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Yash Kanoria , Seungki Min , Pengyu Qian

We study a heterogeneous agent macroeconomic model with an infinite number of households and firms competing in a labor market. Each household earns income and engages in consumption at each time step while aiming to maximize a concave…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-10 Ruitu Xu , Yifei Min , Tianhao Wang , Zhaoran Wang , Michael I. Jordan , Zhuoran Yang

Recently, chance-constrained stochastic electricity market designs have been proposed to address the shortcomings of scenario-based stochastic market designs. In particular, the use of chance-constrained market-clearing avoids trading off…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Alvaro Gonzalez-Castellanos , Anton Hinneck , Robert Mieth , David Pozo , Yury Dvorkin
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